Free MLB Picks For Today 4/8/2024
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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
White Sox at Guardians—Jared Shuster to start for Chicago. Shuster had 11 starts with Atlanta last season with an ERA of 5.81 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander struck out 13% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls sat at 35.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. He had a start in Triple A and allowed seven earned runs in four innings striking out two with four homers. Triston McKenzie to start for Cleveland. McKenzie had only four starts due to injury last season, dealing an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.56. The righthander has a career ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.06 striking out 386 batters in 364 innings. His first start this year was at Seattle allowing four earned runs with two strikeouts in 3 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is hitting .196 in all games and averaging 1.2 runs per game on the road. The Guardians are getting great performance from their bullpen. Cleveland is now 38-14 under in the division with a +23.3 unit return the past two seasons. Play Chicago and Cleveland under 7.5.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Marlins at Yankees—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in 32 starts last year dealt an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander fanned 28.1% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 40.9% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts this season allowing five earned runs with thirteen strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings and two homers. Nestor Cortes to start for New York. Cortes had 12 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 4.97 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefty had a K rate of 25.2% with 7.5% walks. Grounders sat at 26.3% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is 6-15 to the run line against left-handed starters on the road the past two seasons with a -14.4 unit loss. The Marlins are 0-5 to the run line this year against lefthanded starters averaging 2.6 runs per game. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Brewers at Reds—Aaron Ashby to start for Milwaukee. Ashby last pitched in MLB in 2022. In 40 career starts he has an ERA Of 4.47 with WHIP of 1.37 striking out 165 batters in 139 innings of work. The lefthander had one start in the minors this year allowing three earned runs with five strikeouts in five innings. He was sidelined last year with a shoulder injury. Graham Ashcraft to start for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in 26 starts last year dealt an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.37. The righty struck out 17.8% with 8.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 47.8% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Phillies on the road to open the year allowing two earned runs with two homers and five strikeouts in six innings.
The Pick:
The team record behind Ashby 3-14 the past two seasons with a -13.7-unit loss. The Reds are hitting and putting up runs at home. Play Cincinnati -105.
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Tigers at Pirates—Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson appeared in 21 games last year dealing an ERA of 3.99 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander struck out 24.4% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sat at 42.8% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. He opened at the Mets allowing no runs with three strikeouts in 5 2/3rd innings. Mitch Keller will start for Pittsburgh. Keller had 32 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.21 with WHIP of 1.25. The righty fanned 25.5% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.7% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Two starts this year for Keller and has allowed ten runs with eight strikeouts in 11 innings. Eight runs were earned.
The Pick:
Team record behind Keller is 1-9 at home against the American League. The Tigers are 46-41 on the road with a +20.7 unit return the past two seasons. Detroit is getting elite work from their bullpen. Play Detroit +110.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Mariners at Blue Jays—Luis Castillo is the starter for Seattle. Castillo made 33 starts in 2023 collecting an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 1.10. The veteran fanned 27.3% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts this year allowing eight earned runs with twelve strikeouts in 10 2/3rd innings. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios had 32 starts last season with an ERA of 3.65 and WHIP of 1.19. The righthander had a K rate of 23.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls came in at 41.6% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. It has been two starts for Berrios in 2024 and allowed three earned runs with eight strikeouts in 12 innings of work.
The Pick:
Seattle batting .209 against righthanders with a road bullpen ERA of 8.67. The team record behind Castillo 0-6 the past two years in the first half of the season with a -7.6-unit loss. This is the Blue Jays home opener. Play Toronto -113.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Mets at Braves—Julio Teheran to start for New York. Teheran appeared in fourteen games in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.13 with Milwaukee. The veteran fanned 17.4% with 4.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 40% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. He signed with the Mets on Friday. Charlie Morton will start for Atlanta. Morton started 30 games a year ago with an ERA of 3.64 and WHIP of 1.43. The righthander struck out 25.6% with 11.6% walks. Grounders served at 43.3% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. He debuted this year at the White Sox allowing no runs with six strikeouts in 5 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
New York is 3-10 to the run line when in a five-game hitting slump where they are hitting .225 or worse with a -10.7 unit loss. They are 31-55 to the run line the past two first half of the seasons with a -31.1-unit loss. New York batting .163 against righthanders. Play Atlanta on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Dodgers at Twins—James Paxton to start for Los Angeles. Paxton in 19 starts last year delivered an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander struck out 24.6% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.6% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Giants in his opener allowing no runs with five strikeouts and five walks in five innings. Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 26 starts in 2023 posted an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.07. The righty had a K rate of 25.4% with 5% walks. Ground balls sat at 34.3% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. He started at KC to open the year allowing eight earned runs with three homers in 1 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Paxton is 36-20 to the over in road night games with a +14.4-unit return. Control was an issue to start the year. Los Angeles is putting up 6.9 runs per game against right-handed starters and Ober’s form a concern. Minnesota was able to push across four runs and hit .270 when they faced a lefty this year. Play Los Angeles and Minnesota over 8.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Phillies at Cardinals—Spencer Turnbull to start for Philadelphia. Turnbull had seven starts for Detroit last year with an ERA of 7.26 and WHIP of 1.69. The righthander fanned 16.6% with 10.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 48.5% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Reds at home in the opener allowing no earned runs with seven strikeouts in five innings. Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas made 35 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.78 and WHIP of 1.32. The veteran struck out 15.9% with 4.5% walks. Grounders came in at 21.9% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts this season allowing seven earned runs with two homers in 10 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Both teams struggle against righthanders. Phillies bullpen allowed no runs in ten road innings. The Cardinals are getting good work from their pen. Turnbull 18-5 to the under with 5-6 days rest. Play Philadelphia and St Louis under 9.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Astros at Rangers—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 31 starts in 2023 dealt an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander had a K rate of 24.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 54.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts this year allowing three earned runs with ten strikeouts in 12 1/3rd innings. Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney made 34 appearances last season with an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.38. The lefty struck out 23.6% with 9.4% walks. Grounders sat at 40% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Rays on the road to open the year allowing three runs, one earned, and seven strikeouts in 4 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The team record behind Valdez is 5-11 as favorite of -125 to -175 the past two seasons with a -10.7-unit loss the past two seasons. The Astros are batting .155 on the road. Texas is batting .301 at home putting up 6.3 runs per game. The Rangers are getting good bullpen work. Play Texas +129.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Zac Gallen will start for Arizona. Gallen in 34 starts in 2023 delivered an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fanned 26% with 5.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.8% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts on the year allowing one earned run with nine strikeouts in 11 innings. Kyle Freeland to start for Colorado. Freeland had 29 starts last year with an ERA of 5.03 and WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander struck out 13.9% with 6.2% walks. Grounders sat at 40% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. He has two starts allowing 17 earned runs with three homers and four strikeouts in 5 2/3rd road innings.
The Pick:
Freeland’s form the past two seasons alarming. Arizona is 21-6 to the run line facing teams getting outscored by 0.5 runs per game the past two seasons. Team record behind Gallen 11-2 on the run line against losing teams. The Diamondbacks are pounding left-handed starters by hitting .295 and putting up 7 runs per game in their six games against those pitchers. The Rockies bullpen ERA at home is 9.00. Play Arizona on run line -1.5 runs at -123.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Rays at Angels—Zach Eflin to start for Tampa Bay. Eflin had 31 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander struck out 20% with 4% walks. Grounders sat at 40.5% with 2.25 home runs per nine innings. In two starts this season he allowed seven earned runs with ten strikeouts in 12 innings. Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angels. Anderson appeared in 12 games last year with an ERA of 5.43 and WHIP of 1.49. The lefty struck out 18.9% with 10.2% walks. Grounders served at 30.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. In his first start of the year, he allowed no runs with five strikeouts in seven innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is 29-12 on the road when lined at -100 to -150 the past two seasons. The Rays are pounding left-handed starters by hitting .304 in three games. The Angels bullpen at home have an ERA of 10.33. Los Angeles is batting .197 in their seven games against right-handed starters. Play Tampa Bay -140.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Cubs at Padres—Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad appeared in 32 appearances in 2023 put up an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander had a K rate of 20.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls sat at 46.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Rockies in his opener allowing no runs with five strikeouts in six innings. Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish in three starts has an ERA of 2.30 with WHIP of 1.09. The veteran struck out 25% with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.9% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Team record behind Darvish 15-21 at home facing teams averaging 4.5 runs per game or greater with a -17.7-unit loss and 2-10 when favored at home by -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -14.8 unit loss. The Padres are 14-21 at home when lined at -100 to -150 with a -12.1-unit loss the past two seasons. The Cubs have been hitting. San Diego bullpen an ERA of 5.91 at home. Play Chicago +120.
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/8/2024
Nationals at Giants—Trevor Williams will start for Washington. Williams had 30 starts last year, with an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.60. The righthander struck out 16.8% with 8% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.5% with 2.12 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Pirates at home in the season opener allowing two earned runs with five strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings. Blake Snell will start for San Francisco. Snell made 32 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander had an elite strikeout rate of 31.5% with 13.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.4% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Snell has been a slow starter with a team record of 5-17 the past three seasons in the first half with a -15.8-unit loss. The Nationals are 24-24 as a road underdog of +175 to +250 the past two seasons with a +24.1-unit return. Washington did hit and put up runs in their three road games this season. San Francisco is batting .188 the past seven games. Play Washington +202.