Free MLB Picks For Today 5/8/2024
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Angels at Pirates—Jose Soriano to start for Los Angeles. Soriano in seven appearances on the year carries an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander is striking out 21% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls served at 58.2% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez to start for Pittsburgh. Perez in seven starts has an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander is striking out 18% with 7.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.6% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is hitting .282 against the four left-handed starters they have faced putting up 5 runs per game on them. They have won four of those games. Pittsburgh in their past seven games are hitting .170 and putting up 2.1 runs per game. Pittsburgh is 5-14 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season with a -9.2-unit loss. Play Los Angeles +119.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Blue Jays at Phillies—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has seven starts on the year producing an ERA of 5.45 with WHIP of 1.68. The righthander fans 20.7% with 11% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.4% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia. Nola in seven starts has an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran fans 22.7% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls served at 44.2% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.42 suggesting a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Philadelphia is hitting .264 against right-handed starters putting up 5.6 runs per game against them, winning 19 of the 24. The Blue Jays on the road are hitting .212 losing 13 of 21. The Phillies are 27-12 when lined at home at -100 to -150 the past two seasons with a +11.7-unit return. They are now 49-13 facing a team getting outscored by 1 or greater runs per game over the past three seasons with a +26.3-unit return. Play Philadelphia -151.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Tigers at Guardians—Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson has six starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander is fanning 22% with 9.2% walks. Grounders sit at 52.1% with no homers allowed. Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee in seven starts posts an ERA of 4.46 with WHIP of 1.38. The righty has a K rate of 25% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls served at 40.6% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland in their first 16 home games have a bullpen ERA of 1.96. The Tigers in their first 18 on the road have a bullpen ERA of 2.48. The Tigers are hitting .217 in Day Games. The Past 7 games the Guardians are hitting .210. Cleveland is 40-17 to the under against the Division the past two seasons and 36-18 to the under when lined as a home favorite of -110 or higher the past two seasons. Play Detroit and Cleveland under 8.
New York Mets vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Mets at Cardinals—Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana has seven starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 5.20 with WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander fans 15.3% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.5% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.15 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Sonny Gray to stat for St Louis. Gray has five starts with an ERA of 0.89 with WHIP of 0.86. The veteran has an elite K rate of 33.3% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.7% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
St Louis is batting .197 in their Day games losing 13 of 19. The Mets in their first sixteen on the road is hitting .262 and putting up 5.4 runs per game. St Louis is 16-20 as a favorite of -150 or greater with a -19.2-unit loss the past two seasons. They are 6-19 at home facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or lower the past two seasons with a -17.7-unit loss. Play New York +151.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Brewers at Royals—Joe Ross to start for Milwaukee. Ross in six starts on the year has an ERA of 4.65 with WHIP of 1.55. The righthander strikes out 19% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer has seven starts with an ERA of 2.45 with WHIP of 0.97. The righty fans 26.1% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 56.3% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.45 suggesting a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Kansas City bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.15 in their first 21 games. They are putting up 5 runs per game at home as they have won 14 of their first 21 there. Milwaukee in their past seven games are hitting .207. The team record behind Singer is 13-4 in home Day games the past three seasons with a +11.1-unit return. Play Kansas City -123.
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Padres at Cubs—Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease has seven starts on the season posting an ERA of 2.55 with WHIP of 0.80. The righthander is striking out 29.8% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.7% with limited home run damage. Hayden Wesneski to start for Chicago. Wesneski appeared in four games posting an ERA of 0.54 with WHIP of 0.72. The righty is fanning 22.2% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.9% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
The Past seven games Chicago is hitting .212. The Padres on the road are hitting .287 and putting up 5.7 runs per game winning 11 of 19. Play San Diego -118.
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Marlins at Dodgers—Ryan Weathers to start for Miami. Weathers has seven starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 4.54 with WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander strikes out 19% with 9.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.9% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Gavin Stone to start for Los Angeles. Stone in six starts has an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fans 17.4% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.2% with 0.58 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Marlins are putting up 4.5 runs per game against right-handed starters going over in 16 of their 23 against them. They are 14-4 to the over in Day Games. Los Angeles is 13-4 to the over when favored by -150 or greater on the season. They are also 28-14 to the over facing teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or higher the past two seasons. Play Miami and Los Angeles over 9.
Game 1 Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Game 1 Rangers at Athletics—Michael Lorenzen to start for Texas. Lorenzen in four starts carries an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander is fanning 18.3% with 12.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 53.2% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.17 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers. JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears has seven starts with an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander strikes out 18.9% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 33.9% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .199 against righthanded starters. The Rangers have been pounding on the Athletics pitching staff in this series. The Athletics have given up 31 runs in their past three games. Play Texas -125.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Diamondbacks at Reds—Jordan Montgomery to start for Arizona. Montgomery has three starts on the season delivering an ERA of 5.63 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander strikes out 11.9% with 6% walks. Grounders served at 43.6% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in six starts has an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander has a K rate of 20.3% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 52.3% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds in their past seven games are hitting .167 and putting up 2.3 runs per game. They struggle to hit left-handed starters. Arizona is 67-52 facing an NL team with a .325 OBP or worse the past two seasons with a +15.3-unit return. Play Arizona -112.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Orioles at Nationals—Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in his season debut allowed one run with five strikeouts in 4 2/3rd innings at home to the Yankees. He returned from a partially torn UCL. He started 30 games in 2023 producing an ERA of 2.83 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander struck out 25% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 49.2% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Mitchell Parker to start for Washington. Parker has four starts with an ERA of 2.53 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander fans 22.1% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
The Orioles are hitting .218 in their past seven games putting up 3.9 runs per game. The Nationals are 53-60 as an underdog of +150 or greater with a +40.7 unit return the past two seasons. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.88. Play Washington +155.
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
White Sox at Rays—Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in seven games in the season dealing an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander strikes out 13.6% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls served at 38.5% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale will start for Tampa Bay. Civale has seven starts with an ERA of 6.14 and WHIP of 1.34. The righty has a K rate of 24.5% with 6.3% walks. Grounders come in at 32.7% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The White Sox have lost 16 of 19 on the road hitting .200. Tampa Bay has shown improvement with their hitting and run production in their past seven games. Chicago is 4-12 on the run to the run line against right-handed starters this season with a -10-unit loss. Play Tampa Bay on run line -1.5 runs at -113.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Astros at Yankees—Spencer Arrighetti to start for Houston. Arrighetti in four starts on the season posts an ERA of 8.27 with WHIP of 1.96. The righthander is fanning 25.9% with 12.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 32.7% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.38 which suggests a major drop in ERA based on his numbers. Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon has seven starts with an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander strikes out 22.6% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.3% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.77 which suggests a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
New York is putting up 5.3 runs per game against righthanders, winning 19 of 26. Houston is hitting .265 against left-handed starters putting up 4.7 runs per game. The Astros are 49-29 to the over facing a team outscoring their opponents by 0.5 runs per game or greater the past two seasons. Play Houston and New York over 8.5.
Game 2 Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Game 2 Rangers at Athletics—Jack Leiter to start for Texas. Leiter in his MLB debut allowed seven earned runs with three walks in 3 2/3rd innings at Detroit. A first-round pick in 2021 that struggled in the minors in 2022 and 2023. He had an ERA of 2.84 and WHIP of 0.92 in his 25 1/3rd innings in Triple A this year striking out 37. Osvaldo Bido expected to start for Oakland. Bido makes his 2024 debut with the big club. He had 16 appearances last year with the Pirates, putting up an ERA of 5.86 with WHIP of 1.50. The righty fanned 20.3% with 8.9% walks. Grounders dealt at 35.4% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rangers have seen improvement with hitting and run production the past seven games. The Athletics are batting .199 against right-handed starters on the year putting up 3.3 runs per game. Oakland is 19-51 facing right hands starters the past two seasons with a -22.6-unit loss. Texas is 9-2 on the road facing a team with a slugging percentage of .400 or lower on the year with a +7.5-unit return. Play Texas -125 in Game 2.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Red Sox at Braves—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in two starts allowed one earned run with 13 strikeouts in 11 innings. He returned after a flexor strain on his pitching elbow. Last year he appeared in 38 games with an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander struck out 31.2% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls served at 36.4% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale in six starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.44 with WHIP of 0.95. The lefthander fans 29% with 4.8% walks. Grounders come in at 49.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Red Sox bullpen on the road has an ERA of 1.99. The Past seven games the Braves are hitting .177 and putting up 2.6 runs per game. Boston is 11-7 as an underdog of +150 or higher the past two seasons with a +10.7-unit return. Play Boston +179.
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Mariners at Twins—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in seven starts on the year posts an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander is striking out 26.3% with 2.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.2% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Chris Paddack to start for Minnesota. Paddack has six starts with an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.47. The righty is striking out 19% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 43% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota is hitting .229 against righthanded starters. The Mariners have a winning road record and put up 4.5 runs per game. Seattle is 37-20 facing a team with an OBP of .330 or lower the past two seasons with a +17.7-unit return. Paddack as a favorite no thanks. Play Seattle -102.
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/8/2024
Giants at Rockies—Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks has seven starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 1.89 with WHIP of 1.03. The righthander fans 19.7% with 9.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 58.7% with minimal home run damage. Peter Lambert to start for Colorado. Lambert appeared in nine games with an ERA of 5.66 with WHIP of 1.50. The righty is striking out 20% with 10% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Francisco is 7-15 in night games hitting .226. Their bullpen has struggled on the road. They are 3-12 after a win with a -11.9-unit loss. Colorado is 19-19 as an underdog of +150 to +200 the past two seasons with a +14-unit return. Play Colorado +154.