Free MLB Picks For Today 5/22/2024
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Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Twins at Nationals—Simeon Woods Richardson to start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson has six starts on the year deals an ERA of 2.97 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander fans 20% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.6% with 0.59 home runs per nine innings. Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin in nine starts has an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.11. The second-year righty is striking out 18.4% with 4.3% walks. Grounders come in at 44.2% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Nationals are hitting .219 against right-handed starters. The Twins are putting up five runs per game on the road. Washington is 46-89 as an underdog of +100 to +150 the past three seasons with a -31.4-unit loss. Play Minnesota -128.
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Mets at Guardians—Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana in nine starts on the season deals with an ERA of 5.21 with WHIP of 1.46. The lefthander is fanning 15.5% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.1% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Triston McKenzie is the starter for Cleveland. McKenzie has nine starts with an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander strikes out 20.1% with 14.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.87 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
The Cleveland bullpen in their first 22 home games has an ERA of 2.15. They have won 17 of 23 at home. Cleveland is batting .271 against left-handed starters putting up 6.1 runs per game and inning seven of those nine games. New York is batting .223 against the American League. The Mets are 1-10 against the AL Central on the road the past two seasons with a -11.7-unit loss. The Guardians are 13-3 in Day Games this season with a +11.7-unit return. Play Cleveland -122.
Baltimore Orioles vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Orioles at Cardinals—John Means to start for Baltimore. Means in three starts on the season produces an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP of 0.85. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 22.1% with no walks. Ground balls sit at 19.6% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Gibson to start for St Louis. Gibson has nine starts has an ERA of 4.09 with WHIP of 1.27. the veteran fans 18.9% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
St Louis has got their offense going as in their past seven games are batting .294 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. The Orioles are batting .214 in their past seven games. The team record behind Gibson is 11-5 when lined at +125 to +175 the past three seasons with a +10.6-unit return. They are also 18-6 behind Gibson against an AL team with an OBP of .320 or lower the past two seasons with a +13.3-unit return. Play St Louis +126.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Tigers at Royals—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in nine starts on the year puts up an ERA of 1.80 with WHIP of 0.78. The lefthander has an elite K rate of 31.6% with 3.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.8% with limited home run damage. Cole Ragans will start for Kansas City. Ragans has ten starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.70 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 27.6% with 7.8% walks. Grounders sit at 42.8% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
At home the Royals are batting .268 and putting up 5.3 runs per game. They have won 20 of 28 at home this season. The Tigers are batting .215 in Days Game losing 15 of their 26. KC is 18-5 facing a losing team this year with a +12.8-unit return. Play Kansas City -102.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Angels at Astros—Tyler Anderson will start for Los Angeles. Anderson has nine starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 2.72 and WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander is fanning 17.7% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.8% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.51 does imply a rising ERA based on these numbers. Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown appeared in nine games with an ERA of 7.71 and WHIP of 1.93. The righthander strikes out 22.9% with 11.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 47.4% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles in their past seven games is hitting .275 and putting up 6 runs per game. The Angels bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.40. The team record behind Brown is 7-13 at home the past two seasons with a -14.2-unit loss. The Astros are 48-52 as a home favorite of -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -36.8-unit loss. Play Los Angeles +164.
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Padres at Reds—Michael King will start for San Diego. King in ten appearances in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.31 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander strikes out 25.7% with 11% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.1% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez appeared in ten games with an ERA of 4.23 with WHIP of 1.20. The righty is fanning 17.7% with 3% walks. Grounders dealt at 32.5% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Cincinnati is batting .215 at home, losing 13 of 23. The Padres have a road bullpen ERA of 3.39 where they have won 15 of 25. They bat .286 on the road. The Reds have lost 14 of 18 this month. Play San Diego -120.
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Rangers at Phillies—Andrew Heaney will start for Texas. Heaney has nine starts on the year dealing with an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander is striking out 22.9% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.1% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in four starts has an ERA of 4.91 with WHIP of 1.41. The veteran fans 17.4% with 6.5% walks. Grounders dished at 29.4% with 2.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Phillies are putting up 5.6 runs per game at home where they have won 20 of 28. Texas’ bullpen in their first 23 games on the road has an ERA of 7.50. The past seven games the Rangers are batting .193. Play Philadelphia -132.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Giants at Pirates—Blake Snell will start for San Francisco. Snell has three starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 11.57 and WHIP of 1.97. The lefthander strikes out 20.7% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 50% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. Jared Jones is the starter for Pittsburgh. Jones in nine starts this year posts an ERA of 2.89 and WHIP of 0.91. The rookie righthander has an elite K rate of 30.6% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.3% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Francisco’s bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.71 where they have lost 16 of 24. The Pirates have seen their hitting and run production improve in the past seven games. Pittsburgh is 49-37 facing losing teams the past two seasons with a +15.6-unit return. The team record behind Snell is 42-42 against losing teams with a -26.5-unit loss. Play Pittsburgh -117.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Brewers at Marlins—Freddy Peralta is the starter for Milwaukee. Peralta has nine starts in the campaign carrying an ERA of 4.17 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander does have an elite K rate of 31.2% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.3% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo in seven starts delivers an ERA of 5.02 and WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander fans 26.9% with 9% walks. Ground balls are 37.4% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Milwaukee is batting .209 against left-handed starters. They are 17-7 to the under against left-handed starters the past two seasons. Their bullpen has an ERA of 2.81 in their first 26 road games. The Brewers are 15-2 to the under facing a starting pitcher on the road with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower the past two seasons. Miami is batting .213 in night games. Play Milwaukee and Florida under 7.5.
PART 2
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Red Sox at Rays—Brayan Bello is the starter for Boston. Bello in seven starts in 2024 puts up an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander is fanning 20.7% with 6% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.5% with 1.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.12 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Ryan Pepiot is the starter for Tampa Bay. Pepiot has seven starts with an ERA of 3.68 and WHIP of 0.93. The righty strikes out 29.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.8% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston’s bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.74 in their 26 road games. The Rays bats have gone cold hitting .212 in their past seven games. The Red Sox are 41-23 facing a team that averages 2.75 extra base hits or fewer per game the past two seasons with a +15.2-unit return. Play Boston +115.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Mariners at Yankees—Bryce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller has nine starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander is striking out 25.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls served at 37.4% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Nestor Cortes to start for New York. Cortes in ten starts has an ERA of 3.56 with WHIP of 1.05. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 23.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls served at 29.5% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cortes numbers at home impressive. The Mariners are batting .219 against left-handed starters going under in 9 of their 12 against them. Play Seattle and New York under 8.
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
White Sox at Blue Jays—Nick Nastrini to start for Chicago. Nastrini in his two starts allowed seven earned runs with seven walks and eight strikeouts in 8 innings. He was a fourth-round pick in 2021 out of UCLA. The righthander struggled in his six Triple A starts this year with an ERA of 5.83 and WHIP of 1.51 with nine homers in 29 1/3rd innings. Chris Bassitt will start for Toronto. Bassitt in nine starts has an ERA of 5.03 with WHIP of 1.53. The veteran strikes out 21.2% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is hitting .210 on the road putting up 2.7 runs per game. They are 5-14 to the run line on the road against right-handed starters this season with a -11.1-unit loss. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Braves at Cubs—Max Fried is the starter for Atlanta. Fried in nine starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander strikes out 19% with 9.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 64.3% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Justin Steele will start for Chicago. Steele in four starts has an ERA of 5.21 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefty is striking out 22.2% with 6.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 37.5% with 2.37 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Atlanta is batting .260 against left-handed starters putting up 4.8 runs per game and winning 9 of their 13 against them. The team record behind Fried is 41-14 when lined between -100 and -150 with a +23-unit return. In their past seven games. Chicago is batting .185. Play Atlanta -133.
Colorado Rockies vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Rockies at Athletics—Austin Gomber will start for Colorado. Gomber in nine starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander has a K rate of 16.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.1% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.82 suggests a rise in ERA based on form. Mitch Spence starts for Oakland. Spence appeared in 12 games with an ERA of 3.90 and WHIP of 1.13. The right delivers 21.8% Ks with 6.7% walks. Grounders come in at 54.2% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .192 in their 28-night games losing 19 of those games. In their past seven games the Rockies are batting .251 and putting up 4.7 runs per game. The Athletics have lost eight of nine. Play Colorado +129.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/22/2024
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in seven starts on the year deals with an ERA of 7.06 and WHIP of 1.88. The righthander fans 16.3% with 5% walks. Grounders served at 44.5% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.16 which suggests a dropping ERA based on his numbers. Tyler Glasnow to start for Los Angeles. Glasnow has ten starts with an ERA of 2.90 and WHIP of 0.90. The veteran deals an elite strikeout mark of 33.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.7% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .275 in their divisional games putting up 5.4 runs per game. Los Angeles at home is putting up 5.4 runs per game going over in 18 of their 27. The Diamondbacks bullpen has an ERA of 4.73 on the road. Arizona is 19-7 when a road underdog of +150 or greater the past two seasons. Los Angeles is 16-4 to the over at home with a low total lined between 7 and 8.5 this season. Play Arizona and Los Angeles over 8.