Free MLB Picks For Today 5/23/2024
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Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/23/2024
Mariners at Yankees—Luis Castillo will start for Seattle. Castillo in ten starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander is striking out 26.8% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 34.4% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Luis Gil to start for New York. Gil has nine starts with an ERA of 2.39 and WHIP of 1.08. The righthander has an elite K rate of 31.2% with 13.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 38% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The past seven games the Yankees are batting .280. They are now 17-8 at home. Seattle is batting .212 in Day Games. New York is 28-11 facing right-handed starters this year with a +15.9 unit return. Play New York -133.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/23/2024
Giants at Pirates—Mason Black to start for San Francisco. Black in three starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 7.71 with WHIP of 1.97. The rookie righthander strikes out 13.8% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 27.9% with 2.31 home runs per nine innings. Paul Skenes will start for Pittsburgh. Skenes has two starts allowing three earned runs with 18 strikeouts in 10 innings. He was a first-round pick in 2023 that put up outstanding numbers in Triple A this year.
The Pick:
San Francisco is 9-16 on the road this season. The Giants bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.75. Black is tough to back as a favorite here. Play Pittsburgh +105.
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/23/2024
Rangers at Phillies—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney in nine starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander strikes out 22.9% with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.1% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Zack Wheeler is the starter for Philadelphia. Wheeler has ten starts with an ERA of 2.52 and WHIP of 0.97. The veteran fans 29.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 44% with 0.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Texas is batting .268 against right-handed starters putting up 5.1 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 7.56. The Phillies are hitting .275 against the American League and putting up 6.2 runs per game. Their bullpen has an ERA of 5.15 at home in their 28 games. Heaney is 33-18 to the over in the past three seasons. Hot weather is in the forecast again on Thursday. Play Texas and Philadelphia over 8.
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/23/2024
Padres at Reds—Matt Waldron to start for San Diego. Waldron in nine starts on the year produces an ERA of 5.00 and WHIP of 1.42. The righthander strikes out 22.6% with 8.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 37% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Frankie Montas will start for Cincinnati. Montas has eight starts with an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP of 1.37. The veteran fans 16.1% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 40% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati in their past seven games is batting .200. They sit at 10-14 at home. San Diego has won 16 of 25 on the road where they bat .282 and putting up 5 runs per game. The team record behind Montas is 1-10 at home when lined between +125 and -125 the past three seasons with a -9.6-unit loss. Play San Diego -105.
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/23/2024
Braves at Cubs—Darius Vines to start for Atlanta. Vines has two starts on the year allowing five earned runs with two homers in 9 2/3rd innings. He worked 20 1/3rd innings last year with an ERA of 3.98 and WHIP of 1.08. In is minor league starts this year the righthander posted an ERA of 4.58 and WHP of 1.23 striking out 30 batters in 35 1/3rd innings. Ben Browns is the starter for Chicago. Brown appeared in 11 games with an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.25. The righty is fanning 26.7% with 8.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.6% with 0.51 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago in their past seven games is hitting .185. Atlanta has won nine of fourteen during the Day by hitting .263 and putting up 5.5 runs per game. Their bullpen has performed well on the road. Play Atlanta -130.
Colorado Rockies vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/23/2024
Rockies at Athletics—Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner has nine starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 5.69 with WHIP of 1.49. The righthander fans 19.4% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.8% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.99 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Joey Estes to start for Oakland. Estes in two starts allowed nine earned runs with two homers in 8 2/3rd innings. A 16th round pick in 2019 that struggled in the minors the past two seasons and in two starts last year with the big club.
The Pick:
Oakland in their 22 Day Games is batting .252 and putting up five runs per game. The Rockies are hitting .227 in Day Games and sit 13-22 against right-handed starters. Colorado is 8-37 in Road Day games the past three seasons with a -23.1 unit loss and 17-55 against right handed starters on the road the past three seasons with a -25.3 unit loss. Play Oakland -122.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/23/2024
Blue Jays at Tigers—Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman in nine starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 4.89 with WHIP of 1.51. The veteran strikes out 22.6% with 5.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.3% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.49 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Jack Flaherty will start for Detroit. Flaherty has nine starts with an ERA of 3.79 and WHIP of 1.06. The righty is fanning an elite 33% with 3.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.9% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Tigers bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.09 and are batting only .224. They have lost 13 of 23 at home and generate only 3.7 runs per game. Gausman’s numbers have been better on the road this season. Play Toronto +140.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/23/2024
Orioles at White Sox—Grayson Rodriguez to start for Baltimore. Rodriguez in seven starts this season deals with an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander fans 26.2% with 8.9% walks. Grounders sit at 34.3% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Mike Clevinger to start for Chicago. Clevinger in three starts has an ERA of 5.56 with WHIP of 1.85. The righty is striking out 18.2% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 28.9% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The White Sox are batting .217 in their 28-night games. In their past seven games the Orioles are batting .214. Chicago is 91-62 to the under when an underdog of +100 or higher the past three seasons. Baltimore is 43-25 to the under facing teams that average 0.9 home runs per game or fewer the past three seasons. Play Baltimore and Chicago under 8.5.