Free MLB Picks For Today 3/29/2023
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Brewers at Mets—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta had 30 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fanned 30.9% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.7% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Jose Quintana to start for New York Quintana in 13 starts last year produced an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander struck out 18.8% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.6% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
New York is 23-8 to the under when lined between -125 and +125. Brewers are 58-38 to the under against lefthanders. Play Milwaukee and New York under 7.5.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Braves at Phillies—Spencer Strider to start for Atlanta. Strider in 32 starts in 2023 carried an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 10.9. The righthander had an elite strikeout mark of 36.8% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sat at 34.1% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Swinging strikes were 19.4% and he adds a curveball in 2024. Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 32 starts last season put up an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.08. The veteran struck out 26.9% with 5% walks. Grounders dealt at 41.2% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Early season Strider is the way to play this talented pitcher as he faded late last season. Philadelphia bullpen always concerning and prefer the Braves hitting lineup. Play Atlanta -125.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Blue Jays at Rays—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt had 33 starts last season delivering an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP of 1.17. The veteran struck out 22.5% with 7.1% walks. Grounders served at 42.3% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale in 23 starts in 2023 had an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander struck out 23% with 6.5% walks. Grounders served at 39% with limited home run damage. Toronto won the opener 8-2.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is 20-7 to the over at home against the division the past two seasons. Civale has had issues facing the Blue Jays the past few seasons. He is 19-7 to the over when the total is lined between 7 to 8.5. Play Toronto and Tampa Bay over 8.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Pirates at Marlins—Martin Perez to start for Pittsburgh. Perez appeared in 35 games last year delivering an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander saw his strikeouts plummet to 15.3% with 8.1% walks. Grounders sat at 45.5% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. A.J. Puk will start for Miami. Puk appeared in 58 games a season ago with an ERA of 3.97 and WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander struck out 32.2% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls came in at 44.2% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. The Pirates won the opener 6-5.
The Pick:
Puk has been impressive in spring. Perez drop in strikeouts in 2023 a concern. Miami is 15-4 at home against lefty starters. The Pirates -14.7 units when lined between -125 to +125. Play Miami -125.
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Yankees at Astros—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon had 14 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 6.85 with WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander saw his strikeout rate drop down to 22.4% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls came in at lower at 27.1% with 2.10 home runs per nine innings. Cristian Javier is the starter for Houston. Javier in 31 starts this year had an ERA of 4.56 and WHIP of 1.27. The righty saw strikeouts drop down to 23.1% with 9% walks. Ground balls sat at 25.6% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. The Yankees won the opener 5-4.
The Pick:
Team is 22-10 to the over with Javier the past two seasons. The Astros are 46-31 to the over when favored by -110 or higher at home. Rodon’s form the concern. The Yankees have improved their hitting lineup. Play New York and Houston over 9.
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Rockies at Diamondbacks—Cal Quantrill to start for Colorado. Quantrill had 19 starts in 2023 carrying an ERA of 5.24 with WHIP of 1.46. The former Guardians righthander struck out only 13.1% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sat at 40.8% with limited home run damage. Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly started 30 games last year delivering an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.19. The righty fanned 25.9% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.2% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Arizona won the opener 16-1.
The Pick:
Kelly in his past three starts against Colorado allowed one earned run in each game tossing six innings or greater. The Diamondbacks have won eight of ten against the Rockies winning the run line in seven of those games. Play Arizona on the run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Guardians at Athletics—Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen had 24 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.40. The second year lefthander struck out 22.2% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls served at 42.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Ross Stripling to start for Oakland. Stripling appeared in 22 games last year with San Francisco putting up an ERA of 5.36 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fanned 18.4% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls served at 44% with 2.02 home runs per nine innings. Cleveland won the opener 8-0.
The Pick:
Oakland is 18-48 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 with -21.8-unit loss. The Guardians have won seven of eight against the Athletics. Play Cleveland -139.
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Red Sox at Mariners—Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta had 38 appearances a season ago collecting an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.12. The veteran struck out 31.2% with 8.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.4% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby in 31 starts in 2023 put up an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.04. The third year righthander fanned 22.7% with 2.5% walks. Ground balls sat at 44.2% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Boston won the opener 6-4.
The Pick:
The Red Sox have won four of six against the Mariners. They have put up runs on this Mariners staff. Play Boston +143.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Giants at Padres—Kyle Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison in his first year in 2023 started seven games with an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander struck out 23.8% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 26.8% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.53 suggests an even higher ERA based on form. Jose Musgrove to start for San Diego. Musgrove started 17 games last season delivering an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.14. The veteran had a strikeout rate of 24.3% with 5.3% walks. Grounders served at 45% with limited home run damage. He opened against the Dodgers in Korea and allowed five earned runs and two walks in 2 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
Musgrove, coming off a shoulder injury was roughed up by the Dodgers in Korea. San Diego -13 units at home the past two seasons. Play San Francisco +137.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 3/29/2024
Cardinals at Dodgers—Zack Thompson to start for St Louis. Thompson appeared in nine games last year posting an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander struck out 25.1% with 8.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 44% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Bobby Miller is the starter for Los Angeles. Miller had 22 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 3.76 and WHIP of 1.10. The second year righthander had a K rate of 23.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.7% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles 29-16 to the over against left-handed starters. Thompson walk rate a concern against this lineup. Now we’re into the questionable part of the Dodgers pitching rotation. Play St Louis and Los Angeles over 8.5.