Free MLB Picks For Today 5/3/2024
More MLB Picks Predictions Previews
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Brewers at Cubs—Joe Ross to start for Milwaukee. Ross in five starts carries an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP of 1.68. The righthander strikes out 19.3% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls served at 45.7% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Hayden Wesneski to start for Chicago. Wesneski in three appearances has an ERA of 0.87 with WHIP of 0.68 tossing 10 1/3rd innings. The righty strikes out 15.4% with 2.6% walks. Grounders sit at 51.6% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
Chicago has been a good home team winning 10 of 13 with a bullpen ERA of 3.15 there. They put up 5.8 runs per game in their home park. The Cubs are 17-8 against right-handed starters this year with a +11 unit return. Play Chicago -124.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Orioles at Reds—Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin has five starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 3.49 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander is striking out 15.5% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.4% with 0.64 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in six starts has an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP of 1.10. The righty delivers 29.2% K’s with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Reds in their eleven games against left-handed starters are hitting .201. Baltimore is putting up 5.3 runs per game in their 19 against right-handed starters winning 12 of those games. The team record behind Greene is 2-10 at home the past two seasons with a -10.1-unit loss. The Orioles are 11-2 when lined at -125 to +125 this season with a +9.1-unit return. Play Baltimore -113.
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Giants at Phillies—Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks in six starts on the year carries an ERA of 1.59 with WHIP of 0.91. The righthander fans 20.8% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 59.6% with minimal home run damage. Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has six starts, produces an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.07. The veteran is striking out 22.9% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 45.9% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.45 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Philadelphia bullpen at home has an ERA of 7.16. The Giants on the road have a bullpen ERA of 5.60. The Past seven games the Phillies are hitting .279 and putting up 5.9 runs per game. The Giants have put up more runs on the road this year. Nola is 10-2 over when lined at -125 to -175 the past two seasons. Play San Francisco and Philadelphia over 7.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Rockies at Pirates—Cal Quantrill to start for Colorado. Quantrill in six starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 5.34 with WHIP of 1.50. The righthander strikes out 12% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls served at 44% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez to start for Pittsburgh. Perez has six starts delivering an ERA of 2.86 with WHIP of 1.36. The lefthander fans 18.2% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.8% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
The Past seven games the Pirates are hitting .189 and putting up 2 runs per game. The Rockies are struggling to hit and score on the road. Quantrill 13-3 to the under when lined at +125 to +175. The Pirates are 17-8 to the under when facing teams averaging 7 or greater strikeouts this season. Play Colorado and Pittsburgh under 9.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Blue Jays at Nationals—Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi has six starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 2.94 with WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander has a K rate of 26.1% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 45.2% with limited home run damage. Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in six starts has an ERA of 6.82 with WHIP of 1.89. The lefthander fans 14.9% with 8.8% walks. Grounders come in at 46.8% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto in their past seven games is hitting .190 and putting up 2.3 runs per game. They put up just 2.8 runs per game against left-handed starters. Washington is putting up 4.8 runs per game against left-handed starters where they have won six of eleven. Toronto is 31-34 when favored by -125 to -175 with a -17.4-unit loss with past two seasons. The team record behind Kikuchi 24-29 when favored by -110 or higher with a -19-unit loss. Play Washington +157.
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Mets at Rays—Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana in six starts on the year posts an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander is striking out 16% with 10.4% walks. Ground balls served at 46.2% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale has six starts carrying an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander strikes out 24.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 36.8% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rays bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.60. New York on the road is hitting .269 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. Tampa Bay has a losing record at home. Play New York +118.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Tigers at Yankees—Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson has five starts on the year dealing an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander is fanning 21.1% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls served at 49.4% with no homers allowed. Marcus Stroman to start for New York. Stroman in six starts has an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 1.42. The veteran strikes out 23.2% with 10.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 58% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Olsen on the road an ERA of 4.80 with WHIP of 1.60. New York is 16-6 facing right-handed starters putting up 5.4 runs per game. The Tigers are putting up only 3.8 runs per game against right-handed starters. Play New York -152.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Angels at Guardians—Jose Soriano to start for Los Angeles. Soriano appeared in six games on the campaign dealing an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander fans 23% with 14% walks. Ground balls dished at 55.9% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Bibbee to start for Cleveland. Bibbee has six starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.31. The righty strikes out 26.3% with 9% walks. Grounders sit at 38.6% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Guardians bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.50. They are hitting only .219 in their past seven games. The Angels bullpen has performed better on the road. No Trout for Los Angeles. The Guardians are 33-18 to the under when favored at home by -110 or higher. They are 24-11 to the under at home facing teams getting outscored by .5 runs or greater the past two seasons. Play Los Angeles and Cleveland under 8.5.
PART 2
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Rangers at Royals—Michael Lorenzen to start for Texas. Lorenzen in three starts in 2024 deals an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 20.3% with 13% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.5% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer has six starts with an ERA of 2.62 and WHIP of 1.02. The righty fans 24.5% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 57.3% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rangers bullpen in their thirteen road games has an ERA of 6.17 with the Royals at home an ERA of 2.64. KC is putting up 5.2 runs per game at home. Kansas City is 11-3 at home against right-handed starters on the season with a +9-unit return. Team record behind Singer 23-12 at home the past three seasons with a +13.6-unit return. Play Kansas City -110.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Red Sox at Twins—Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck has six starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 1.60 with WHIP of 0.92. The righthander is striking out 26.5% with 3.2% walks. Grounders served at 54.7% with minimal home run damage. Chris Paddack will start for Minnesota. Paddack has five starts delivering an ERA of 5.88 with WHIP of 1.69. The righty has seen his strikeouts drop to 17.4% with 5% walks. Grounders come in at 39.8% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Twins have a ten-game win streak. They bullpen in their 12 home games and have an ERA of 1.97. Past seven games they are hitting .316 and putting up 8.1 runs per game. The team record behind Houck is 5-17 when line between +125 and -175. Play Minnesota -108.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Mariners at Astros—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in six starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.11. The third year righthander has seen his K rate rise to 28.4% with 3% walks. Ground balls sit at 33% with limited home run damage. Ronel Blanco to start for Houston. Blanco has five starts with an ERA of 1.65 and WHIP of 0.92. Righty fans 23.4% with 10.9% walks. Grounders sit at 47.6% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Seattle in their past seven games is hitting .187 and putting up 3.1 runs per game. In their sixteen home games the Astros put up 5.1 runs per game and hit .283. The team record behind Kirby is 2-8 when working on 5-6 days rest on the road with a -8.4-unit loss the past two seasons. Play Houston -116.
Chicago White Sox vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
White Sox at Cardinals—Brad Keller to start for Chicago. Keller has one bullpen appearance this season allowing one run with a strikeout and two walks over 1 2/3rd innings. He began the season in Triple A allowing eight earned runs with 14 strike outs in 16 innings. Last year with the Royals he had an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 1.92walking 45 batters and 31 strikeouts in 45 1/3rd innings. Sonny Gray to start for St Louis. Gray has four starts with an ERA of 1.16 and WHIP of 0.94. The veteran has a K rate of 36% with 4.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 40.4% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Cardinals are batting .211 at home, pushing across 3.3 runs per game in their 12 games there. Chicago on the road is batting .208 posting 2.6 runs per game in their 14 games. St Louis is 15-6 to the under against right-handed starters. Keller is 19-6 to the under facing losing teams. Play Chicago and St Louis under 7.5 runs.
Miami Marlins vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Marlins at Athletics—Ryan Weathers to start for Miami. Weathers in six starts on the year delivers an ERA of 4.55 with WHIP of 1.48. The left hander is striking out 18.7% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls served at 45.7% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears has six starts with an ERA of 4.64 and WHIP of 1.12. The lefty fans 17.6% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 29.2% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Oakland bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.44 in their sixteen games and Marlins 2.56 in their thirteen on the road. Oakland is batting .215 at home and the Marlins 2.14 on the road. Miami is 7-0 to the under in night road games. They are 34-19 to the under against left-handed starters the past two seasons. Play Miami and Oakland under 7.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Padres at Diamondbacks—Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease has six starts in the year dealing with an ERA of 2.78 with WHIP of 0.87. The righthander fans 28.8% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls served at 34.5% with 0.50 home runs per nine innings. Slade Cecconi to start for Arizona. Cecconi has two starts allowing three earned runs with 11 strikeouts in 12 innings of work. He saw work last year allowing 13 earned runs with 20 strikeouts in 27 innings. He worked 19 2/3rd innings in Triple A this season posting an ERA of 4.58 with WHIP of 1.30 with a good strikeout rate.
The Pick:
Arizona is hitting .213 and putting up 3.5 runs per game against right-handed starters. The Padres are putting up 5.2 runs per game against righty starters. San Diego is batting .270 in their fourteen road games. Play San Diego -105.
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/3/2024
Braves at Dodgers—Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has five starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran strikes out 23.3% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.8% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Gavin Stone will start for Los Angeles. Stone in five starts has an ERA of 4.68 with WHIP of 1.44. The righty fans 16.5% with 11% walks. Ground balls served at 42.3% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Los Angeles bullpen in their seventeen home games has an ERA of 4.56. The Dodgers are putting up 5.9 runs per game against right handed starters hitting .282. On the road the Braves are hitting .266 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. Morton is 24-10 to the over in the past three first halves of the season. Los Angeles is 8-1 to the over at home facing NL teams averaging 4.5 runs per game or greater this season. They are 22-8 to the over facing teams outscoring opponents by 1 run per game or greater the past two seasons. Play Atlanta and Los Angeles over 9.5.