Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs 7/4/24

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs 7/4/24 MLB Best Picks, Analysis and Forecast

Philadelphia Phillies (55-29) vs. Chicago Cubs (39-46)


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs 7/4/24 – As the fireworks of July 4th prepare to illuminate the skies, a different kind of spectacle is set to unfold at Wrigley Field when the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Chicago Cubs. Currently boasting a strong 55-29 record, the Phillies lead the charge against the struggling Cubs, who sit at 39-46. This mid-season matchup promises to be an intriguing encounter, offering no-cost expert MLB predictions for both betting aficionados and casual fans alike.


The Phillies are also coming into this game on a good string of games with their success evident in the .258 team batting average, and a healthy slugging percentage of .419. Their offense, with 413 runs and 98 home runs is one of the most dangerous in the league to pitchers. Their pitchers also show a decent team ERA with a figure of 3.04 while the WHIP is 1.12, in what they did well, denying their opponents scoring opportunities and controlling the game tempo.


On the other hand, the Cubs have gone through their season filled with lots of changes. This puts their team batting average at a slightly lower .230 the slugging percentage was .370. They have not been very effective in coming up with the required number of runs in each game; they have only managed to score 346 runs and 81 home runs this entire season. However, their pitching staff which comprises other staff such as Jameson Taillon is not very poor evidenced by their team’s ERA of 3.94 and WHIP of 1.27 making fans feel that they are rivals but lack the steady performances that would help them secure matches to their advantage.


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs 7/4/24 Game Info


When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
Where: Wrigley Field
Stream: MLB.TV


Cristopher Sanchez (6-3, 2.41 ERA) vs. Jameson Taillon (4-4, 3.03 ERA)


Cristopher Sanchez has been one of the revelations in the Phillies team this season with having a marvelous 2.41 ERA and 1.19 WHIP across 93.1 innings. He has restricted the number of hits and runs thus giving only 87 hits and the minimum number of 24 walks. For a power hitter, he does not hit very many home runs and that particular attribute, accompanied by the WHIP, illustrates his ability to perform well under pressure and keep it hitting the ball out of the park.


On the other side we have Jameson Taillon, who has a stronger but much less fancy background. With a 3.03 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, he has been steady as a barrel for the Cubs in the pitching department. Though he is not as overpowering as Sanchez to record strikeouts or contain hits as expertly as Taillon is, the steadiness of the latter forms an important part of the Cubs roster, especially when it comes to controlling games and keeping innings competitive.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD


Betting odds are yet to be determined for this game, but given the Phillies’ stronger record and statistical advantage, they are likely to enter as favorites. The total, reflecting combined scores, will hinge on these teams’ recent scoring trends and the quality of the starting pitchers.


Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends


The Phillies have shown resilience in road games, with a 19-18 record against the spread on the road. While they are 3-2 in their last 5 games, their performance against the spread shows some inconsistencies. However, with the totals going OVER in 20 of their last 47 games at home, bettors might lean towards a higher scoring game, particularly given their offensive capabilities.


Chicago Cubs Betting Trends


The Cubs share a similar recent record of 2-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last 5 games. Their road game spread record of 21-24 highlights struggles but also moments of unexpected success. The total has gone OVER in 18 of their last 40 home games, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring affairs, which might continue against a high-powered Phillies offense.


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs 7/4/24 Betting Picks


Given the data and trends, the Phillies come across as the stronger team, particularly with Sanchez at the mound, whose stats give them an edge in pitching. Their offensive depth further tilts the prediction in their favor.


Considering the overall dynamics and the Phillies’ robust lineup and pitching, a bet on the Phillies to win could be promising, especially if the moneyline offers good value. For over/under bets, given both teams’ recent OVER trends, leaning towards a higher total might be wise, especially in the hitter-friendly confines of Wrigley Field. As always, paid predictions provide a detailed insight, but the free analysis suggests a high-scoring game that favors Philadelphia.


Free Pick and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 6, Chicago Cubs 3. 


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