Free WNBA Picks For Today 6/13/2026
Indiana Fever at Connecticut Sun
Injuries
Indiana Fever: S. Cunningham GTD. J. Pissott GTD.
Connecticut Sun: B. Griner GTD. A. Jackson GTD. A. Morrow GTD. H. Van Lith GTD.
Start Time and TV Network
6:00 PM ET. TV: Peacock, NBC Sports Network, Local.
Indiana Fever Expected Lineup
G Caitlin Clark, G Lexie Hull, G Kelsey Mitchell, F M. Billings, C Aliyah Boston.
Connecticut Sun Expected Lineup
G Leila Lacan, G Saniya Rivers, F D. Miller, F A. Edwards, C B. Griner.
Game Summary
Indiana enters with the stronger efficiency profile and the cleaner offensive baseline. The Fever are 7-5 with a 106.8 offensive rating, while Connecticut sits 2-12 with a 96.1 offensive rating and the lowest net rating on the board at -14.4.
The pace edge also leans Indiana. The Fever play at 99.62 possessions, while Connecticut is at 96.42, giving Indiana the better tempo profile if Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell are able to control the backcourt rhythm.
Efficiency Report Analysis
Indiana holds the offensive edge at 106.8 compared to Connecticut at 96.1. The Fever also defend better with a 102.8 defensive rating, while the Sun allow 110.5 points per 100 possessions.
Indiana owns the better net rating at +4.0 compared to Connecticut at -14.4. The Fever also lead in rebound rate at 53.5% to 50.0%, eFG% at 50.9% to 45.8%, and TS% at 56.4% to 49.7%.
Turnovers are a concern for both teams. Indiana has a 19.1% turnover rate, while Connecticut is slightly worse at 19.5%. The Fever have the better AST/TO ratio at 1.31 compared to 1.16.
The Pick
Fever has failed to cover four of five on the road as they have shot 43% overall. Connecticut has covered four of five with improvement defensively. The Sun in their past five games have shot 45% overall and held opponents to 45% shooting. Three straight failed covers by the Fever as favorites. Play Connecticut -10.5.
Minnesota Lynx at Las Vegas Aces
Injuries
Minnesota Lynx: E. Hamzova GTD. Liatu King GTD. N. Collier OUT. Dorka Juhasz OUT.
Las Vegas Aces: Dana Evans OUT.
Start Time and TV Network
8:00 PM ET. TV: Check Local Listings / League Pass.
Minnesota Lynx Expected Lineup
G Kayla McBride, G C. Williams, G Olivia Miles, F Nia Coffey, F N. Howard.
Las Vegas Aces Expected Lineup
G Jackie Young, G Chelsea Gray, F S. Talbot, F NaLyssa Smith, C A’ja Wilson.
Game Summary
This is the strongest efficiency matchup on the June 13 WNBA card. Minnesota owns the best net rating in the league at +15.1, while Las Vegas remains elite offensively with a 112.2 offensive rating.
The key handicap is Minnesota’s defensive edge against the Aces’ shot-making. The Lynx allow only 96.5 points per 100 possessions, while Las Vegas sits at 105.5 defensively.
Efficiency Report Analysis
Las Vegas has a slight offensive edge at 112.2 compared to Minnesota at 111.6, but Minnesota has the major defensive edge with a 96.5 defensive rating compared to Las Vegas at 105.5.
Minnesota leads in net rating at +15.1 compared to Las Vegas at +6.6. Both teams play at nearly identical pace, with Minnesota at 97.55 and Las Vegas at 97.65.
The Aces protect possessions better with a 16.5% turnover rate and a 1.73 AST/TO ratio. Minnesota has the better overall shooting efficiency with a 55.7% eFG% and 59.0% TS%.
The Pick
Minnesota has covered all five road games this season as they have shot 51% from the field and allowed 35% overall. Las Vegas has not defended well at home as they surrender 93 points per game, 47% shooting with 42% from three. There is a huge variance in net rating on the side of the Lynx by +8.5. Lynx are outscoring opponents by 14.4 points per game on the road. Play Minnesota +2.5.
Dallas Wings at Portland Fire
Injuries
Dallas Wings: Odyssey Sims OUT.
Portland Fire: J. Harrison GTD.
Start Time and TV Network
8:30 PM ET. TV: League Pass. Radio: 910 ESPN Portland.
Dallas Wings Expected Lineup
G Arike Ogunbowale, G Paige Bueckers, G Azzi Fudd, F M. Siegrist, C J. Shepard.
Portland Fire Expected Lineup
G Carla Leite, G S. Barker, F E. Engstler, F B. Carleton, C M. Gustafson.
Game Summary
Dallas enters with a strong offensive profile and a major ball-security edge. The Wings are 8-4 with a 110.0 offensive rating, while Portland sits 6-8 with a 104.1 offensive rating and a -6.1 net rating.
The matchup tilts toward Dallas if the Wings control turnovers and generate clean looks for Ogunbowale, Bueckers, and Fudd. Portland needs a half-court efficiency boost and must limit live-ball mistakes.
Efficiency Report Analysis
Dallas has the clear offensive edge at 110.0 compared to Portland at 104.1. The Wings also defend better at 104.0, while Portland allows 110.2 points per 100 possessions.
The biggest gap is turnover rate. Dallas owns a 15.4% turnover rate with a 1.89 AST/TO ratio, while Portland has a 20.0% turnover rate and a 1.22 AST/TO ratio.
Portland is competitive in shooting efficiency with a 51.8% eFG% and 56.0% TS%, but Dallas has the stronger overall profile due to offense, defense, net rating, and possession control.
The Pick
Dallas has been a poor defensive team on the road as they allow 50% shooting. They shot 47.1% away from home and put up 91 points per game. Portland has shot well at home at 47% overall. The Fire has struggled with turnovers which will lead to transition points for the Wings. This has the look of a high scoring game. Play Dallas and Portland over 170.
Los Angeles Sparks at Phoenix Mercury
Injuries
Los Angeles Sparks: Kate Martin GTD. Laura Ziegler GTD.
Phoenix Mercury: Marta Suarez GTD. K. Williams GTD. Sami Whitcomb OUT.
Start Time and TV Network
10:00 PM ET. TV: WNBA League Pass, Spectrum SportsNet, Arizona’s Family 3TV, Merc+.
Los Angeles Sparks Expected Lineup
G Erica Wheeler, G Ariel Atkins, G Kelsey Plum, F Dearica Hamby, C N. Ogwumike.
Phoenix Mercury Expected Lineup
G K. Copper, G M. Akoa Makani, F N. Brochant, F Alyssa Thomas, F Natasha Mack.
Game Summary
Los Angeles enters at 6-6 with a stronger offensive profile than Phoenix. The Sparks have a 108.8 offensive rating, while the Mercury sit at 102.4 and have struggled to create efficient scoring possessions.
Phoenix does have the defensive edge, but Los Angeles brings better shooting efficiency, a faster pace, and a stronger scoring profile with Kelsey Plum, Ariel Atkins, Dearica Hamby, and N. Ogwumike.
Efficiency Report Analysis
Los Angeles has the offensive edge at 108.8 compared to Phoenix at 102.4. Phoenix has the better defensive rating at 107.3 compared to Los Angeles at 111.1.
The Sparks play faster at 97.75 pace, while Phoenix is at 94.89. Los Angeles also has the better shooting profile with a 52.7% eFG% and 57.6% TS% compared to Phoenix at 47.2% eFG% and 53.4% TS%.
Phoenix takes better care of the ball with a 16.8% turnover rate compared to Los Angeles at 18.7%, and the Mercury have a slight AST/TO edge at 1.39 to 1.31.
The Pick
Mercury has lost eight of their past ten with struggles shooting the basketball. Phoenix form is poor in their past five games as they are shooting 39.8% and surrendering 48.3% overall. Sparks have Plum healthy and have won two straight. Sparks defensively in their past five games are allowing 44.7% shooting with 28% from three. Play LA Sparks -1.
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