Free MLB Picks For Today 4/14/2024
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/14/2024
Angels at Red Sox—Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson had 27 appearances in 2023 producing an ERA of 5.43 with WHIP of 1.49. The lefthander struck out 18.9% with 10.2% walks. Grounders sat at 30.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing no runs with eight strikeouts in 14 innings. Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello had three starts on the year with an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander has a K rate of 16.9% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls served at 46% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Red Sox are batting .197 against lefthanders averaging 2.7 runs per game in their four games against the Southpaws. Boston bullpen at home has an ERA of 8.44. The Red Sox are 9-15 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 the past two seasons with a -15.1-unit loss. Play Los Angeles +115.
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/14/2024
Twins at Tigers—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober had 26 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.07. The righthander struck out 25.3% with 5% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.3% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the campaign allowing ten runs with three homers and eight strikeouts in 6 1/3rd innings. Jack Flaherty to start for Cleveland. Flaherty appeared in 27 games a season ago dealing an ERA of 4.99 with WHIP of 1.58. The righty fanned 22.8% with 10.2% walks. Grounders sat at 42.7% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the campaign allowing seven runs with twelve strikeouts in 12 innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota is batting .182 against right-handed starters. The Tigers are hitting better and getting good work from their bullpen. Detroit is 30-13 when lined at -100 to -150 the past two seasons with a +13.6-unit return. Play Detroit -106.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/14/2024
Rangers at Astros—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi has three starts on the year carrying an ERA of 1.45 with WHIP of 0.80. The righthander has a K rate of 27.9% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.9% with limited home run damage. Christian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in three starts in 2024 has an ERA of 1.10 with WHIP of 1.16. The righty fanned 19.1% with 13.2% walks. Grounders sat at 28.9% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
The Rangers are batting .306 against righthanders putting up 6.9 runs per game. The Astros 0-3 in Day Games putting up 3.3 runs per game. Houston is 2-10 as a favorite of -110 or higher this year with a -10.6-unit loss. Team record behind Eovaldi 13-3 in Day Games with a +10.7 unit return the past two seasons. Play Texas +103.
Washington Nationals vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/14/2024
Nationals at Athletics—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams started 30 games in 2023 putting up an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.60. The righthander struck out 16.8% with 8% walks. Grounders sat at 39.5% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing three earned runs with seven strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings. Alex Wood will start for Oakland. Wood in three starts on the season has an ERA of 8.03 with WHIP of 1.95. The lefthander has a K rate of 20% with 10% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.4% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.53 which suggests a drop in ERA based on his form.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .188 at home, losing seven of nine. Washington is getting good work from their bullpen. The Athletics are 16-47 in home Day Games against righthanded starters the past two seasons with a -21.4-unit loss. Oakland is 7-34 facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or lower the past two seasons with a -22.3-unit loss. Play Washington +116.
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/14/2024
Cubs at Mariners—Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad appeared in 22 games last season posting an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.23. The righty fanned 20.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls sat at 46.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the campaign allowing two earned runs with 12 strikeouts in 11 innings. Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in his three starts on the year produced an ERA of 6.89 with WHIP of 1.85. The veteran has a K rate of 24% with 5.3% walks. Grounders sit at 38.5% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.36, which suggests a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
The under is 39-21 with Castillo when facing an NL team averaging 4.5 runs per game or greater. The Mariners are 37-21 to the under in Day Home Games the past three seasons. Chicago is batting .204 on the road. Seattle at home is batting .197 and putting up 2.6 runs per game. Play Chicago and Seattle under 8.