Chris Adkins is back with his MLB Home Run Hit List for Monday, June 22, fresh off a two-homer day that cashed Ben Rice and Pete Alonso. This card targets six hitters with favorable power matchups, each picked for a specific edge against the opposing starter’s pitch mix and home-run tendencies. As always, Chris recommends playing these as straight bets rather than parlaying them, so a miss or two does not sink the card.
Paul Goldschmidt — Yankees vs Tigers
The list opens in Detroit, where the Yankees face Framer Valdez in 67-degree weather with the wind blowing out at 13 miles per hour — ideal home-run conditions. Valdez has allowed seven home runs to right-handed batters and leans on a sinker for 41 percent of his pitches. Goldschmidt has six homers off left-handed pitching and has gone deep off the sinker, making him a strong leadoff target on this card.
Jonathan Aranda — Rays vs Royals
Next up is a dome game where weather is a non-factor, so this one is pure matchup. Aranda draws Michael Wacha, who has surrendered six home runs to left-handed batters and throws a four-seam fastball 32 percent of the time. Aranda brings 11 home runs off right-handed pitching and four off the four-seamer specifically — a clean stylistic fit for another long ball.
Jake Bauers — Brewers vs Reds
The Brewers-Reds matchup features 73-degree weather with the wind blowing out at eight miles per hour. Bauers faces Brady Singer, who has been homer-prone to lefties with 11 allowed and throws a sinker on 45 percent of his pitches. Bauers has 11 home runs off righties and a pair off the sinker, giving him a live shot to take advantage of Singer’s heavy sinker usage.
Andrew Benintendi — White Sox vs Guardians
In Chicago, 61-degree air with the wind blowing out at 12 miles per hour sets the stage for Benintendi against Gavin Williams. Williams has allowed 10 home runs to left-handed batters and goes to his four-seam fastball 28 percent of the time. Benintendi counters with nine homers off right-handed pitching and six off the four-seamer — one of the better pitch-type matchups on the entire card.
Alec Burleson — Cardinals vs Diamondbacks
The lone spot where the wind works against the hitter is in St. Louis, with 75-degree weather and the wind blowing in at seven miles per hour. Even so, the matchup is too good to pass up: Merrill Kelly has allowed 10 home runs to lefties and throws a four-seamer 30 percent of the time, while Burleson brings a card-high 12 home runs off right-handed pitching and five off the four-seamer. The bat-versus-arm edge overrides the modest wind concern.
Matt Olson — Braves vs Padres
The nightcap closes the list in San Diego, where 66-degree weather and a left-to-right wind at seven miles per hour greet Matt Olson against Michael King. King has allowed six home runs to left-handed batters and uses his four-seam fastball 20 percent of the time. Olson, with 12 home runs off righties and six off the four-seamer, is a powerful way to cap the card in a late game.
How to Play the Card
Chris’s recap features all six bats — Paul Goldschmidt, Jonathan Aranda, Jake Bauers, Andrew Benintendi, Alec Burleson and Matt Olson — to go deep on Monday. His core advice never changes: play these as straight bets rather than parlaying them together. Home runs are volatile, and stringing them into a parlay turns a tough proposition into a near-impossible one. Taking them individually means a single connection can still produce a profitable plus-money day.
He also notes he will update the comments throughout the day with any additional home-run targets from games he did not have full data for at video time, so bettors should keep notifications on. The weather edges in New York-Detroit, Milwaukee-Cincinnati and Chicago all point to extra carry, while the dome game in Tampa Bay and the matchups in St. Louis and San Diego lean on pure pitch-type advantages.
Final Word
Chris Adkins’s June 22 Home Run Hit List targets Goldschmidt, Aranda, Bauers, Benintendi, Burleson and Olson, each backed by a favorable matchup against the opposing starter’s pitch mix and home-run history. Play them straight, shop for the best plus-money prices, and ride the hot hand from a hit list that just cashed multiple homers the day before.
Please remember that all sports betting carries risk. Wager responsibly, only stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and reach out to a confidential problem-gambling helpline if betting ever stops being fun.
