Free MLB Picks For Today 4/9/2024
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Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/9/2024
Tigers at Pirates—Casey Mize to start for Detroit. Mize has been sidelined the past two seasons with Tommy John surgery. He has 40 career starts with an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.22. The righthander has 152 career strikeouts in 193 innings of work walking 58 batters. He faced the Mets on the road in his opener allowing three earned runs with four strikeouts in 4 1/3rd innings. Martin Perez to start for Pittsburgh. Perez had 35 appearances with the Rangers last season, dealing an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander struck out 15.3% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.5% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The team record behind Perez 12-2 facing AL teams putting up 3.9 runs or fewer the past three seasons with a +10 unit return. The team record behind Perez 17-6 when lined between +125 and -125 with a +11.1-unit return. Detroit is batting only .191 against left-handed starters. Play Pittsburgh -120.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/9/2024
Orioles at Red Sox—Corbin Burnes to start for Baltimore. Burnes made 32 starts with Milwaukee last year carrying an ERA of 3.39 with WHIP of 1.07. The veteran fanned 25.5% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 44.1% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. He has made two starts this season allowing three earned runs with 14 strikeouts in 11 2/3rd innings. Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello had 28 starts in 2023 putting up an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander struck out 19.8% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 56.2% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. He has made two starts in 2024 allowing six earned runs with eight strikeouts in ten innings.
The Pick:
The Red Sox are 48-28 facing an AL Team hitting .255 or worse the past two seasons with a +16.6-unit return. Team record behind Bello 14-5 when pitching on 5-6 days of rest with a +10.2-unit return. The Orioles are hitting only .186 their past seven games. Play Boston +118.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/9/2024
Mariners at Blue Jays—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in 31 starts last season delivered an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander fanned 22.7% with 2.5% walks. Grounders sat at 44.2% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts in 2024 allowing six earned runs with ten strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings. Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt in 33 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP of 1.17. The veteran had a K rate of 22.5% with 7.1% walks. Grounders served at 42.3% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year, all on the road, allowing nine runs with five walks and nine strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Team record behind Bassitt is 13-3 to the under at home when facing teams that averaging 7 or greater strikeouts over the past two seasons. The Blue Jays are 19-6 to the under when facing a team averaging 0.75 home runs or fewer per game the past two seasons. Seattle is hitting .209 against righthanded starters and Toronto .186. Play Seattle and Toronto under 8.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/9/2024
Dodgers at Twins—Tyler Glasnow to start for Los Angeles. Glasnow in three starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 0.88. The righthander has a K rate of 22.7% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sat at 41.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Louie Varland to start for Minnesota. Varland appeared in 17 games last year dealing an ERA of 4.63 and WHIP of 1.22. The righty struck out 25.1% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.3% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. His first start on the year came at Milwaukee allowing three earned runs with four strikeouts in four innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is 31-12 to the in interleague play the past two seasons. The Dodgers are batting .306 against the seven righthanded starters they have faced putting up 6.9 runs per game. Play Los Angeles and Minnesota over 8.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/9/2024
Rays at Angels—Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale made 23 starts last year dealing with an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander struck out 23% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sat at 39% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. In his two 2024 starts he allowed two earned runs with fourteen strikeouts in 12 innings. Patrick Sandoval to start for Los Angeles. Sandoval had 28 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander fanned 19.6% with 11.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 46.6% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts this year allowing seven runs, five earned, with nine strikeouts in 7 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Team record behind Civale 30-12 facing teams with a .410 slugging percentage or lower with a +19.5-unit return. The Rays are 29-12 on the road when lined at -100 to -150 the past two seasons. Team record behind Sandoval is 9-21 the past two seasons with a -13.7-unit loss. Tampa Bay is hitting .304 against lefthanded starters in their three games against them this season. Los Angeles is batting .197 against right-handed starters. Play Tampa Bay -125.