Free MLB Picks For Today 5/18/2024

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/18/2024

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/18/2024

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Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

White Sox at Yankees—Brad Keller to start for Chicago. Keller appeared in four games dealing with an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 16.4% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 56.1% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.90 suggests a rise in ERA based on form. Luis Gil to start for New York. Gil in eight starts has an ERA of 2.51 with WHIP of 1.09. Righty fans 27.4% with 14.9% walks. Grounders sit at 39.4% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The New York bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.00 and White Sox 3.77 on the road. Chicago is batting .207 on the road. The Yankees are hitting .247 at home and trending to the under this season. Keller is 38-19 to the under in his road games. Chicago has been 88-60 to the under as an underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons. Play Chicago and New York under 8.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Pirates at Cubs—Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter in eight starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander strikes out 15.6% with 6.4% walks. Grounders served at 30.8% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Shota Imanaga to start for Chicago. Imanaga has eight starts with an ERA of 0.96 with WHIP of 0.94. Righty fans 27.9% with 4.4% walks. Grounders dished at 36.1% with 0.58 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Cubs have won 13 of 20 at home when this series began. Chicago is 19-12 to the run line at home facing an NL team with an OBP of .315 or lower the past two seasons with a +11.8-unit return. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +118.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Rays at Blue Jays—Zach Eflin will start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in nine starts on the year posts an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander has seen his strikeouts drop to 18.6% with 1.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 41% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has eight starts with an ERA of 4.95 with WHIP of 1.51. The veteran has seen his K rate drop to 22.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.6% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.77 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.

The Pick:

The Blue Jays are batting .222 in their divisional games. They are averaging only 3.6 runs per game at home. Their bullpen ERA at home is 5.84. The Rays have seen their run production improve the past seven games. The team record behind Gausman is 3-9 against the division the past two seasons with a -11.2-unit loss and 17-19 as a home favorite of -110 or higher the past three seasons with a -18.7-unit loss. Toronto is 16-28 facing an AL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or lower the past two seasons with a -15.1-unit loss. Play Tampa Bay +116.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Mariners at Orioles—Luis Castillo will start for Seattle. Castillo has nine starts in the season posting an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.12. The veteran is striking out 29% with 5% walks. Grounders dealt at 35.2% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in eight starts has an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 25.3% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.9% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Mariners are batting .208 in Day Games with the Orioles batting .268 and putting up 5.8 runs per game winning 13 of their 19. Baltimore’s bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.09 where they have won 15 of their first 24. Play Baltimore -110.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Rockies at Giants—Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach appeared in five games on the year posting an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.22. The left hander strikes out 9.9% with 4.2% walks. Grounders sit at 45.9% with no homers allowed. Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks has nine starts with an ERA of 2.44 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander is fanning 19.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 56.2% with limited home run damage.

The Pick:

The past seven games the Giants are batting .222. They have gone under at home in 14 of their first 21 games. Blach is 17-4 to the under in his Day Games. Colorado is 27-13 on the road facing a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer home runs per start the past three seasons. San Francisco is 17-3 to the under when favored by -150 to -200 the past two seasons. Play Colorado and San Francisco under 7.5.

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Mets at Marlins—Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in eight starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran is striking out 21.5% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 56% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in his 2024 debut allowed five earned runs with eight strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings at home to Philadelphia. He was sidelined with a shoulder injury. The lefthander made 31 appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.15. He struck out 23.7% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.1% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Marlins bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.38 in their first 23 games which 17 were losses. The past seven games they are batting .216. On the road the Mets are batting .262 and putting up 5.5 runs per game. The Marlins as this series opened were 1-9 at home when lined between -125 and +125. Play New York -123.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Nationals at Phillies—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore, in eight starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander is striking out 29% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 37.4% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings. Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has eight starts to the year with an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander fans 21% with 9.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 59.4% with minimal home run damage.

The Pick:

The Phillies in their past seven games are putting up six runs per game. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.15. The Nationals in their 13 games against left-handed starters are averaging 4.8 runs per game. Play Washington and Philadelphia over 7.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Twins at Guardians—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has eight starts to the campaign dealing with an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 0.88. The righthander is fanning 27.4% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 30% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Logan Allen will start for Cleveland. Allen in nine starts has an ERA of 5.56 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander strikes out 18.1% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.8% with 1.79 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Twins in their past seven games are hitting .192 and the Guardians .203. Cleveland bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.04 in their 19 games. They are 44-19 to the under against the division the past two seasons. Minnesota is 11-3 to the under facing teams that outscore their opponents by 1 run or greater this season. Play Minnesota and Cleveland under 8.

Oakland Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Athletics at Royals—Ross Stripling will start for Oakland. Stripling has nine starts in the year producing an ERA of 4.98 with WHIP of 1.53. The veteran has seen his K’s drop to 14.4% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.2% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo to start for Kansas City. Lugo has nine starts with an ERA of 1.66 and WHIP of 0.96. The righthander fans 20.7% with 5.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.2% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.24 suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.

The Pick:

The Athletics are batting .197 on the road this season. At home the Royals are putting up 5 runs per game. The team record behind Stripling is 4-13 to the run line on the road facing teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs per game or greater with a -12.5-unit loss. KC is 15-5 to the run line against losing teams this season with a +10.5-unit return. Play Kansas City on run line -1.5 runs at +110.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Brewers at Astros—Bryse Wilson to start for Milwaukee. Wilson in eleven appearances on the current season delivers an ERA of 2.65 with WHIP of 1.12. The righty is striking out 20.4% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls are 39.1% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.87 does imply a rise in ERA if form holds. Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander has five starts delivering an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran fans 19.3% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 23.2% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

Houston is 12-12 in their home games. The Brewers bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.71 in their 23 games, winning 14 of them. The past seven games Milwaukee is hitting .288 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Milwaukee is 10-4 on the road as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a +8.3-unit return. The Astros are 21-35 at home when lined at -100 to -150 the past two seasons with a -23.7-unit return. Play Milwaukee +155.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Angels at Rangers—Patrick Sandoval to start for Los Angeles. Sandoval in nine starts on the year deals with an ERA of 5.00 with WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander strikes out 23.8% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.4% with limited home run damage. A FIP of 2.75 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Jose Urena to start for Texas. Urena has 12 appearances with an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 15.4% with 8.8% walks. Grounders come in at 48.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Angels bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.72 in their 23 games. The past seven games the Angels are hitting .279 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. Texas is batting .211 against left-handed starters, losing 9 of those 16 games. The team record behind Urena is 23-53 at home with a -28.5-unit loss. Play Los Angeles +121.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Padres at Braves—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has eight starts on the campaign dealing with an ERA of 2.43 with WHIP of 0.98. The veteran fans 22.8% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls delivered at 35.1% with limited home run damage. Bryce Elder to start for Atlanta. Elder in four starts puts up an ERA of 4.79 and WHIP of 1.65. The righthander strikes out 17.4% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 58.5% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Braves in their past seven games are hitting .236. The Padres on the road are hitting .285 and putting up 5.3 runs per game winning 13 of their 21. San Diego is 11-3 in road night games this season with a +10-unit return. The team record behind Darvish is 25-12 facing teams with a .620 or higher win percentage with a +15.5-unit return. Play San Diego +102.

Boston Red Sox vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Red Sox at Cardinals—Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford has nine starts on the current campaign delivering an ERA of 2.24 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 24.2% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.4% with limited home run damage. Miles Mikolas to start for Boston. Mikolas in nine starts posts an ERA of 6.19 with WHIP of 1.48. The veteran is striking out 16.6% with 4.7% walks. Grounders sit at 42.9% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Red Sox bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.35. The Cardinals bat .219 at home. Boston is batting .254 against right-handed starters putting up 4.8 runs per game. The team record behind Mikolas is 3-11 at home when lined between +125 to -125 with a -9.1-unit loss and 6-14 when working on 5 to 6 days rest with a -9.9-unit loss. Boston is 38-22 facing a team that averages 2.75 extra base hits or fewer per game the past two seasons with a +13-unit return. Play Boston -115.

Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Tigers at Diamondbacks—Jack Flaherty to start for Detroit. Flaherty has eight starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander has an elite K rate of 32.5% with 3.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.6% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in eight starts has an ERA of 2.86 with WHIP of 1.11. Righty fans 25.3% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.4% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.

The Pick:

The Tigers bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.16. They are putting up 4.6 runs per game in their 21 road games where they have won 12 of those games. The team record behind Flaherty is 16-7 on the road the past two seasons with a +11.3-unit return. Play Detroit +134.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024

Reds at Dodgers—Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in eight starts on the season produces an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.44. The righthander is fanning 18.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls rated at 51.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Walker Buehler to start for Los Angeles. Buehler in his two starts allowed six earned runs with six strikeouts and three homers in 7 1/3rd innings. He was sidelined with Tommy John surgery last year and most of 2022. Righty has 117 career appearances with an ERA of 3.07 and WHIP of 1.04 striking out 696 batters in 645 2/3rd innings of work.

The Pick:

The Dodgers are batting .270 against right handers putting up 5.7 runs per game going over in 18 of their 30. They have gone over in 16 of 23 this season. The Dodgers bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.81. The Reds are showing improvement the past seven games hitting the baseball and putting up four runs per game. Los Angeles is 20-10 to the over when favored by -150 or higher this season. The Dodgers 14-2 to the over when the total is lined at 7 to 8.5. Play Los Angeles and Cincinnati over 8.

Free MLB Picks For Today 5/18/2024

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