Free MLB Picks For Today 4/18/2024
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/18/2024
Angels at Rays—Griffin Canning to start for Los Angeles. Canning in three starts on the year carries an ERA of 9.88 with WHIP of 1.83. The righthander has seen his strikeout rate drop to 18.2% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 28.6% with 3.29 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Pepiot to start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot has three starts in 2024 with an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.02. The righty strikes out 30.8% with 7.7% walks. Grounders served at 32.5% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rays bullpen has an ERA of 6.06 in their first twelve home games. The Angels bullpen in their first 17 games of the year has an ERA of 4.89. Tampa Bay is 44-25 to the over at home against right-handed starters the past two seasons with a +16.2 unit return. The Angels are 23-10 to the over as a road underdog of +125 to +175 the past two seasons returning +11.7 units. Play Los Angeles and Tampa Bay over 8.5.
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/18/2024
Rangers at Tigers—Jack Leiter to start for Texas. Leiter makes his MLB debut. The righthander sat with ERA’s over five in two stops in Triple A the past two seasons. He has three appearances in Triple A this year allowing six earned runs with four homers and 25 strikeouts in 14 1/3rd innings. Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda had three starts in the year producing an ERA of 6.00 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran has seen his strikeouts plummet to 15.9% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.4% with 2.40 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their first nine home games the Tigers are batting .205. Texas in their thirteen games against right-handed starters are hitting .284. Team record behind Maeda 3-11 in Day Games the past two seasons with a -10.4-unit loss. The team behind Maeda is 2-11 when he faces an AL team that averages 4.9 runs per game or greater. Play Texas -105.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/18/2024
Guardians at Red Sox—Carlos Carrasco to start for Cleveland. Carrasco in three starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.55 with WHIP of 1.66. The righthander fans 20% with 16.4% walks. Ground balls served at 47.1% with no homers allowed. Cooper Criswell to start for Boston. Criswell started the year in the minors. In thirteen career starts the righty has an ERA of 5.83 with WHIP of 1.58 striking out 35 batters in 41 2/3rd innings. In his first start he allowed two earned runs with four strikeouts in four innings at home to the Angels.
The Pick:
The Red Sox bullpen at home has an ERA of 6.94 in their first eight games with their batters hitting .203. The Guardians are getting great work from their pen on the road and are putting up 6.3 runs per game in their first 11 away. Play Cleveland +106.
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/18/2024
Marlins at Cubs—A.J. Puk to start for Miami. Puk has three starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.91 with WHIP of 2.44. The lefthander has seen his K rate plummet to 13.8% with 24.1% walks. Ground balls served at 30.6% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Jameson Taillon debuts in 2024. Taillon has been dealing with a back injury. In 30 appearances last year he had an ERA of 4.84 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander struck out 21.4% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.9% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. In two minor league starts he allowed three runs with eight strikeouts in 6 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The Cubs against lefthanded starters are hitting .306 and putting up 8.3 runs per game. They have been hitting the ball well at home, putting up 7.3 runs per game in their six. The Marlins bullpen has an ERA of near six. Miami is putting up 5.6 runs per game against righthanders going over in seven of their first eight against them. Play Miami and Chicago over 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/18/2024
Diamondbacks at Giants—Ryne Nelson to start for Arizona. Nelson in three starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 5.27 with WHIP of 1.61. The righthander strikes out 20.3% with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.1% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb has four starts in 2024 with an ERA of 3.80 with WHIP of 1.39. The right is striking out 17% with 5% walks. Ground balls served at 50.6% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
The Giants offense in their first six home games are hitting .225 and putting up 2.8 runs per game. San Francisco is 21-21 when favored by -150 or greater the past two seasons with a -15.4-unit return. When Arizona is a road underdog of +125 to +175, they are 32-31 with a +16.2 unit return the past three seasons. First home game with no day off for San Francisco after a six-game road trip in Florida. Nelson in his past two starts against San Francisco allowed three earned runs in 13 1/3rd innings all on the road with the Diamondbacks winning. Team record if 3-0 under Nelson against San Francisco. Play Arizona +152.