Free MLB Picks For Today 4/29/2024
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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Yankees at Orioles—Clarke Schmidt to start for Baltimore. Schmidt in five starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.55 with WHIP of 1.46. The righthander fans 26.9% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls served at 41.8% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Grayson Rodriguez is the starter for Baltimore. Rodriguez has five starts with an ERA of 4.45 and WHIP of 1.41. The righty deals 28.1% K’s with 7.4% walks. Grounders come in at 33.3% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York bullpen in their fifteen road games has an ERA of 2.10. They are putting up 5.5 runs per game against the 18 right-handed starters they have faced, winning 14 of those games. Team record behind Schmidt 15-3 facing an AL Team with an OBP of .320 or worse the past two seasons with a +11.6-unit return. Play New York +121.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Cardinals at Tigers—Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz has five starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.60. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 14.7% with 8.3% walks. Grounders dished at 33.3% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda in five starts has an ERA of 5.96 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander has also seen his strikeouts plummet to 17% with 7% walks. Grounders come in at 43.2% with 2.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The St Louis bullpen in their 15 road games have an ERA of 2.87 on the road. Detroit is batting .209 against left-handed starters. The team record behind Matz is 21-11 when he pitches with 5-6 days of rest with a +13.4-unit return. The team record behind Maeda in April Games is 11-21 wit-15.5-unitunit loss. Play St Louis -110.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Cubs at Mets—Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon in his two starts allowed two earned runs with eight strikeouts in 10 2/3rd innings. He was sidelined to start the year with a back problem. He had 30 appearances last year with an ERA of 4.84 and WHIP of 1.28. The righthander struck out 21.4% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sat at 37.9% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in five starts carries an ERA of 2.67 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander is striking out 22.4% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 58.2% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York in their 14 home games have a bullpen ERA of 2.04. The Cubs in their 14 on the road have a bullpen ERA of 5.68. Prefer Severino with his bullpen backing him. Play New York -127.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Rays at Brewers—Ryan Pepiot will start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot in five starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 0.98. The righthander fans 28.2% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.4% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Bryse Wilson is the starter for Milwaukee. Wilson appeared in eight games with an ERA of 3.50 and WHIP of 1.00. The righty strikes out 21.4% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 40% with 2.00 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.20 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
The Brewers against righthanded starters are hitting .272 and putting up 5.8 runs per game in the 22 games they have faced them winning 15. The Brewers are 32-14 at home with a +14.4 unit return when lined at -100 to -150 the past two seasons. Tampa Bay allowed 21 runs at the White Sox over the weekend losing all three. Play Milwaukee -109.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Phillies at Angels—Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has five starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP of 1.48. The lefthander has a K rate of 25.5% with 10% walks. Ground balls dealt at 66.2% with no homers allowed. Griffin Canning to start for Los Angeles. Canning in five starts has an ERA of 7.50 with WHIP of 1.54. The righthander is striking out 18.2% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.3% with 1.88 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles bullpen in their 11 home games have an ERA of 7.12. The Phillies pen in their first 12 on the road has an ERA of 3.55. Philadelphia is their 17 games against right-handed starters are putting up 5.1 runs per game and winning 13 of those games. The Phillies are 30-13 facing an AL team hitting .265 or lower the past two seasons with a +15.6-unit return. Los Angeles is 4-18 facing NL Teams averaging 4.5 runs per game or greater the past two seasons with a -14.9-unit loss. Play Philadelphia -138.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Pirates at Athletics—Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter has five starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 3.33 with WHIP of 0.89. The lefthander fans 17.3% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.7% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Joe Boyle to start for Oakland. Boyle in five starts has an ERA of 7.06 with WHIP of 1.80. The righthander fans 23.3% with 15.5% walks. Grounders served at 36.1% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tough travel spot for Oakland playing their first home game after a ten-game road trip with no off day in between. Pittsburgh played a weekend series in San Francisco. Oakland has lost six of nine against left-handed starters putting up just 2.8 runs per game. Pittsburgh is putting up 4.7 runs per game in their first sixteen on the road, winning nine of those games. The Pirates are 45-30 facing losing teams the past two seasons. Oakland is 19-51 at home facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower the past two seasons with a -20.2-unit loss. Play Pittsburgh -125.
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Braves at Mariners—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in five starts in 2023 deals an ERA of 4.97 with WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 16.5% with 8.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 65.5% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller has five starts in the year carrying an ERA of 2.22 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander fans 26.1% with 9.9% walks. Grounders sit at 33.8% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Max Fried in his three starts on the road has an ERA of 5.25 with WHIP of 1.75. The Mariners bullpen in their fifteen games at home have an ERA of 2.08. Atlanta is hitting .234 against the American League. Play Seattle +135.
Washinton Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Nationals at Marlins—Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin in five starts delivers an ERA of 4.55 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 20.4% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 41% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.20 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Trevor Rogers to start for Miami. Rogers in five starts has an ERA of 4.10 with WHIP of 1.52. The lefthander fans 20.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 51.8% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
Irvin in his three road starts has an ERA of 2.12. Miami is 2-14 in their sixteen home games. The Nationals in their fifteen road games have an ERA of 3.04. They are putting up 5 runs per game against the nine left handers they have faced. The Marlins are 0-10 when lined at -100 to -150 on the season. The Nationals are 8-4 on the road this month with a +9.2-unit return. Play Washington +133.
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Royals at Blue Jays—Jonathan Bowlan to start for Kansas City. Bowlan makes his 2024 debut. He worked three innings last year allowing one run with three strikeouts in three innings. The righthander was a second-round pick in 2018 who put up good numbers in Triple A this year. Yariel Rodriguez to start for Toronto. Rodriguez in three starts produces an ERA of 3.86 and WHIP of 1.54. The righty fans 28.8% with 9.6% walks. Grounders delivered at 34.4% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
KC bullpen struggles on the road and the Blue Jays at home. KC is putting up 4.7 runs per game against right-handed starters. The Blue Jays are 15-21 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 the past two seasons with a -15.7-unit loss. The Royals are 9-1 on the year facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or higher with a +9.7-unit return. Play Kansas City +128.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Twins at White Sox—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in five starts in 2024 displays an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.01. The righty has an elite K rate of 32.8% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Garrett Crochet to start for Chicago. Crochet has six starts with an ERA of 6.37 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander is striking out 32% with 6.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.3% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.11 which indicates a possible drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The White Sox are 2-15 in divisional games. The Twins are hitting .286 against left handers. The Twins in their past seven games are hitting .286 and putting up 8.1 runs per game. Chicago is 9-29 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 the past two seasons with a -15.2-unit loss. Play Minnesota -158.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Dodgers at Diamondbacks—James Paxton to start for Los Angeles. Paxton has four starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander fans 12.4% with 19.1% walks. Ground balls served at 42.4% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 5.83 suggesting a rise in ERA based on form. Tommy Henry in five starts delivers an ERA of 5.55 plus WHIP of 1.60. The lefty struck out 21.4% with 8% walks. Grounders come in at 50% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona against left-handed starters is hitting .294 and putting up 7.3 runs per game in their thirteen games against them. They are putting up six runs per game at home. In their past seven games Los Angeles is putting up 6.3 runs per game and hitting .322. The Dodgers are 42-27 when favored on the road by -110 or higher the past two seasons. They are 10-2 to the over facing teams averaging 4.5 runs per game or higher. Play Los Angeles and Arizona over 10.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/29/2024
Reds at Padres—Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo in three starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 2.12 with WHIP of 1.06. The lefthander is striking out 28.6% with 5.7% walks. Grounders served at 42.9% with no homers allowed. Matt Waldron to start for San Diego. Waldron has five starts with an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.44. The righthander is fanning 20.4% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.2% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds bullpen in their twelve road games have an ERA of 5.11 and the offense is hitting only .202 in those games. The Padres are in the better hitting form the past seven games. Play San Diego -102.