Free College Football Picks Week 11 Part 4 11-8-2025
Texas St vs. Louisiana College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Texas St at Louisiana 5PM ET—Texas St is 3-5 following their 52-20 home defeat to James Madison. The Bobcats had movement in the passing game and rushed for 122 yards for 3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 511 yards to the Dukes with poor work against the run and pass. Brad Jackson completed 18 of 32 for 230 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. He rushed for 43 yards and a touchdown. Louisiana is 3-6 with their 31-22 road win at South Alabama. The Ragin Cajuns had a good passing performance and rushed for 161 yards for 3.5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 4.6 yards per run to the Jaguars with 203 yards passing for 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Lunch Winfield hit 14 of 15 for 232 yards and two touchdowns. He rushed for 45 yards and a score.
The Pick with the Explanation
Texas St offensively in conference is getting great work at quarterback and rushed for 4.1 yards a carry. On defense in conference the pass defense has been poor. Louisiana at home in conference rush for 5.1 yards a carry and getting bad quarterback play. Their defense at home in the Sun Belt allow 4.4 yards per run with 76% completions allowed for 10.1 yards per pass attempt. Louisiana is 6-11 to the spread at home. Play Texas St -2.5.
Air Force vs. San Jose St College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Air Force at San Jose St 6PM ET—Air Force fell to 2-6 following their 20-17 home defeat to Army. The Falcons were effective in the passing game and rushed for 174 yards for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they held Army to 4.3 yards a carry and allowed 102 yards passing. Liam Szarka completed 13 of 17 for 161 yards and two interceptions. San Jose St is improved to 3-5 with their 45-38 home victory against Hawaii. The Spartans were effective through the air and rushed for 172 yards for 6.1 yards per run. On defense they held the Warriors to 3.9 yards a carry with 401 yards passing for 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Walker Eget hit 20 of 40 for 458 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
San Jose St has won both home games against the Mountain West. Air Force has dropped both road games in conference. Air Force on the road in conference is putting up 39 points per game with 5.5 yards per run and 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Defensively on the road in conference allow 6.7 yards per run with 332 yards passing for 12.1 yards per pass attempt. San Jose St at home put up 40 points per game and allow 33. Their passing game has been good at home in conference and defend the pass poorly. The Falcons are 3-0 to the over on the road. San Jose St is 2-0 to the over at home in conference. Play Air Force and San Jose ST over 67.
California vs. Louisville College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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California at Louisville 7PM ET—California fell to 5-4 following their 31-21 home defeat to Virginia. The Golden Bears were held to eight rushing yards with movement in the passing game. On defense they allowed 4.4 yards a carry with 262 yards passing for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Jaron Keawe Sagapolutele completed 19 of 30 for 213 yards and two interceptions. Louisville improved to 7-1 after their 28-16 road win at Virginia Tech. The Cardinals were limited through the air and rushed for 235 yards for 6.9 yards a carry. Defensively they held the Hokies to 76 yards passing with 164 yards rushing for 4.1 yards per carry. Miller Moss hit 19 of 28 for 136 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
California offensively on the road in conference has passed for 279 yards with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. They have defended the pass on the road well against the ACC. Louisville is 0-2 to the spread at home as a 14.5-to-21-point favorite. Play California +18.5.
Wake Forest vs. Virginia College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Wake Forest at Virginia 7PM ET— Wake Forest fell to 5-3 with their 42-7 road defeat to Florida St. The Demon Deacons were limited through the are and rushed for 85 yards for 4.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 3.8 yards a carry to the Seminoles with 271 yards passing for 15.9 yards per pass attempt. Robby Ashford completed 12 of 21 passes for 93 yards and an interception. He rushed for 59 yards. Virginia improved to 8-1 with their 31-21 road win at California. The Cavs had a good passing performance and rushed for 194 yards for 4.4 yards a carry. On defense they held the Golden Bears to 8 rushing yards with 255 yards passing for 8 yards per pass attempt. Chandler Morris hit 24 of 26 for 262 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Virginia at home against the ACC rushing for 4.8 yards a carry and throwing for 307 yards for 9 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they allow 272 yards passing for 8.8 yards per pass attempt at home against the conference. Wake Forest on the road in conference rushed for 2.4 yards a carry and getting inefficient quarterback play. The Cavs are 11-6 to the spread at home. Play Virginia -6.5.
Florida St vs. Clemson College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Florida St at Clemson 7PM ET—Florida St improved to 4-4 following their 42-7 home victory against Wake Forest. The Seminoles had a good passing performance and rushed for 150 yards for 3.8 yards a carry. On defense they held the Demon Deacons to 4.1 yards a carry with 162 yards passing for 5.2 yards a carry. Tommy Castellanos completed 12 of 16 for 271 yards and a touchdown. Clemson fell to 3-5 with their 46-45 home defeat to Duke. The Tigers had a good passing game and rushed for 175 yards for 4.9 yards a carry. They limited Duke on the ground but allowed 361 yards passing for 8.6 yards a carry. Cade Klubnik hit 27 of 36 for 385 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Clemson has lost all four home games against power conference teams. Florida St has lost both road games. FSU on the road has struggled with quarterback accuracy. Clemson at home is getting good quarterback play with 298 yards passing with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. They have defended the run well at home. Play Clemson -1.
Nevada vs. Utah St College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Nevada at Utah St 7:30PM ET—Nevada fell to 1-7 following their 24-3 home defeat to Boise St. The Wolf Pack were poor in the passing game and rushed for 101 yards for 4.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 2.8 yards per run to the Broncos with 175 yards passing for 6.3 yards a carry. Carter Jones completed 16 of 29 for 144 yards with three interceptions. Utah St is 4-4 with their 33-14 road defeat at New Mexico. The Aggies rushed for 5.7 yards a carry with some movement in the passing game. On defense they allowed 224 yards rushing for 5.3 yards a carry and 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Bryson Barnes hit 13 of 23 for 164 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
Nevada has lost every game against FBS opponents. In conference they average 13 points per game with poor work in the run and passing game. On defense they are allowing 65% competitions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Utah St at home is putting up 39 points per game with 5.3% yards per run and 715 completions for 10.4 yards per pass attempt. The Aggies are 6-1 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Utah St -8.
LSU vs. Alabama College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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LSU at Alabama 7:30 PM ET—LSU fell to 5-3 following their 49-25 home defeat to Texas A&M. The Tigers were poor on the ground and through the air. On defense they allowed 224 yards rushing for 5.6 yards per carry with 9.6 yards per pass attempt. Garrett Nussmeier completed 22 of 35 for 168 yards with a touchdown. Alabama improved to 7-1 after their 29-22 road win at South Carolina. The Crimson Tide rushed for 3.1 yards a carry and limited in the passing game. On defense they allowed 3 yards per run to the Gamecocks with 222 yards passing for 6.7 yards per pass attempt. Ty Simpson hit 24 of 43 for 253 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Alabama at home against power conference schools have won all three games by 16 or greater points. LSU is 0-2 on the road against the SEC. Their offense struggles on the ground on the road in the SEC and on defense allows 4.7 yards per run with 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Alabama at home in conference is throwing for 297 yards with 9.9 yards per pass attempt. and defending the pass well. LSU is 3-7 to the spread on the road against the SEC. The Crimson Tide is 13-4 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Alabama -10.
Navy vs. Notre Dame College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Navy at Notre Dame 7:30PM ET— Navy is 7-1 after their 31-17 road defeat at North Texas. The Midshipmen rushed for 311 yards for 7.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 4.2 yards per carry with 234 yards passing for 9.8 yards per pass attempt. Blake Horvath hit 8 of 14 for 80 yards with two interceptions. He rushed for 112 yards and a touchdown. Notre Dame improved to 6-2 following their 25-10 road win at Boston College. The Fighting Irish had a great passing performance and rushed for 159 yards for 5.5 yards a carry. On defense they held BC to 12 rushing yards for 269 yards passing for 6 yards per pass attempt. CJ Carr hit 18 of 25 for 299 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
It is back-to-back road games for Midshipmen. are allowing 68% completions on the road for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Notre Dame at home is rushing for 5.6 yards a carry with 9.4 yards per pass attempt with great run defense. The Fighting Irish has won by 28 or greater in three of their past four meetings against Navy. They have covered five of six against the Midshipmen. Play Notre Dame -26.5.
Florida vs. Kentucky College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Florida at Kentucky 7:30 PM ET— Florida fell to 3-5 following their 24-20 home defeat to Georgia. The Gators were light in the passing game and rushed for 115 yards for 3.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 3.5 yards per run to the Bulldogs with 223 yards passing for 7.7 yards per pass attempt. DJ Lagway completed 15 of 24 for 168 yards with a touchdown. Kentucky is 3-5 with their 10-3 road win at Auburn. The Wildcats were inefficient through the air and rushed for 79 yards for 2.5 yards a carry. On defense they shut down the Tigers passing game and allowed 118 yards rushing for 3 yards per run. Cutter Boley completed 18 of 29 for 161 yards with a touchdown and two picks.
The Pick with the Explanation
Florida in conference play average 255 yards passing with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Defensively against the SEC they struggle defending the pass by allowing 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Kentucky in conference play has also struggled defending the pass by allowing 29.2 points per game with 8.6 yards per pass attempt. The Wildcats have gone over in five of seven. The Gators are 9-3 to the over on the road against the SEC on the road. Play Florida and Kentucky over 44.5.
Nebraska vs. UCLA College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Nebraska at UCLA 9PM ET—Nebraska fell to 6-3 following their 21-17 home defeat to USC. The Cornhuskers had a poor passing performance and rushed for 188 yards for 4.7 yards per carry. On defense they limited the Trojans through the air and allowed 202 yards rushing for 5.3 yards per carry. Starting quarterback Dylan Raiola is out for the year. TJ Lateef completed 5 of 7 in relief for seven yards. UCLA is 3-5 with their 56-6 road defeat to Indiana. The Bruins had a poor passing performance and rushed for 88 yards for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 475 yards to the Hoosiers with poor work against the run and pass. Nico Iamaleava hit 13 of 27 for 113 yards and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Nebraska on the road is rushing for 3.9 yards a carry and on defense allowing 4.9 yards per carry with 75.4% completions for 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Bruins at home rush for 4.9 yards a carry with 62% completions. They have defended the pass well. Nebraska quarterback situation the concern here. Play UCLA at pick.
UNLV vs. Colorado St College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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UNLV at Colorado St 9:30PM ET—UNLV fell to 6-2 following their 40-35 home defeat to New Mexico. The Rebels had a good passing performance and rushed for 87 yards for 3 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 4.5 yards per run with 401 yards passing for 15.4 yards per pass attempt. Anthony Colandrea completed 36 of 46 for 382 yards with three touchdowns. Colorado St is 2-6 with their 28-0 road defeat to Wyoming. The Rams have some movement in the passing game and rushed for 94 yards for 3.5 yards per carry. On defense they limited the Wyoming through the air and allowed 212 yards rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Jackson Brousseau 10 of 18 for 99 yards and three interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Rebels have gone over in four of five. UNLC on the road in conference is allowing 6.7 yards per run with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. They are rushing for 5.2 yards a carry away from home against the Mountain West. Colorado St at home in conference is putting up 34 points per game but allowing 325 yards passing for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Play UNLV and Colorado St over 61.5.
Sam Houston St vs. Oregon St College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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Sam Houston St at Oregon St 10PM ET—Sam Houston fell to 0-5 following their 55-14 road defeat to Louisiana Tech. The Bearkats were inefficient through the air and rushed for 296 yards for 9 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 646 yards to the Bulldogs with poor work against the run and pass. Mabrey Mattaurer completed 3 of 7 in relief for13 yards. Starter Hunter Watson was knocked out of the game with a knee injury. Oregon St is 2-7 with their 10-7 home victory against Washington. The Beavers were poor in the passing game and rushed for 124 yards for 3 yards a carry. On defense they limited the Cougars through the air and rushed for 125 yards for 3.6 yards a carry. Gabarri Johson hit 10 of 15 for 33 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Oregon St has struggled at the quarterback position with efficiency. They have defended the pass well. Sam Houston St has struggled at quarterback on the road with a lack of accuracy and inefficiency. They average 13.6 points per game at home. Play Sam Houston St and Oregon St under 52.5.
San Diego St vs. Hawaii College Football Pick Prediction 11/8/2025
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San Diego St at Hawaii 11PM ET—San Diego St is 7-1 following their 24-7 home victory against Wyoming. The Aztecs were efficient in the passing game and rushed for 196 yards for 4.9 yards a carry. On defense they held the Cowboys to 96 passing yards with 89 yards rushing for 2.5 yards a carry. Jayden Denegal completed 11 of 22 for 194 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He played through an undisclosed injury last week. Hawaii fell to 6-3 with their 45-38 road defeat to San Jose St. The Warriors had a great passing game and rushed for 95 yards for 3.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 630 yards to the Spartans with poor work against the run and pass. Micah Alejado hit 31 of 46 for 367 yards with three touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
San Diego St is 2-0 on the road against the conference. Hawaii has a home loss to Fresno St. The Aztecs on the road in conference is putting up 34 points per game with 4.9 yards per run and 8.9 yards per pass attempt. They defended well on the road by allowing 5 points per game against the Mountain West. Hawaii at home in conference is surrendering 4.5 yards per run with 282 passing yards for 9.5 yards per pass attempt. The Aztecs have covered six straight. Play San Diego St -7.
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