Carli Judice vs. Gabriella Fernandes 6/15/24 – UFC on ESPN 58 promises an electrifying Women’s Flyweight contest when Carli “Crispy” Judice meets Gabriella “Gabi” Fernandes at UFC APEX Las Vegas this Saturday afternoon. With their close record comparisons and striking stylistic differences, this bout draws significant fans and bettors alike. For those seeking pro handicapping advice, this detailed analysis examines the fighter performances, strengths and weaknesses as well as factors likely to impact its outcome at UFC APEX Las Vegas this Saturday afternoon!
Carli Judice vs. Gabriella Fernandes 6/15/24 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, June 15, 2024, at 4:00 PM ET |
| Where: | UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Carli “Crispy” Judice Analysis
Carli Judice enters this high-stakes contest with an amateur MMA record of 3-1-0 and relative newcomer status within the UFC’s competitive landscape. At 5’7″ with 68″ reach and sporting a southpaw stance that affords her strategic advantages against orthodox fighters (though neutralized against another southpaw like Fernandes), Judice boasts an exceptional striking game: she averages 11.20 significant strikes per minute at an efficiency rate of 57% to overwhelm opponents quickly and dominate opponents quickly and swiftly.
Judice’s defensive metrics reveal an area of potential concern. She absorbs 12.27 strikes per minute, which indicates an ability for exchanges to get caught and slow her down against an experienced striker such as Fernandes. When grappling, Judice has not attempted any takedowns at any bout and prefers keeping fight standing instead relying on striking skills; her loss to Kareckaite may have revealed some defensive issues while simultaneously serving as an important learning opportunity necessary for growth.
Gabriella “Gabi” Fernandes Analysis
Gabriella Fernandes boasts an impressive professional record with 8 wins and 3 losses to her name, standing 5’6″ with a 66″ reach compared to Judice’s 6ft6″. However, Fernandes experience in the UFC could help even out any physical disparities; her striking statistics demonstrate a more cautious approach by landing 1.63 significant strikes per minute at 47% accuracy rate as she attempts to conserve energy and minimize risk when facing aggressive strikers like Judice.
Fernandes has shown impressive defensive stats, absorbing only 2.70 strikes per minute on average and maintaining an effective 47% defense rate – an indication of her measured and protective approach in battles. Her defense rate of 47% allows her to limit damage against high-output opponents like Judice who has no takedowns recorded either; meaning this matchup may focus mainly on striking prowess and tactical execution versus grappling, much like her last loss against Bleda provided valuable insights into where her weaknesses may lie and how she handles pressure which she must address effectively against Judice.
Carli Judice vs. Gabriella Fernandes Stats
| Judice | Fernandes | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 3-1-0 | 8-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5′ 7″ | 5′ 6″ |
| Weight | 125 lbs. | 125 lbs. |
| Reach | 68″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 11.20 | 1.63 |
| Striking Accuracy | 57% | 47% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 12.27 | 2.70 |
| Defense | 54% | 47% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0% | 0% |
| Takedown Defense | 50% | 61% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Carli Judice vs. Gabriella Fernandes Betting Picks
This matchup is carefully balanced with Judice having the edge in offensive output and Fernandes having more experience and possibly tactical execution. Betting odds appear slightly biased towards Fernandes at -137 against Judice’s +117 odds, suggesting the betting market prefers Fernandes due to her superior experience and tactical acumen being crucial components in this fight. But don’t underestimate Judice’s high output and aggressive style, particularly if she can improve upon them thanks to learnings from past battles.
Given both fighters’ strengths and recent performances, this match could go the distance with both fighters showcasing periods of control; however, given Judice’s striking disparity and her potential ability to address her defensive gaps over multiple rounds, there’s a good chance she might outpace Fernandes over time.
Free Pick: Carli “Crispy” Judice +117
As we finish up our analysis and look forward to the Carli Judice vs. Gabriella Fernandes fight, it becomes evident that their matchup will be an engaging battle filled with strategic nuances and unexpected twists and surprises. Both fans and bettors may benefit from keeping up-to-date with free UFC matchup tips in order to better predict its outcome; whether watching in person at the venue or from home this flyweight bout promises intensity and excitement typical of high stakes UFC events.