Free MLB Picks For Today 5/19/2024
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Boston Red Sox vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Red Sox at Cardinals—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta has four starts on the year delivering an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.02. The veteran is striking out 27.5% with 2.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.1% with 2.61 home runs per nine innings. Matthew Liberatore to start for St Louis. Liberatore in his fifteen appearances has an ERA of 4.56 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander fans 18.1% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.4% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Red Sox are batting .216 against left-handed starters putting across just 2.8 runs per game. The Cardinals have seen their bats wake up by averaging 5.4 runs and hitting .287 in their past seven games. St Louis is 13-4 facing the AL East the past two seasons with a +12.1-unit return. Play St Louis +100.
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Mariners at Orioles—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has nine starts on the campaign dealing with an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 0.95. The righthander is fanning 25.1% with 2.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 35% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Corbin Burnes to start for Baltimore. Burnes has nine starts in the year carrying an ERA of 2.68 with WHIP of 1.01. The veteran strikes out 23.3% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 51.4% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Past seven games the Mariners are batting .257 with their pitching staff holding opposing hitters to .222. In this period the Orioles are batting .240. Play Seattle +133.
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
White Sox at Yankees—Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen in nine appearances in the year produces an ERA of 4.46 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander fans 17.9% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.8% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon has nine starts in the season with an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 23.3% with 6.7% walks. Grounders sit at 32.4% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The White Sox are batting .204 against left-handed starters putting up 2.3 runs per game and going under in 8 of those 11 games. The Chicago bullpen has an ERA of 3.73 in their 21 road games. New York bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.05. The White Sox are 49-33 to the under as a road underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons. New York is 48-31 to the under against losing teams the past two seasons. Play Chicago and New York under 8.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Nationals at Phillies—Trevor Williams will start for Washington. Williams in eight starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 1.94 with WHIP of 1.06. The right hander is striking out 19.8% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.7% with minimal home run damage. Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in nine starts has an ERA of 3.10 with WHIP of 1.09. The veteran has a K mark of 23.7% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.1% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Washington is batting .174 in their past seven games putting up 2.4 runs per game. Philadelphia is batting .231 in this span. The Nationals bullpen has an ERA of 3.06 in their 26 road games. The team is 23-10 to the under behind Nola when lined between -175 to +250 in his career. Washington is 47-28 to the under as a road underdog of +150 or higher the past two seasons. Play Washington and Philadelphia under 7.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Rays at Blue Jays—Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale has nine starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 5.83 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander strikes out 24.6% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 31.9% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings. Alek Manoah to start for Toronto. Manoah in his first two starts allowed six earned runs with 12 strikeouts and three homers and 11 innings of work. He has 72 career starts with an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP of 1.18 striking out 398 batters in 406 2/3rd innings of work.
The Pick:
The Toronto bullpen has an ERA of 5.54 in their 20 home games where they have lost 11. They are hitting only .215 in their divisional games. The Rays have seen their scoring increase over their past seven games. Blue Jays are 3-12 behind Manoah against a winning team the past three seasons with a -14.1-unit loss. Play Tampa Bay +103.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Twins at Guardians—Chris Paddack to start for Minnesota. Paddack has eight starts on the 2024 campaign dealing with an ERA of 4.89 and WHIP of 1.65. The righthander is striking out 20.9% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.1% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Bibee will start for Cleveland. Bibee has nine starts with an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.31. Righty fans 24.6% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.8% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland’s bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.04 in their 19 games, winning 13 of them. The Guardians are 12-3 in Day Games putting up 5.5 runs per game. The past seven games the Twins are batting .192 and putting up 2.7 runs per game. Minnesota is 3-12 facing a team with a .620 or greater win percentage this season with a -10.1-unit loss. Play Cleveland -112.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Mets at Marlins—Sean Manaea is the starter for New York. Manaea in eight starts to the season delivers an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander is fanning 21.1% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.6% with minimal home run damage. Sixto Sanchez to start for Miami. Sanchez appeared in 11 games with an ERA of 5.96 with WHIP of 1.63. The righthander strikes out only 12.3% with 8.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 50.6% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.57 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .211 against left-handed starters losing 15 of their 16 against them. The Marlins bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.23. New York on the road is putting up 5.2 runs per game. Play New York -144.
Oakland Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Athletics at Royals—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in nine starts on the year deals an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander is fanning 17% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.9% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Brady Singer will start for Kansas City. Singer has nine starts carrying an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander strikes out 25% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.1% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland in their past seven games is batting .192. Their bullpen has an ERA of 3.10 in their 24 road games. KC is batting .230 in their past seven games. Kansas City is 13-4 to the under facing AL teams averaging 3.9 runs per game or fewer on the season. Play Oakland and Kansas City under 9.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Brewers at Astros—Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea in eight starts on the year deals an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander fans 15.7% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.4% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.47 does suggest a rising ERA should form hold. Spencer Arrighetti will start for Houston. Arrighetti has six starts with an ERA of 7.52 and WHIP of 1.90. Righty strikes out 23.6% with 11.8% walks. Grounders served at 35.8% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.64 suggesting a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
In their past seven games the Brewers are batting .288 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Their bullpen in their 24 road games have an ERA of 2.71 with winning 15 of those games. Milwaukee is 11-4 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a +9.5-unit return. Play Milwaukee +114.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Pirates at Cubs—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has nine starts in the season posts an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander is fanning 21.6% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in five starts has an ERA of 1.61 with WHIP of 1.11. The veteran strikes out 15.4% with 6.8% walks. Grounders served at 44.4% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is batting .217 against right-handed starters. Chicago has won 14 of 22 at home where they put up 4.8 runs per game. The Pirates are 33-54 when lined at +125 to -125 the past two seasons with a -20.4-unit loss. Play Chicago -120.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Angels at Rangers—Jose Soriano to start for Los Angeles. Soriano appeared in nine games in 2024 delivering an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander strikes out 22.9% with 12% walks. Ground balls sit at 61.5% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Michael Lorenzon to start for Texas. Lorenzon has seven starts with an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 18.8% with 12.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.3% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.72 in their 23 games. They are batting .228 in Day Games. Texas in their past seven games is batting .198. Their bullpen has performed well at home. The Rangers are 16-7 to the under at home and 21-10 to the under facing a team that averages seven or greater strikeouts per game. Play Los Angeles and Texas under 8.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Padres at Braves—With the postponement on Saturday night the starters will go on Sunday. Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has eight starts on the campaign dealing with an ERA of 2.43 with WHIP of 0.98. The veteran fans 22.8% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls delivered at 35.1% with limited home run damage. Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in four starts puts up an ERA of 4.79 and WHIP of 1.65. The righthander strikes out 17.4% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 58.5% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Braves in their past seven games are hitting .236. The Padres on the road are hitting .285 and putting up 5.3 runs per game winning 13 of their 21. San Diego is 11-3 in road night games this season with a +10-unit return. The team record behind Darvish is 25-12 facing teams with a .620 or higher win percentage with a +15.5-unit return. Play San Diego +102.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Rockies at Giants—Dakota Hudson to start for Colorado. Hudson has eight starts in the season and delivers an ERA of 6.13 with WHIP of 1.69. The righthander strikes out 12.5% with 13.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 59.4% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Hicks starts for San Francisco. Hicks in nine starts posts an ERA of 2.44 with WHIP of 1.15. The righty is fanning 19.9% with 8.2% walks. Grounders sit at 56.2% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Rockies bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.04 and the Giants at home has a bullpen ERA of 4.76. The Giants have seen their run production and hitting spike up the past seven games. The Rockies over this period are hitting .294 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. San Francisco is 15-6 to the over against the division this season. Play Colorado and San Francisco over 7.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Reds at Dodgers—Hunter Greene is starting for Cincinnati. Greene in nine starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.27 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 26.6% with 10.1% walks. Grounders come in at 35.9% with 0.52 home runs per nine innings. Landon Knack to start for Los Angeles. Knack has three starts with an ERA of 2.81 and WHIP of 1.00. The righty is striking out 16.9% with 7.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 34% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds are batting .211 in Day Games. Their bullpen ERA on the road is 4.64 in their 23 games. The Dodgers have returned +22.3 units at home against the run line the past three seasons. Cincinnati is 2-15 to the run line facing NL teams that allow 3.5 runs per game or fewer the past three seasons with a -13.1-unit loss. Los Angeles is 36-21 to the run line facing an NL team that hits .245 or lower the past two seasons with a +14.3-unit return. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/19/2024
Tigers at Diamondbacks—Matt Manning is the starter for Detroit. Manning has four starts on the year dealing with an ERA of 4.37 and WHIP of 1.32. The righthander strikes out 22.7% with 9.3% walks. Grounders sit at 33.3% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Montgomery will start for Arizona. Montgomery in five starts has an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander has seen his K rate dip to 1.43% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Detroit bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.16 in their 21 games, winning 12 of them. The Tigers are putting up 4.7 runs per game against the National League. Arizona is batting .187 against the American League and .207 overall in their past seven games. The team record behind Montgomery is 5-14 in Day Games the past three seasons with a -16.3-unit loss. Detroit is 31-23 against losing teams the past two seasons with a +12.2-unit return. Play Detroit +136.