Free MLB Picks For Today 6/6/2026

MLB Daily Card for June 6, 2026

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers

Start Time: 1:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Seattle Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller, Right-Handed Pitcher

Bryce Miller has made 4 appearances with 3 starts. He enters with a 1.71 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP.

Miller owns a 25.3% strikeout rate, a 3.8% walk rate, a 42.6% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.9 home runs per nine innings.

Miller’s FIP is 2.87, which is more than one run higher than his ERA.

Detroit Starting Pitcher: Keider Montero, Right-Handed Pitcher

Keider Montero has made 11 appearances with 11 starts. He enters with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP.

Montero owns a 17.8% strikeout rate, a 6.2% walk rate, a 34.8% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.0 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Seattle is batting .238 against right-handed starters but a .417 slugging percentage. Detroit has a slugging percentage of .387 against right-handed starters. Montero is in his four-day games who carries an ERA of 4.57. Tigers’ bullpen has allowed 14 runs in their past 18 innings. Tigers are 8-19 in the past month with a -12.4-unit loss. Play Seattle -128.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins

Start Time: 2:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Kansas City Starting Pitcher: Luinder Avila, Right-Handed Pitcher

Luinder Avila has made 11 appearances with 2 starts. He enters with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP.

Avila owns a 21.6% strikeout rate, a 13.8% walk rate, a 46.7% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.7 home runs per nine innings.

Minnesota Starting Pitcher: Joe Ryan, Right-Handed Pitcher

Joe Ryan has made 13 appearances with 13 starts. He enters with a 3.20 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP.

Ryan owns a 28.0% strikeout rate, a 5.0% walk rate, a 36.8% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.8 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

KC is batting .224 on the road with a .348 slugging percentage. Twins are batting .234 in their 30 day games with a .366 slugging percentage. Avila in his six road appearances carries an ERA of 1.88. Ryan’s numbers have been better at home. KC is 16-5 to the under as a road underdog of +100 or higher. Play Kansas City and Minnesota under 8.5.

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

Start Time: 2:15 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Cincinnati Starting Pitcher: Nick Lodolo, Left-Handed Pitcher

Nick Lodolo has made 5 appearances with 5 starts. He enters with a 5.20 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP.

Lodolo owns an 18.3% strikeout rate, a 10.8% walk rate, a 39.2% ground-ball rate and has allowed 2.3 home runs per nine innings.

Lodolo’s FIP is 6.76, which is more than one run higher than his ERA.

St. Louis Starting Pitcher: Matthew Liberatore, Left-Handed Pitcher

Matthew Liberatore has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP.

Liberatore owns a 21.3% strikeout rate, an 8.6% walk rate, a 38.5% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.5 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Cincinnati in their past six games bat .214. Cardinals in this period bat .260 with an OBP of .336. Reds bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.21 with WHIP of 1.62. Cardinals’ bullpen in the past 26 games has an ERA of 3.16. Cincinnati is 2-12 against the division and 0-9 against the division on the road. St Louis is 9-5 against left handed starters with a +4.7 unit return. Play Cardinals -121.

San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs

Start Time: 2:20 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

San Francisco Starting Pitcher: Landen Roupp, Right-Handed Pitcher

Landen Roupp has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 4.22 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP.

Roupp owns a 26.6% strikeout rate, a 10.0% walk rate, a 49.4% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.4 home runs per nine innings.

Roupp’s FIP is 2.82, which is more than one run lower than his ERA.

Chicago Cubs Starting Pitcher: Ben Brown, Right-Handed Pitcher

Ben Brown has made 17 appearances with 5 starts. He enters with a 1.92 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP.

Brown owns a 26.4% strikeout rate, a 7.5% walk rate, a 51.5% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.2 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

SF is batting .273 on the road with a .443. slugging percentage. Cubs are hitting .215 in the past 28 games with a .341 slugging percentage with a 9-19 mark and a -14.7-unit loss. Roupp in his three-day games carries an ERA of 2.41. Play San Francisco +131.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

Start Time: 3:07 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Baltimore Starting Pitcher: Kyle Bradish, Right-Handed Pitcher

Kyle Bradish has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP.

Bradish owns a 23.1% strikeout rate, an 11.7% walk rate, a 50.6% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.0 home runs per nine innings.

Toronto Starting Pitcher: Spencer Miles, Right-Handed Pitcher expect to be bulk pitcher

Spencer Miles has made 16 appearances with 2 starts. He enters with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP.

Miles owns a 22.7% strikeout rate, an 8.0% walk rate, a 55.9% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.7 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Orioles in their past six games are batting .287 with a .436 slugging percentage. Blue Jays in this period hit .282 with a .401 slugging percentage. Bradish numbers have been worse on the road. Both bullpens have been hammered in recent games. Blue Jays have gone over 6 of seven. Orioles are 18-10-2 to the over in their day games. Play Baltimore and Toronto over 8.

Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia Phillies

Start Time: 4:05 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Chicago White Sox Starting Pitcher: Sean Burke, Right-Handed Pitcher

Sean Burke has made 12 appearances with 10 starts. He enters with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP.

Burke owns a 22.2% strikeout rate, a 6.7% walk rate, a 35.9% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.7 home runs per nine innings.

Philadelphia Starting Pitcher: Andrew Painter, Right-Handed Pitcher

Andrew Painter has made 11 appearances with 10 starts. He enters with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP.

Painter owns an 18.2% strikeout rate, a 7.2% walk rate, a 38.4% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.5 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

White Sox in their past six games bat .268 with a .498 slugging percentage. Burke’s numbers have been better on the road. Painter in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.29 with .511 slugging percentage against. White Sox bullpen in the better recent form. Chicago is 7-5 on the road against winning teams with a +4.7 unit return. Philadelphia is 2-5 at home facing teams that average 1.25 home runs per game or greater with a -4 unit loss. Play White Sox +115.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves

Start Time: 4:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Pittsburgh Starting Pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft, Right-Handed Pitcher

Braxton Ashcraft has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP.

Ashcraft owns a 27.3% strikeout rate, a 5.7% walk rate, a 46.9% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.8 home runs per nine innings.

Atlanta Starting Pitcher: Spencer Strider, Right-Handed Pitcher

Spencer Strider has made 6 appearances with 6 starts. He enters with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP.

Strider owns a 31.5% strikeout rate, a 13.4% walk rate, a 31.9% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.7 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Pittsburgh is batting .233 on the road with a .365 slugging percentage. Braves hit .254 at home with a .405 slugging percentage. Strider at home carries an ERA of 1.69. Braves bullpen in greater recent and season form. Atlanta is 21-11 at home with a +3.8-unit return. Pirates are 7-11 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 with a -3-unit loss. Play Braves -110.

Athletics at Houston Astros

Start Time: 4:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Athletics Starting Pitcher: Kade Morris, Right-Handed Pitcher

Kade Morris is listed as the expected starter. The right hander was a third-round pick in 2023 that is expected to make his MLB debut. Morris in 11 Triple A starts had an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.48, striking out 49 batters in 60 2/3rd innings.

Houston Starting Pitcher: Tatsuya Imai, Right-Handed Pitcher

Tatsuya Imai has made 7 appearances with 7 starts. He enters with a 5.52 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP.

Imai owns a 22.2% strikeout rate, a 15.9% walk rate, a 51.4% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.5 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Athletics are hitting .233 on the road with a.375 slugging percentage. Houston has a .395 slugging percentage at home. Imai in his past four starts has a WHIP of 1.06. Astros bullpen in the better recent form. Astros are 9-5 at home against losing teams with a +4.3-unit return. Play Houston -110.

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins

Start Time: 4:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Tampa Bay Starting Pitcher: Shane McClanahan, Left-Handed Pitcher

Shane McClanahan has made 11 appearances with 11 starts. He enters with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP.

McClanahan owns a 23.9% strikeout rate, an 8.6% walk rate, a 43.8% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.3 home runs per nine innings.

Miami Starting Pitcher: Lake Bachar, Right-Handed Pitcher

Lake Bachar has made 19 appearances with 1 start. He enters with a 3.45 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP.

Bachar owns a 27.8% strikeout rate, an 8.7% walk rate, a 35.5% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.4 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Rays on the road are batting .258 with an OBP of .332. Miami is hitting .229 against left-handed starters with a .368 slugging percentage. McClanahan in his past five starts carries an ERA of 1.73 with WHIP of 0.84 Both bullpens in poor recent form. Marlins are 3-14 to the run line against left-handed starters with a -12.8 unit loss. Play Rays on run line -1.5 runs at +115.

Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks

Start Time: 4:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Washington Starting Pitcher: Zack Littell, Right-Handed Pitcher

Zack Littell has made 12 appearances with 8 starts. He enters with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP.

Littell owns a 13.5% strikeout rate, a 7.3% walk rate, a 34.3% ground-ball rate and has allowed 2.3 home runs per nine innings.

Littell’s FIP is 6.22, which is more than one run higher than his ERA.

Arizona Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez, Left-Handed Pitcher

Eduardo Rodriguez has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 2.24 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP.

Rodriguez owns a 17.6% strikeout rate, an 8.8% walk rate, a 41.9% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.6 home runs per nine innings.

Rodriguez’s FIP is 3.64, which is more than one run higher than his ERA.

The Pick

Washington is batting .247 on the road with a .411 slugging percentage. Arizona hits .230 against right-handed starters with a. 373 slugging percentage. Littell in his past five appearances has an ERA of 2.33 with WHIP of 1.07. Washington is 11-3 on the road against left-handed starters with a +13.6-unit return. Play Washington +138.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

Start Time: 7:35 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Boston Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suarez, Left-Handed Pitcher

Ranger Suarez has made 11 appearances with 11 starts. He enters with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP.

Suarez owns a 23.9% strikeout rate, an 8.0% walk rate, a 39.6% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.6 home runs per nine innings.

New York Yankees Starting Pitcher: Will Warren, Right-Handed Pitcher

Will Warren has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP.

Warren owns a 25.8% strikeout rate, a 7.0% walk rate, a 40.6% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.0 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Boston is batting .271 in their past six games with a .448 slugging percentage. Yankees in this period hit .222 with a .345 slugging percentage. Suarez numbers have been better at home. Red Sox bullpen allowed one run in their past 13 innings. Yankees pen in poor recent form. Yankees have dropped five of seven with a -6-unit loss. Both Judge and Stanton are out of the Yankees lineup. Play Boston +115.

Cleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers

Start Time: 7:35 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Cleveland Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee, Right-Handed Pitcher

Tanner Bibee has made 13 appearances with 13 starts. He enters with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.

Bibee owns a 20.7% strikeout rate, a 7.6% walk rate, a 37.9% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.7 home runs per nine innings.

Texas Starting Pitcher: Jack Leiter, Right-Handed Pitcher

Jack Leiter has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.

Leiter owns a 25.8% strikeout rate, a 9.8% walk rate, a 39.4% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.2 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Cleveland is batting .218 against right-handed starters with a .365 slugging percentage. Rangers are batting .221 at home with a .357 slugging percentage. Leiter in his past five starts has an ERA of 2.86. Rangers bullpen has performed well at home. Rangers are 19-9-2 to the under at home. Guardians are 7-4 to the under on the road facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower. Play Cleveland and Texas under 8.

Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies

Start Time: 9:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Milwaukee Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski, Right-Handed Pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 1.65 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP.

Misiorowski owns a 39.6% strikeout rate, a 7.0% walk rate, a 44.6% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.5 home runs per nine innings.

Colorado Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo, Right-Handed Pitcher

Valente Bellozo has made 3 appearances with 0 starts. He enters with a 7.59 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP.

Bellozo owns a 16.7% strikeout rate, a 14.6% walk rate, a 25.8% ground-ball rate and has allowed 4.2 home runs per nine innings.

Bellozo’s FIP is 9.95, which is more than one run higher than his ERA.

The Pick

Brewers are hitting .237 on the road with a .334 slugging percentage. Rockies are hitting .245 against right-handed starters. Misiorowski’s numbers are better on the road. Brewers’ bullpen has performed well on the year. Brewers starter and bullpen key here. Play Milwaukee and Colorado under 10.5.

Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers

Start Time: 10:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

Los Angeles Angels Starting Pitcher: Jack Kochanowicz, Right-Handed Pitcher

Jack Kochanowicz has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP.

Kochanowicz owns a 16.0% strikeout rate, a 12.2% walk rate, a 57.0% ground-ball rate and has allowed 0.8 home runs per nine innings.

Los Angeles Dodgers Starting Pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Right-Handed Pitcher

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has made 11 appearances with 11 starts. He enters with a 2.86 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP.

Yamamoto owns a 25.6% strikeout rate, a 5.6% walk rate, a 46.4% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.2 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick

Angels are hitting .212 against the NL with a .320 slugging percentage. LA bats .254 at home. Yamamoto in his past four starts has an ERA of 2.45. Angels’ bullpen in good recent form. Dodgers’ bullpen has performed well at home. LAD is 20-12 to the under at home. Play Angels and Dodgers under 8.5.

New York Mets at San Diego Padres

Start Time: 10:10 PM ET

TV Network: Watch Now / local broadcast listing not provided

New York Mets Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean, Right-Handed Pitcher

Nolan McLean has made 12 appearances with 12 starts. He enters with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP.

McLean owns a 27.9% strikeout rate, an 8.7% walk rate, a 45.5% ground-ball rate and has allowed 1.1 home runs per nine innings.

San Diego Starting Pitcher: Griffin Canning, Right-Handed Pitcher

Griffin Canning has made 6 appearances with 6 starts. He enters with a 7.16 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP.

Canning owns a 22.5% strikeout rate, a 12.5% walk rate, a 46.2% ground-ball rate and has allowed 2.0 home runs per nine innings.

Canning’s FIP is 5.60, which is more than one run lower than his ERA.

The Pick

NY is batting .240 in their past five games with a .449 slugging percentage. Padres in the past 26 games hit .191 with a .325 slugging percentage. McLean’s numbers are better on the road. Canning in his past five starts has an ERA of 8.34 with a .517 slugging percentage. Padres are 1-5 on the road facing an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower with a -4.2 unit loss. Play NY -115.
Free MLB Picks For Today 6/6/2026

MLB Sharp Betting Card

Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers

Play: Seattle Mariners -128
Moneyline: Seattle Mariners -128
Grade: B+ (Starting Pitching Edge)
Key Edges:

• Bryce Miller brings a 1.71 ERA and 0.86 WHIP
• Miller owns strong command with a 25.3% strikeout rate and 3.8% walk rate
• Seattle has the better slugging split against right-handed pitching
• Keider Montero has a 4.57 ERA in day games
• Detroit bullpen has allowed 14 runs over its last 18 innings
• Tigers are 8-19 over the past month with a -12.4-unit loss

Read:
Seattle has the cleaner starter profile and the better recent bullpen angle. Detroit’s form is ugly, and Montero’s day-game split makes the Mariners playable at a short road price.

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins

Play: Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins Under 8.5
Total: Under 8.5
Grade: B (Under Profile)
Key Edges:

• Kansas City is batting just .224 on the road
• Royals carry only a .348 road slugging percentage
• Minnesota is hitting .234 over its last 30 day games
• Luinder Avila has a 1.88 ERA in six road appearances
• Joe Ryan has been stronger at home
• Kansas City is 16-5 to the under as a road underdog of +100 or higher

Read:
Both lineups profile light, and the starter splits point toward run suppression. The under fits with Kansas City’s road offensive issues and Ryan’s home efficiency.

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Play: St. Louis Cardinals -121
Moneyline: St. Louis Cardinals -121
Grade: B+ (Bullpen Gap)
Key Edges:

• Cincinnati is batting .214 over its last six games
• St. Louis is batting .260 during the same stretch
• Reds road bullpen owns a 5.21 ERA and 1.62 WHIP
• Cardinals bullpen has a 3.16 ERA over its last 26 games
• Cincinnati is 2-12 against the division
• Reds are 0-9 against the division on the road
• St. Louis is 9-5 against left-handed starters with a +4.7-unit return

Read:
The Cardinals have the better current lineup form and a clear bullpen gap. Cincinnati’s division road numbers are bad enough to justify laying the short home price.

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs

Play: San Francisco Giants +131
Moneyline: San Francisco Giants +131
Grade: B+ (Plus-Money Dog)
Key Edges:

• San Francisco is batting .273 on the road
• Giants own a strong .443 road slugging percentage
• Chicago is hitting just .215 over its last 28 games
• Cubs have a .341 slugging percentage during that stretch
• Chicago is 9-19 over that span with a -14.7-unit loss
• Landen Roupp has a 2.41 ERA in day games
• Roupp’s FIP is much better than his ERA

Read:
San Francisco has the better road offensive form, while Chicago’s lineup has been cold for nearly a month. At +131, the Giants check the plus-money dog box.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Play: Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays Over 8
Total: Over 8
Grade: B (Bullpen Fade)
Key Edges:

• Baltimore is batting .287 over its last six games
• Orioles have a .436 slugging percentage during that stretch
• Toronto is hitting .282 over the same period
• Blue Jays carry a .401 slugging percentage in recent form
• Kyle Bradish has been worse on the road
• Both bullpens have been hit hard recently
• Toronto has gone over in six of its last seven games

Read:
Both offenses are swinging it well, and the bullpen setup is shaky on both sides. With Toronto trending over and Baltimore strong in day-game totals, over 8 makes sense.

Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

Play: Chicago White Sox +115
Moneyline: Chicago White Sox +115
Grade: B (Plus-Money Dog)
Key Edges:

• White Sox are batting .268 over their last six games
• Chicago has a .498 slugging percentage in recent form
• Sean Burke has been better on the road
• Andrew Painter has a 6.29 ERA over his last five starts
• Painter has allowed a .511 slugging percentage in that stretch
• White Sox bullpen is in better recent form
• Chicago is 7-5 on the road against winning teams with a +4.7-unit return

Read:
Chicago has the better recent offensive form and gets a vulnerable opposing starter. The White Sox are not a safe team, but the price gives them playable dog value.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves

Play: Atlanta Braves -110
Moneyline: Atlanta Braves -110
Grade: B+ (Home Starter Edge)
Key Edges:

• Atlanta is hitting .254 at home
• Braves own a .405 home slugging percentage
• Spencer Strider has a 1.69 ERA at home
• Braves bullpen has the better recent and season form
• Pittsburgh is batting .233 on the road
• Pirates have only a .365 road slugging percentage
• Atlanta is 21-11 at home with a +3.8-unit return

Read:
Atlanta has the home offensive edge, stronger bullpen profile, and Strider’s home split working in its favor. At -110, the Braves are priced fairly for the matchup.

Athletics vs Houston Astros

Play: Houston Astros -110
Moneyline: Houston Astros -110
Grade: B (Home Efficiency Edge)
Key Edges:

• Houston has a .395 slugging percentage at home
• Athletics are hitting .233 on the road
• Kade Morris is expected to make his MLB debut
• Morris posted a 4.45 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in Triple-A
• Tatsuya Imai has a 1.06 WHIP over his last four starts
• Astros bullpen has the better recent form
• Houston is 9-5 at home against losing teams with a +4.3-unit return

Read:
Houston gets the cleaner setup at home against a debuting starter. Imai’s ERA is ugly, but the recent WHIP and bullpen gap keep the Astros playable.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 +115
Run Line: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 +115
Grade: B+ (Run-Line Value)
Key Edges:

• Tampa Bay is batting .258 on the road
• Rays have a .332 road OBP
• Miami is hitting .229 against left-handed starters
• Shane McClanahan has a 1.73 ERA over his last five starts
• McClanahan has a 0.84 WHIP in that stretch
• Miami is 3-14 on the run line against left-handed starters
• Marlins are down -12.8 units in that run-line split

Read:
McClanahan gives Tampa Bay a strong starting pitching edge, and Miami’s lefty split is weak. The run line is aggressive, but the plus price fits the matchup.

Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Play: Washington Nationals +138
Moneyline: Washington Nationals +138
Grade: B (Pricing Edge)
Key Edges:

• Washington is batting .247 on the road
• Nationals own a .411 road slugging percentage
• Arizona is hitting .230 against right-handed starters
• Diamondbacks have only a .373 slugging percentage in that split
• Zack Littell has a 2.33 ERA over his last five appearances
• Littell owns a 1.07 WHIP in recent form
• Washington is 11-3 on the road against left-handed starters with a +13.6-unit return

Read:
Washington has been profitable in this exact lefty road split, and Littell’s recent form is better than the season ERA. At +138, the Nationals offer enough plus-money value.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Play: Boston Red Sox +115
Moneyline: Boston Red Sox +115
Grade: A- (Lineup Edge)
Key Edges:

• Boston is batting .271 over its last six games
• Red Sox own a .448 slugging percentage during that stretch
• Yankees are hitting just .222 in recent form
• New York has only a .345 slugging percentage over that span
• Boston bullpen has allowed one run over its last 13 innings
• Yankees bullpen is in poor recent form
• Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are out of the Yankees lineup

Read:
Boston has the better current lineup form and the cleaner bullpen trend. With Judge and Stanton out, the Yankees’ price carries too much name tax.

Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers

Play: Cleveland Guardians and Texas Rangers Under 8
Total: Under 8
Grade: B+ (Home Under Trend)
Key Edges:

• Cleveland is batting .218 against right-handed starters
• Guardians have only a .365 slugging percentage in that split
• Texas is batting .221 at home
• Rangers carry a .357 home slugging percentage
• Jack Leiter has a 2.86 ERA over his last five starts
• Rangers bullpen has performed well at home
• Texas is 19-9-2 to the under at home

Read:
Both lineups are light in the relevant splits, and Leiter’s recent form supports the under. Texas’ home under trend is strong enough to back under 8.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies

Play: Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies Under 10.5
Total: Under 10.5
Grade: B (Pitching Control Edge)
Key Edges:

• Milwaukee is hitting .237 on the road
• Brewers have only a .334 road slugging percentage
• Jacob Misiorowski has a 1.65 ERA
• Misiorowski owns a dominant 0.79 WHIP
• Misiorowski carries a 39.6% strikeout rate
• Brewers bullpen has performed well on the season
• Milwaukee starter and bullpen profile are the key run-prevention angle

Read:
Coors totals always carry risk, but Milwaukee has the starter-bullpen setup to keep this contained. The Brewers’ road offense is not explosive enough to push this number by itself.

Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Play: Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers Under 8.5
Total: Under 8.5
Grade: B (Bullpen Support)
Key Edges:

• Angels are hitting .212 against the National League
• Angels have only a .320 slugging percentage in that split
• Dodgers are batting .254 at home
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a 2.45 ERA over his last four starts
• Angels bullpen is in good recent form
• Dodgers bullpen has performed well at home
• Dodgers are 20-12 to the under at home

Read:
The Angels’ offense is the main under driver, and Yamamoto’s recent form helps. With both bullpens in decent shape, under 8.5 is the cleaner side.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Play: New York Mets -115
Moneyline: New York Mets -115
Grade: B+ (Starting Pitching Edge)
Key Edges:

• New York is batting .240 over its last five games
• Mets have a .449 slugging percentage in recent form
• San Diego is hitting .191 over its last 26 games
• Padres have only a .325 slugging percentage during that stretch
• Nolan McLean has been better on the road
• Griffin Canning has an 8.34 ERA over his last five starts
• Canning has allowed a .517 slugging percentage in that stretch

Read:
The Mets have the better recent power profile, and Canning is in bad current form. San Diego’s extended offensive slump makes New York playable at a short road price.