Free MLB Picks For Today 6/21/2026

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees

Start Time and TV

1:35 PM ET. TV: YES, CINR.

Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns (R): 14 starts, 14 appearances, 2.01 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 29.8% K, 8.2% BB, 38.5% GB, 1.0 HR/9. FIP: 3.15.

Elmer Rodriguez (R): 3 starts, 3 appearances, 4.15 ERA, 1.85 WHIP, 9.4% K, 14.1% BB, 48.9% GB, 0.0 HR/9.

The Pick

Cincinnati is batting .222 in their past 24 games with a .387 slugging percentage. Yankees in their psat 25 games hit .265 with a .460 slugging percentage. Rodriguez last start is encouraging. Cincinnati bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.20. NY bullpen has performed well at home. Cincinnati has lost 15 of 25 with a -5.1-unit loss. NY is 8-4 at home when lined at -100 to -150 with a +2.7-unit return. Play Yankees -118.

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves

Start Time and TV

1:35 PM ET. TV: BravesVsn, BREW.

Starting Pitchers

Robert Gasser (L): 5 starts, 5 appearances, 4.88 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 22.4% K, 10.3% BB, 24.6% GB, 2.3 HR/9. FIP: 6.09.

Bryce Elder (R): 15 starts, 15 appearances, 3.15 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 19.9% K, 7.4% BB, 44.0% GB, 0.9 HR/9.

The Pick

Milwaukee is hitting .254 on the road with a .387 slugging percentage. Atlanta is hitting .200 at home with a .397 slugging percentage. Gasser in his two road starts allowed nine runs in nine innings. Elder’s numbers are better at home. Braves bullpen in the past 25 games carries an ERA of 2.35 with WHIP of 1.08. Atlanta is 24-13 at home with a +4-unit return. Brewers are 5-8 as a road underdog of +100 or higher with a -2.5-unit loss. Play Atlanta -135.

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers

Start Time and TV

1:40 PM ET. TV: DSN, CHSN.

Starting Pitchers

Davis Martin (R): 14 starts, 14 appearances, 3.31 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 24.9% K, 6.0% BB, 42.4% GB, 0.7 HR/9.

Keider Montero (R): 13 starts, 14 appearances, 3.67 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 16.9% K, 5.8% BB, 34.8% GB, 1.0 HR/9.

The Pick

Chicago is batting .205 on the road against the division with a .359 slugging percentage. Tigers are hitting .240 at home against the division with a .428 slugging percentage. Martin in his eight road starts has an ERA of 5.04. White Sox bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.21 with WHIP of 1.52. Tigers’ bullpen in great recent form. Chicago has lost eight of eleven on the road with a -4.2-unit loss. Tigers are 17-9 as a home favorite of -110 or higher with a +5.3-unit return. Play Detroit -115.

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins

Start Time and TV

1:40 PM ET. TV: MIAM, NBCSBA.

Starting Pitchers

Logan Webb (R): 12 starts, 12 appearances, 3.46 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 21.1% K, 6.2% BB, 53.7% GB, 0.5 HR/9.

Ryan Gusto (R): 3 starts, 5 appearances, 7.24 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 15.2% K, 7.6% BB, 43.1% GB, 1.3 HR/9. FIP: 4.63.

The Pick

Giants are hitting .267 in their past five games with a .467 slugging percentage. Marlins in their past five games hit .256 with a .471 slugging percentage. Gusto’s numbers are better at home. SF bullpen in their past 25 games carries an ERA of 5.66 with WHIP of 1.62. Marlins bullpen at home carries an ERA of 2.59. The Giants are 17-25 on the road with a -5-unit loss. Marlins are 25-16 at home with a +5.9-unit return. Play Miami +120.

Washington Nationals at Tampa Bay Rays

Start Time and TV

1:40 PM ET. TV: RAYS, NATS.

Starting Pitchers

Andrew Alvarez (L): 3 starts, 8 appearances, 3.49 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 25.6% K, 9.9% BB, 55.1% GB, 0.6 HR/9.

Nick Martinez (R): 14 starts, 14 appearances, 2.60 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 14.7% K, 4.1% BB, 35.4% GB, 0.8 HR/9.

The Pick

Washington is batting .244 against right-handed starters with a .426 slugging percentage. Rays are hitting .279 against left-handed starters with a .349 OBP. Nationals bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.41. Rays are 25-10 at home with a +12 unit return. Play Tampa Bay -135.

St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals

Start Time and TV

2:10 PM ET. TV: ROYL, CARD.

Starting Pitchers

Dustin May (R): 14 starts, 14 appearances, 3.75 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 22.8% K, 6.4% BB, 46.2% GB, 0.6 HR/9.

Stephen Kolek (R): 8 starts, 8 appearances, 2.68 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 17.2% K, 5.1% BB, 47.4% GB, 0.9 HR/9. FIP: 3.69.

The Pick

St Louis is batting .258 in their past 26 games with a .406 slugging percentage. KC in their past 27 games hit .264 with a .409 slugging percentage. Kolek in his four home starts carries an ERA of 1.32 with WHIP of 0.87. Cardinals’ bullpen allowed 14 runs in their past 16 1/3rd innings. They lost five out of eight on the road with a -1.9 unit loss. KC is 10-6 at home facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher with a +1.3-unit return. Play Royals +108.

Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros

Start Time and TV

2:10 PM ET. TV: SCHN, CLEG.

Starting Pitchers

Slade Cecconi (R): 15 starts, 15 appearances, 4.60 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 19.2% K, 7.4% BB, 47.1% GB, 1.3 HR/9.

Kai-Wei Teng (R): 8 starts, 21 appearances, 4.31 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 24.7% K, 11.1% BB, 43.1% GB, 1.5 HR/9.

The Pick

Cleveland is batting .217 against right-handed starters with a .359 slugging percentage. Houston bats .242 against right-handed starters with a .411 slugging percentage. Cecconi on the road has an ERA of 4.83 with .432 slugging percentage against. Cleveland bullpen allowed eight runs in their past 11 innings. Astros bullpen in good recent form. Houston is 11-7 at home facing AL teams that average 4.4 runs per game or fewer with a +4.6-unit return. Play Houston -132.

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs

Start Time and TV

2:20 PM ET. TV: MARQ, Sportsnet.

Starting Pitchers

Dylan Cease (R): 13 starts, 13 appearances, 2.71 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 36.3% K, 10.2% BB, 45.6% GB, 0.6 HR/9.

Shota Imanaga (L): 15 starts, 15 appearances, 4.26 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 24.1% K, 6.3% BB, 38.2% GB, 1.8 HR/9.

The Pick

Toronto is batting .258 in their past 28 games with a .430 slugging percentage. Cubs hit .247 in their past 27 games with a .410 slugging percentage. Cease in his past three starts carries an ERA of 1.72. Imanaga in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.11 with .552 slugging percentage against. Chicago bullpen allowed 20 runs in their past 28 2/3rd innings. Chicago has lost 17 of 28 with a -12.4-unit loss. Blue Jays are 7-2 on the road against left-handed starters with a +6.6 unit return. Play Toronto -120.

San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers

Start Time and TV

2:35 PM ET. TV: RSN, SDPA.

Starting Pitchers

Lucas Giolito (R): 5 starts, 6 appearances, 4.56 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, 13.6% K, 17.8% BB, 31.3% GB, 1.1 HR/9. FIP: 5.94.

Nathan Eovaldi will start for Texas. Eovaldi in fourteen starts has an ERA of 4.23 with WHIP of 1.17. The veteran fans 22.9% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 49.6% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Texas is batting .231 at home with a .376 slugging percentage. Eovaldi in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.23. Rangers’ bullpen in their past 27 games carries an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP of 1.38. Padres are 21-17 on the road with a +4.7-unit return. Texas has lost five of eight at home with a -2.8 unit loss. Play San Diego +130.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies

Start Time and TV

3:10 PM ET. TV: COLR, SNP.

Starting Pitchers

Jared Jones (R): 4 starts, 4 appearances, 6.23 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 23.1% K, 7.7% BB, 42.6% GB, 2.1 HR/9. FIP: 5.05.

Michael Lorenzen (R): 15 starts, 16 appearances, 7.13 ERA, 1.85 WHIP, 17.5% K, 7.3% BB, 44.8% GB, 1.5 HR/9. FIP: 4.83.

The Pick

Pittsburgh is batting .238 on the road with a .377 slugging percentage. Colorado hits .265 at home with a .427 slugging percentage. Jones in his past four starts carries an ERA of 6.23. Rockies bullpen in their past six games has an ERA of 2.79. Pittsburgh is 7-10 on the road against losing teams with a 4.4-unit loss. Rockies are 16-18 at home when lined at +100 or higher with a +4.9-unit return. Play Colorado +128.

Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks

Start Time and TV

3:15 PM ET. TV: Peacock.

Starting Pitchers

Mike Paredes expected to start for Minnesota. Paredes appeared in four games with an ERA of 4.20 and WHIP of 1.00. The right handed strikes out 15.9% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls are 38.6% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Jose Cabrera makes the start for Arizona. Cabrera expected to make his MLB debut. The right hander held an ERA of 3.94 in Triple A and ERA of 3.60 in Double A this season with 64 strikeouts in 61 innings combined.

The Pick

Minnesota is batting .238 on the road with a .313 OBP. Their bullpen in the past 27 games carries an ERA of 5.51 with WHIP of 1.54. Diamondbacks are hitting .248 at home with a .409 slugging percentage. Twins are 5-9 on the road against winning teams with a -3-unit loss. Arizona is 15-8 at home against losing teams with a +4.8-unit return. Play Arizona.

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics

Start Time and TV

4:05 PM ET. TV: NBCSCA, ABTV.

Starting Pitchers

Reid Detmers (L): 15 starts, 15 appearances, 3.68 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 28.2% K, 6.8% BB, 35.1% GB, 0.7 HR/9.

Jack Perkins (R): 3 starts, 20 appearances, 6.15 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 26.3% K, 7.5% BB, 39.3% GB, 1.1 HR/9. FIP: 3.75.

The Pick

LA is batting .261 in their past 27 games with a .432 slugging percentage. Athletics in this period is hitting .254 with a .464 slugging percentage. Detmers numbers are better on the road. Perkins in his past seven appearances has an ERA of 7.77 with .500 slugging percentage against. Athletics bullpen has allowed 30 runs in their past 26 1/3rd innings. Athletics are 8-11 at home against losing teams with a -6.9 unit loss. Play Angels +112.

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners

Start Time and TV

4:10 PM ET. TV: SEAM, NESN.

Starting Pitchers

Payton Tolle (L): 10 starts, 10 appearances, 2.93 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 25.4% K, 6.8% BB, 34.4% GB, 0.8 HR/9.

Logan Gilbert (R): 15 starts, 15 appearances, 3.43 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 26.6% K, 5.8% BB, 32.9% GB, 1.4 HR/9.

The Pick

Boston is batting .255 in their past 24 games with a .419 slugging percentage. Seattle is batting .227 at home with a .397 slugging percentage. Seattle bullpen has allowed 11 runs in their past 15 games. Boston bullpen has performed well on the road. Boston is 17-8 on the road when lined at +125 to -125 with a +9.8-unit return. Seattle is 4-8 at home facing teams with a .380-to-.460-win percentage with a -6 unit loss. Play Boston +123.

Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers

Start Time and TV

4:10 PM ET. TV: SNLA, MASN.

Starting Pitchers

Brandon Young (R): 11 starts, 11 appearances, 3.18 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 16.6% K, 8.7% BB, 40.5% GB, 0.9 HR/9.

Emmet Sheehan (R): 13 starts, 13 appearances, 4.76 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 26.8% K, 6.3% BB, 36.6% GB, 1.7 HR/9.

The Pick

Baltimore is batting .252 in their past 27 games with a .423 slugging percentage. LA in their past 26 games hit .263 with a .457 slugging percentage. Young in his four day starts carries an ERA of 4.71. Sheehan in his three starts has an ERA of 6.75 with .480 slugging percentage against. Orioles bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.45. Orioles are 16-10-1 to the over in their past 27 games. LA is 10-7 to the over at home when lined between -175 and -250. Play Orioles and Dodgers over 9.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies

Start Time and TV

7:20 PM ET. TV: NBC.

Starting Pitchers

David Peterson (L): 7 starts, 15 appearances, 5.91 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 19.4% K, 9.4% BB, 51.5% GB, 0.7 HR/9. FIP: 3.75.

Zack Wheeler (R): 10 starts, 10 appearances, 2.01 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 26.3% K, 6.4% BB, 45.9% GB, 1.0 HR/9. FIP: 3.38.

The Pick

NY is batting .228 on the road with a .366 slugging percentage. Philadelphia is hitting .252 at home with a .436 slugging percentage. Peterson in his past five appearances has an ERA of 6.97 with WHIP of 1.74. Wheelers’ numbers are better at home. Phillies bullpen in good recent form. Mets are 3-6 to the run line on the road with a -3.5-unit loss. Philadelphia is 11-7 to the run line when favored at home between -150 and -200 with a +6-unit return. Play Phillies on run line -1.5 runs at +110.

Free MLB Picks For Today 6/21/2026

MLB Sharp Betting Card

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees

Play: New York Yankees -118
Moneyline: -118
Grade: B+ (Home lineup edge)
Key Edges:

• Yankees own the stronger recent offensive form
• Cincinnati has struggled over its last 24 games
• Reds road bullpen carries a weak 5.20 ERA
• New York bullpen has held up better at home
• Yankees fit a profitable short home-favorite range
• Reds enter with poor recent unit performance

Read:
The Yankees have the cleaner offensive profile and the better late-game support. Cincinnati’s road bullpen issues make New York a solid home moneyline side at a manageable price.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves

Play: Atlanta Braves -135
Moneyline: -135
Grade: B+ (Bullpen support)
Key Edges:

• Braves have the stronger home starter profile
• Robert Gasser has struggled in road starts
• Bryce Elder has better home numbers
• Atlanta bullpen owns strong recent form
• Brewers have been poor as road underdogs
• Braves have produced positive home-unit value

Read:
Atlanta has the more reliable pitching setup from starter to bullpen. With Gasser showing road issues and the Braves bullpen carrying a strong recent ERA, the home favorite has the cleaner betting profile.

Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers

Play: Detroit Tigers -115
Moneyline: -115
Grade: B+ (Bullpen gap)
Key Edges:

• Tigers have the better divisional home offense
• White Sox road offense has been weak
• Davis Martin’s road ERA is a concern
• Chicago road bullpen owns a 5.21 ERA
• Detroit bullpen is in strong recent form
• Tigers have been profitable as home favorites

Read:
Detroit gets the edge through offensive split, bullpen gap, and home-favorite profile. Chicago’s road run prevention is the biggest concern, especially if this game turns into a bullpen matchup.

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins

Play: Miami Marlins +120
Moneyline: +120
Grade: B (Plus-money home dog)
Key Edges:

• Miami offers plus-money dog value
• Marlins have strong home-unit performance
• Giants bullpen has struggled badly recently
• Miami bullpen has been sharp at home
• Both offenses enter with solid short-term form
• Giants have been a losing road investment

Read:
This is a bullpen-driven plus-money spot on Miami. Even with Logan Webb on the other side, the Giants’ recent relief issues create value on the home dog.

Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays

Play: Tampa Bay Rays -135
Moneyline: -135
Grade: B (Home split edge)
Key Edges:

• Rays hit left-handed starters well
• Nationals bullpen has been shaky on the road
• Nick Martinez brings a strong run-prevention profile
• Tampa Bay owns major home profitability
• Rays have the cleaner overall setup
• Washington faces a difficult road spot

Read:
Tampa Bay has the matchup edge against a left-handed starter and the better home profile. The Nationals bullpen risk gives the Rays a clear late-game advantage.

St Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals

Play: Kansas City Royals +108
Moneyline: +108
Grade: B (Home dog value)
Key Edges:

• Royals offer plus-money home value
• Stephen Kolek has excellent home numbers
• Cardinals bullpen has been leaking runs
• Kansas City offense has held steady recently
• Cardinals have struggled on the road
• Royals fit a profitable home matchup angle

Read:
Kansas City has enough pitching and bullpen-edge support to justify the plus price. Kolek’s home form and St Louis’ relief issues make the Royals live as a short home underdog.

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros

Play: Houston Astros -132
Moneyline: -132
Grade: B (Lineup split edge)
Key Edges:

• Astros have the stronger right-handed pitching split
• Cleveland offense has struggled against righties
• Slade Cecconi has weaker road numbers
• Guardians bullpen has allowed recent damage
• Houston bullpen is in better recent form
• Astros have a profitable home matchup profile

Read:
Houston owns the better offensive split and bullpen setup. Cleveland’s light righty-split offense makes the Astros a reasonable home favorite.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs

Play: Toronto Blue Jays -120
Moneyline: -120
Grade: A- (Starter-form edge)
Key Edges:

• Dylan Cease enters in strong recent form
• Shota Imanaga has struggled over his last five starts
• Toronto has the better recent slugging profile
• Cubs bullpen has allowed heavy recent damage
• Chicago has been a poor recent unit performer
• Blue Jays have been profitable on the road vs lefties

Read:
Toronto checks multiple sharp boxes with the better starter form, stronger matchup split, and bullpen advantage. At a short road price, the Blue Jays carry one of the cleaner moneyline profiles on the card.

San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers

Play: San Diego Padres +130
Moneyline: +130
Grade: B (Plus-money dog)
Key Edges:

• Padres offer strong plus-money value
• Texas offense has been modest at home
• Nathan Eovaldi has struggled recently
• Rangers bullpen has poor recent numbers
• Padres have been profitable on the road
• Texas has dropped five of eight at home

Read:
San Diego is a live road dog against a Texas side with starter-form and bullpen concerns. The plus price adds value against a Rangers team that has not protected home field well.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies

Play: Colorado Rockies +128
Moneyline: +128
Grade: C+ (Volatile home dog)
Key Edges:

• Rockies carry plus-money home value
• Colorado offense is stronger at home
• Jared Jones has struggled in recent starts
• Michael Lorenzen is volatile but supported by home bats
• Rockies bullpen has shown short-term improvement
• Pittsburgh has struggled on the road vs losing teams

Read:
This is a higher-risk dog play because both pitching profiles carry volatility. The case for Colorado is built around home offense, plus-money pricing, and Pittsburgh’s road weakness.

Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Play: Arizona Diamondbacks
Moneyline: Arizona Diamondbacks, odds not listed
Grade: B- (Home-profile edge)
Key Edges:

• Arizona has the stronger home offensive profile
• Minnesota road offense owns a weak OBP
• Twins bullpen has struggled badly recently
• Diamondbacks fit a profitable home angle vs losing teams
• Minnesota has struggled on the road vs winning teams
• Arizona gets the cleaner situational spot

Read:
Arizona is supported by the better home profile and a clear bullpen edge. The missing price keeps the grade slightly lower, but the matchup still leans Diamondbacks.

Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics

Play: Los Angeles Angels +112
Moneyline: +112
Grade: B (Bullpen fade value)
Key Edges:

• Angels offer plus-money value
• Reid Detmers has better road numbers
• Jack Perkins has struggled badly recently
• Athletics bullpen has allowed heavy recent damage
• Angels offense has shown solid recent slugging
• Athletics have been poor at home vs losing teams

Read:
The Angels are priced as a dog despite having the cleaner starter and bullpen setup. Perkins’ recent form and the Athletics’ bullpen fatigue make Los Angeles attractive at plus money.

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners

Play: Boston Red Sox +123
Moneyline: +123
Grade: B+ (Road dog value)
Key Edges:

• Boston offers plus-money road value
• Red Sox have stronger recent offensive form
• Seattle has struggled offensively at home
• Boston bullpen has performed well on the road
• Mariners bullpen has allowed recent damage
• Boston has been profitable in short road-price ranges

Read:
Boston fits as a sharp road dog with better current offense and solid bullpen support. Seattle’s home offensive profile does not justify laying a premium in this matchup.

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Play: Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Dodgers over 9
Total: Over 9
Grade: B (Offensive-form total)
Key Edges:

• Both offenses enter with solid recent slugging
• Brandon Young has weaker day-start numbers
• Emmet Sheehan has struggled in recent starts
• Orioles road bullpen has poor ERA and WHIP marks
• Baltimore has trended strongly to the over recently
• Dodgers fit a profitable home over angle

Read:
The over is supported by starter vulnerability, bullpen risk, and two offenses showing recent power. With both teams carrying scoring indicators, over 9 is a reasonable total position.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +110
Run Line: -1.5 runs at +110
Grade: A- (Run-line value)
Key Edges:

• Phillies offer plus-money run-line value
• Zack Wheeler has elite home-supporting numbers
• David Peterson has struggled badly recently
• Mets road offense has been light
• Phillies bullpen is in good recent form
• Philadelphia has been profitable on the home favorite run line

Read:
Philadelphia has the biggest starting pitching edge on the board with Wheeler against Peterson. The plus-money run line makes sense given the matchup gap, Mets road issues, and Phillies bullpen support.