Free MLB Picks For Today 4/15/2024
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Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Twins at Orioles—Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland had 17 appearances in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.63 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fanned 25.1% with 6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.3% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing nine runs with three homers and ten strikeouts in nine innings. Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin appeared in 24 games a year ago delivering an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander struck out 20.2% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sat at 41.4% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the season allowing nine runs with five walks in ten innings.
The Pick:
The Orioles are hitting .260 against the first eight righthanders they have faced and putting up 6.1 runs per game against them. The Twins are batting only .190 against lefthanders. The Twins are 34-63 as an underdog of +100 to +150 the past three seasons with a -23.2-unit loss. Play Baltimore -147.
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Giants at Marlins—Kyler Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison in three starts this season delivers an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander has a K rate of 25% with 4.4% walks. Grounders served at 31.9% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. A.J. Puk to start for Miami. Puk has three starts on the year producing an ERA of 5.91 with WHIP of 2.44. The lefty has seen his strikeouts drop to 13.8% with 24.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 30.6% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is 1-8 facing left-handed starters hitting .185 and putting up 2.3 runs per game. The Giants are batting .303 against left handers and putting up five runs per game. Play San Francisco -120.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Angels at Rays—Patrick Sandoval to start for Los Angeles. Sandoval in three starts on the year posts an ERA of 6.57 with WHIP of 1.86. The lefthander is fanning 24.6% with 11.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.1% with no homers allowed. Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has three starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 6.35 with WHIP of 1.29. The veteran strikes out 20.3% with 2.7% walks. Grounders served at 44.6% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Both bullpens are struggling. Tampa Bay is batting .297 against the five left handed starters they have faced this year. Los Angeles is 21-10 to the over when lined on the road at +125 to +175. The Rays are 51-30 to the over when lined at home at -110 or higher the past two seasons. Play Tampa Bay and Los Angeles over 8.5.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Yankees at Blue Jays—Luis Gil to start for New York Gil had been sidelined due to injury the past few seasons. The righty has nine career starts with an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.32. He has 57 strikeouts in 42 1/3rd innings along with 28 walks. In two starts on the year he allowed three runs with fourteen strikeouts and seven walks in nine innings. Chris Bassitt will start for Toronto. Bassitt has three starts on the year with an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.81. The veteran strikes out 22.7% with 12% walks. Grounders come in at 41.7% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The New York bullpen on the road has an ERA of 1.76 and Blue Jays at home are at 6.75. The Yankees are putting up 5.5 runs per game in the ten games against right-handed starters. New York is 9-1 facing right-handed starters this year. Play New York -103.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Pirates at Mets—Martin Perez to start for the Pirates. Perez has three starts in the year with an ERA of 1.89 and WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander struck out 19.2% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 55.2% with 0.47 home runs per nine innings. Adrian Houser to start for New York. Houser appeared in 23 games last year dealing an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander struck out 20% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sat at 46.7% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing six runs with five walks and four strikeouts in ten innings.
The Pick:
The Pirates in their 11 road games are putting up 6.1 runs per game. Their bullpen has performed well this year. New York is batting .219 at home. Team record behind Perez 10-2 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 the past two seasons. Play Pittsburgh +110.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Padres at Brewers—Joe Musgrove will start for San Diego. Musgrove in four starts on the year has an ERA of 6.87 with WHIP of 1.75. The veteran had a K rate of 19.8% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls sat at 35.1% with 0.98 home runs per innings. Joe Ross to start for Milwaukee. Ross had been sidelined the past few seasons to Tommy John surgery. He has a career ERA of 4.21 with 8.2 strikeouts and 1.17 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing three runs with six walks and ten strikeouts in 10 innings.
The Pick:
The Brewers are batting .294 against righthanded starters and putting up 6.8 runs per game in the thirteen games against them. Musgrove form makes the Padres tough to back as a road favorite. Play Milwaukee +107.
Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Braves at Astros—Darius Vines will start for Atlanta. Vines had five appearances in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.98 with WHIP of 1.08. He struck out 16.7% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sat at 40.3% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts in Triple-A in the year allowing five earned runs with 11 strikeouts in 12 innings. Spencer Arrighetti to start for Houston. Arrighetti in his MLB debut allowed seven earned runs with three walks in three innings of work. He spent 2023 in two levels of the minors with an ERA of 4.15 in Double A and 4.64 in Triple A.
The Pick:
The Braves are batting .324 and putting up 7.2 runs per game against the eight right-handed starters they have faced this season. Their bullpen has performed well on the road. The Astros bullpen has been hammered at home this year. The Astros are 5-11 when lined at -100 to -150 this year with a +8.6 unit loss. Play Atlanta -105.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Cubs at Diamondbacks—Ben Brown to start for Chicago Brown has appeared in three games this year with an ERA of 6.10 with WHIP of 1.45. He has 11 strikeouts with four walks in 10 1/3rd innings of work. In Triple A last year, the righthanders had an ERA of 5.33 in 72 2/3rd innings of work striking out 100 batters. Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has three starts on the year with an ERA of 2.29 and WHIP of 0.92. The righty has a K rate of 22.2% with 5.6% walks. Grounders sit at 47.1% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The past seven games the Cubs are batting .198. Arizona is putting up 6.1 runs per game in their ten home games this year and batting .276. Their bullpen has performed well. The team record behind Kelly 11-1 when working on 5-6 days rest and a +11.8-unit return. Play Arizona -139.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/15/2024
Reds at Mariners—Frankie Montas to start for Cincinnati. Montas has three starts in the year producing an ERA of 2.16 and WHIP of 1.14. The veteran struck out 19.1% with 5.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 42% with limited home run damage. George Kirby will start for Seattle. Kirby in three starts in 2023 carries an ERA of 8.16 with WHIP of 1.53. The third year righthander is fanning 19.4% with 3% walks. Grounders served at 37.3% with limited home runs damage. He has a FIP of 2.95 which suggests a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Mariners are batting .193 in their ten home games and averaging 2.4 runs per game. In their six road games the Reds are putting up 6.8 runs per game and getting good work from their bullpen. Play Cincinnati +132.