Free MLB Picks For Today 4/6/2024
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Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Athletics at Tigers—Paul Blackburn to start for Oakland. Blackburn had 21 appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 4.28 with WHIP of 1.54. The righthander struck out 22.4% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.3% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. He opened the season at home to Cleveland allowing no runs with three strikeouts in seven innings. Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda appeared in 21 games last year for Minnesota carrying an ERA of 4.23 with WHIP of 1.17. The righty struck out 27.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sat at 32.6% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. He faced the White Sox to open the 2023 campaign allowing six earned runs with three homers in 3 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Detroit is hitting only .210. The team record behind Maeda in his April career starts is 10-18 with a -13.6 unit loss. Play Oakland +145.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Guardians at Twins—Carlos Carrasco to start for Cleveland. Carrasco had 20 starts with the Mets last year posting an ERA of 6.80 with WHIP of 1.70. The veteran fanned 15.8% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 45% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. In his opener he allowed three earned runs with six hits and three strikeouts in five innings. Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in 29 starts in 2023 posted an ERA of 4.51 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander had a K rate of 29.3% with 5.1 walks per nine innings. He faced the Royals on the road to start the season allowing one earned run with five strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland is 37-14 to the under against the division the past two seasons. The Twins are hitting .195 against righthanded starters. Both bullpens sit with an ERA just over 1. Play Cleveland and Minnesota under 8.5.
Miami Marlins vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Marlins at Cardinals—Trevor Rogers will start for Miami. Rogers had four starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 1.22. He had multiple injuries last year that limited his starts. He has a career ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.35. He struck out 327 batters in 291 innings of work. In his first appearance he allowed four earned runs with four walks in five innings at home to the Pirates. Steven Matz to start for St Louis. Matz appeared in 25 games last season, dealing an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander fanned 21.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sat at 44.6% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Dodgers on the road to open the season and allowed two earned runs with two walks in 5 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The team record behind Rogers 2-17 when an underdog of +125 to +175 or higher the past two seasons. The team record behind Rogers is 1-2 in day games the past two seasons with a -12-unit loss. Miami bullpen has been hammered. Play St Louis -141.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Orioles at Pirates—Tyler Wells to start for Baltimore. Wells appeared in 25 games last season, dealing an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander fanned 24.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 32.3% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Angels in the opener allowing three earned runs with seven strikeouts in six innings. Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter saw work in 18 games in 2023 with an ERA of 5.36 with WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander had a K rate of 17.3% with 5.8% walks. Grounders sat at 40.2% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. In his opener he allowed six earned runs with three walks and two homers in four innings at Miami.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is 28-13 to the over facing team winning team the past two seasons. The Orioles are 18-6 to the over against lefthanders on the road the past two seasons. Pirates have been hitting. Falter high contact a concern. Play Baltimore and Pittsburgh over 8.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Phillies at Nationals—Rangers Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez started 22 games in 2023 carrying an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander fanned 22% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls were 48.5% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. His first start of the year came at home to Atlanta allowing three earned runs with seven strikeouts in five innings. Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin, in 24 starts in his rookie campaign posted an ERA of 4.61 with WHIP of 1.42. The righty struck out 18.7% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.8% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. He opened at Cincinnati allowing three earned runs with four strikeouts in five innings.
The Pick:
The Phillies are hitting only .202 against righthanders. Their bullpen ERA is 7.98. Washington has been hitting this year. Washington is 14-10 at home as an underdog of +150 to +200 at home. They hit Suarez for seven earned runs in his past two starts against them in eleven innings. Play Washington +157.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Dodgers at Cubs—Yoshinobu Yamamoto to start for Los Angeles. Yamamoto has two starts this season allowing five earned runs with seven strikeouts in six innings of work. He was signed by Los Angeles after a successful stint in Japan. Jordan Wicks to start for Chicago. Wicks has seven starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander struck out 16.3% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sat at 46.8% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. In his opening starts he allowed five runs with three walks in four innings of work. Three of the runs were unearned.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is 38-20 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher the past two seasons. They are 14-4 to the over against the NL Central past two seasons. Both offenses high with bullpens struggles. Play Los Angeles and Chicago over 8.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Mets at Reds—Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino appeared in nineteen games last year posting an ERA of 6.65 with WHIP of 1.65. The veteran struck out 18.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 42.2% with 2.32 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Brewers at home to begin the season giving up six runs with 11 hits in five innings. Three of the runs were earned. Nick Martinez will start for Cincinnati. Martinez made 63 appearances in 2023 with the Padres delivering an ERA of 3.93 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander fanned 23% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 29.4% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York 11-32 as a road underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a -17.7-unit loss. The team record behind Severino 2-12 when lined at +125 to -125 past two seasons. New York is hitting .138 against righthanded starters. Play Cincinnati -115.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Blue Jays at Yankees—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman started 31 games in 2023 with an ERA of 3.16 with WHIP of 1.18. The veteran had a K rate of 31.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 42.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Rays on the road in his opener allowing one run with six strikeouts in 4 1/3rd innings. Clarke Schmidt to start for New York. Schmidt appeared in 33 games last year carrying an ERA of 4.64 with WHIP of 1.35. The righty struck out 21.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.8% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. His first start of the season was at Houston allowing three earned runs with five strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The team record behind Schmidt 1-8 at home lined at -100 to -150 with a -9.1-unit loss. New York is 9-18 facing the division the past two seasons at home with a -12-unit loss. Play New York -102.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Astros at Rangers—J.P. France to start for Houston. France appeared in 24 games in his rookie campaign dealing an ERA of 3.83 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander struck out 17.4% with 8.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.8% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. His first start came at home to the Yankees allowing three earned runs with five strikeouts in 5 2/3rd innings. Jon Gray to start for Texas. Gray made 29 starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.29. The veteran fanned 21.6% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sat at 40% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Cubs at home in his initial start allowing five earned runs with three walks in 3 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Texas is 47-33 when lined at +125 to -175 with a +13.4-unit return. The Rangers are batting .322 at home and putting up 7.5 runs per game. Houston bullpen has an ERA of 6.58. The Rangers pounded France at home last September. Play Texas -105.
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Mariners at Brewers—Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller had 25 starts last season with an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander struck out 27.3% with 9.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 28.6% with 3.60 home runs per nine innings. His first start this year came at home to Boston and allowed four earned runs with two homers in five innings. DL Hall will start in Milwaukee. Hall had eighteen bullpen appearances with Baltimore last year dealing an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander fanned 28.4% with 6.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 49% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Mets on the road in the opener allowing two earned runs with one strikeout in four innings.
The Pick:
Brewers are hitting righthanders. Seattle is batting only .201. Milwaukee is 30-12 at home when lined between -100 to -150 with a +14.7-unit return. Play Milwaukee -117.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
White Sox at Royals—Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in 29 games last season, dealing an ERA of 6.86 with WHIP of 1.67. The righthander struck out 15.9% with 8.2% walks. Grounders sat at 39.1% with 2.20 home runs per nine innings. He faced Atlanta to start the year and allowed four earned runs with three walks in 4 1/3rd innings. Michael Wacha to start for Kansas City. Wacha had 24 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 3.22 with WHIP of 1.16. The veteran struck out 22.4% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls came in at 34.5% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. He faced Baltimore on the road in the opener giving up three earned runs with five strikeouts in five innings.
The Pick:
Flexen is 13-2 to the over the past two seasons. Both bullpens are in poor form. Play Chicago and Kansas City over 8.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Diamondbacks at Braves—Brandon Pfadt appeared in 19 games in his rookie campaign producing an ERA of 5.72 with WHIP of 1.41. The righty struck out 22.3% with 6.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.3% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings. His initial start to the season came at home to Colorado where he allowed one earned run with six strikeouts in five innings. Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried started 14 games in 2023 putting up an ERA of 2.55 with WHIP of 1.13. In his first start he allowed three earned runs with two hits and three walks in 2/3rd innings at Philadelphia.
The Pick:
Arizona is 31-30 as a road underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a +13.4-unit return. The Diamondbacks are pounding left-handed starters hitting .320 and putting up 8 runs per game. Play Arizona +190.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Rays at Rockies—Tyler Alexander to start for Tampa Bay. Alexander appeared in 25 games last season with an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander struck out 24.3% with 2.8% walks. Ground balls sat at 32% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. He opened against Toronto at home allowing five earned runs with two homers in five innings of work. Ryan Feltner will start for Colorado. Feltner started ten games in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.82 with WHIP of 1.68. The righthander fanned 18.9% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls sat at 43.6% with limited home run damage. He faced Arizona on the road to begin the year allowing five runs, three earned, with two walks in five innings.
The Pick:
Colorado is 33-34 as a home underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a +15.3-unit return. Tampa Bay is hitting .211 against righthanded starters. Their bullpen has been hammered this year with an ERA of 8.19. Play Colorado +128.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Padres at Giants—Michael King to start for San Diego. King appeared in 49 games for the Yankees last year, dealing an ERA of 2.75 with WHIP of 1.15. The righty struck out 29.5% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sat at 42.8% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. In two appearances this year he allowed five earned runs with ten walks in 7 1/3rd innings. Keaton Winn will start for San Francisco. Winn in nine appearances last year held an ERA of 4.68 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander had a K rate of 20.3% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 58% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Dodgers on the road to open the year allowing three earned runs with six strikeouts in five innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is 21-39 when lined at +125 to -125 the past two seasons. The Padres bullpen has an ERA of 6.20 this season. Play San Francisco -104.
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/6/2024
Red Sox at Angels—Garrett Whitlock to start for Boston. Whitlock in 22 appearances posted an ERA of 5.15 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander fanned 23.7% with 4.3% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.2% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings. He opened the year at Seattle allowing one run with eight strikeouts in five innings. Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers had 28 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander had a K rate of 26.1% with 9.3% walks. Grounders sat at 36.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. He faced the Orioles to open the year allowing one earned run with seven strikeouts in five innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is 16-28 at home against a winning team the past two seasons with a -15.6-unit loss. Boston is hitting the lefthanded starter they faced this year well by batting .286. The Red Sox bullpen has been outstanding. Los Angeles is batting .189 against righthanded starters. Play Boston +100.