Free MLB Picks For Today 5/9/2024
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Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Mariners at Twins—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has seven starts on the year dealing an ERA of 1.69 with WHIP of 0.79. The righthander is striking out 28.2% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.2% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.22 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in seven starts has an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.04. The veteran has an elite K rate of 30.2% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls served at 44.8% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Mariners bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.28. The Twins are hitting .229 in Day Games and Seattle .197. The Mariners are 20-6 to the under facing a team that averages 7 strikeouts or greater per game and 10-1 to the under facing starting pitchers that allow 5.5 hits or fewer per start this season. Play Seattle and Minnesota under 7.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Diamondbacks at Reds—Slade Cecconi to start for Arizona. Cecconi has three starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 4.96 with WHIP of 0.80. The righthander fans 23.8% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.5% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Greene is the starter for Cincinnati. Greene in seven starts has an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.17. The righty is striking out 27.8% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.6% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Reds in their past seven games are batting .157. The Diamondbacks on the road are putting up 4.8 runs per game. The team record behind Greene is 2-11 at home the past two seasons. Arizona is 69-52 facing an NL team with an OBP if .325 or lower the past two seasons with a +16.3-unit return. Play Arizona +113.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Giants at Rockies—Keaton Winn to start for San Francisco. Winn has seven starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 20.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 59.1% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Cal Quantrill to start for Colorado. Quantrill has seven starts dealing an ERA of 4.31 with WHIP of 1.29. The righty has a strikeout mark of 15.5% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.6% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rockies are 5-12 at home this season. Past seven games they are hitting .182 and putting up 2.4 runs per game. Colorado is 8-27 as an underdog this season with a -14.4-unit loss. Play San Francisco -152.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Astros at Yankees—Ronel Blanco to start for Houston. Blanco has six starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 2.09 with WHIP of 0.96. The righthander fans 23.7% with 10.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.9% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.93 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Marcus Stroman to start for New York. Stroman in seven starts an ERA of 3.41 with WHIP of 1.43. The veteran strikes out 21.7% with 12.4% walks. Grounders dished at 57.3% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is putting up 5.3 runs per game against right-handed starters where they have won 20 of 27. The Astros in their past seven games are hitting .217. The Astros are 5-12 on the road this season with a -9.7-unit loss and 6-15 facing a team that is outscoring opponents by 1 run or greater per game this season. Play New York -127.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Guardians at White Sox—Ben Lively to start for Cleveland. Lively in four starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 2.08 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander is striking out 28.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 29.6% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Erick Fedde to start for Chicago. Fedde has seven starts with an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is fanning 25% with 8.5% walks. Grounders sit at 44.4% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is hitting .213 against right-handed starters losing 24 of 30. The Guardians are putting up 5.1 runs per game on the road. The White Sox are 9-31 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 the past two seasons with a -17.2-unit loss. Chicago is 2-18 against the division. Play Cleveland -147.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Cardinals at Brewers—Sonny Gray to start for St Louis. Gray has five starts in the year posting an ERA of 0.89 with WHIP of 0.86. The veteran has an elite K rate of 33.3% with 4.4% walks. Grounders dished at 45.7% with limited home run damage. Tobias Myers will start for Milwaukee. Myers has three starts with an ERA of 6.23 with WHIP of 1.31. The rookie righthander strikes out 20% with 9.1% walks. Grounders come in at 33.3% with 3.46 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cardinals are batting .219 in their past seven games. Milwaukee is hitting .264 against right-handed starters putting up 5.3 runs per game and winning 18 of their 29 against them. The Brewers are 33-15 at home when lined at -100 to -150 favorite the past two seasons with a +14.4-unit return. Play Milwaukee +113.
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Royals at Angels—Michael Wacha to start for Kansas City. Wacha in seven starts in 2024 posts an ERA of 5.50 with WHIP of 1.46. The veteran has seen his strikeouts drop to 18.9% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.8% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers has seven starts with an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander fans 26.7% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Angels bullpen at home has an ERA of 6.67 in their 15 games where they have lost 11. The Angels are batting .239 against right-handed starters losing 22 of 32. Los Angeles is 1-9 at home when lined at +125 to -125 this season with a -8.4-unit loss. The Royals are 10-2 facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or higher this season with a +9-unit return. Play Kansas City -115.