Free MLB Picks For Today 4/27/2024
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Dodgers at Blue Jays—Tyler Glasnow to start for Los Angeles. Glasnow in six starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 2.92 with WHIP of 0.95. The righthander strikes out 30.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 44.4% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi has five starts with an ERA of 2.28 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander fans 29.7% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 48.6% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Blue Jays bullpen in their nine home games has an ERA of 6.97. Toronto has hit .276 at home putting up 4.1 runs per game. Los Angeles in their first ten games on the road are hitting .275. The Dodgers are 32-14 to the over in interleague the past two seasons. They are also 21-9 on the road to the over in Day Games. Los Angeles is 25-12 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or worse the past two seasons. Play Los Angeles and Toronto over 8.
St Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Cardinals at Mets—Sonny Gray to start for St Louis. Gray has three starts in 2024 contributing with an ERA of 1.04 and WHIP of 0.87. The veteran fans 35.9% with 1.6% walks. Grounders dished at 46.2% with no homers allowed. Adrian Houser to start for New York. Houser in four starts has an ERA of 7.45 with WHIP of 1.76. The righthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 13.3% with 15.6% walks. Grounders served at 46.8% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
St Louis past seven games prior to the opening of this series were hitting only .199 and putting up 2.9 runs per game. New York showed improvement at home to close the prior home stand winning their final four games. Houser has pitched better at home with an ERA of 2.61 in two starts. Entering this series the Cardinals had lost 12 of 19 against right handed starters putting up just 3.3 runs per game. Team record behind Houser 9-2 in Day Games the past two seasons with a +8.2 unit return. Play New York +109.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Reds at Rangers—Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in five starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.55 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander is striking out 29.8% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls served at 37.7% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings. Michael Lorenzen is the starter for Texas. Lorenzen in his two starts allowed three earned runs with 11 strikeouts in 11 innings of work. He was signed by the team in March and bothered by a neck injury as he hit the IL. He appeared in 29 games last year striking out 17.8% with 7.5% walks. Grounders sat at 41% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds on the road are hitting .203. The Reds bullpen in their first nine games on the road have an ERA of 4.70. The Rangers batted .268 against right-handed starters putting up 5.1 runs per game in their 19 against them. The team record behind Greene is 15-36 the past two seasons with a -21.6-unit return. Play Texas -125.
Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Cubs at Red Sox—Ben Brown to start for Chicago. Brown has six appearances in the year with an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.03. The rookie righthander is striking out 24% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 37.3% with limited home run damage. Josh Winckowski to start for Boston. Winckowski has eight appearances with an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP of 1.80. The righty fans 24.3% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.9% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Red Sox in their first ten games at home are hitting .198 with a home bullpen ERA of 6.21 and losing seven of those games. Chicago is putting up nearly five runs per game on right-handed starters. Play Chicago -112.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Nationals at Marlins—Mitchell Parker to start for Washington. Parker in his two starts allowed two earned runs with 12 strikeouts in 12 innings of work. A fifth round pick in 2020 pitched well in the minors expect for a short stint in Triple A last year for three games. He was forced into action with the injury to Gray. Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera in two starts this year allowed four earned runs with 17 strikeouts in 11 innings. He started the year on the injured list with a shoulder. He appeared in 22 games last year with an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.44 striking out 118 batters in 99 2/3rd innings giving up 11 homers.
The Pick:
The Marlins in their 12 games against left handed starters are batting .192, putting up 2.2 runs per game and lost 11 of those games. Their bullpen in their 13 home games have an ERA of 6.47. Washington has hit and scored better on the road. Miami is 0-6 when favored by -110 or higher this season. Play Washington +120.
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Royals at Tigers—Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer has five starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 2.76 with WHIP of 0.95. The righthander has a K rate of 24.1% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 54.7% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.22 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Casey Mize to start for Detroit. Mize in four starts has an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 1.22. The righty is striking out 17.8% with 6.7% walks. Grounders sit at 49.3% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Detroit bullpen in their first 11 at home have an ERA of .209 where they have hit only .214. In their first nine road games the Royals are hitting .203. The team is 16-5 to the under with Mize facing a divisional opponent. KC is 17-8 to the under this season. The Royals are 10-1 to the under facing a team hitting .255 or worse. Play Kansas City and Detroit under 8.
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Yankees at Brewers—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon in five starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander fans 19.1% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls served at 35.9% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings. Joe Ross will start for Milwaukee. Ross has four starts producing an ERA of 4.05 with WHIP of 1.55. The righthander is striking out 19.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 50% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Milwaukee is batting .194 against the three lefthanded starters they have faced this season and putting up 2.3 runs per game against them. In their first sixteen games against right-handed starters the Yankees had won thirteen of those games and put up nearly five runs a game. Their bullpen has been outstanding in their first thirteen road games with an ERA of 2.09. Ross’ control a concern. Play New York -125.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Guardians at Braves—Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee in five starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.60. The second year righthander has a K rate of 23.4% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.1% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings. Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has four starts with an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP of 1.26. The veteran fans 23.2% with 10.5% walks. Grounders sit at 45.2% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Morton past three games in shaky form. Bibee has pitched better on the road this season in three starts. The Guardians in their first 13 road games have a bullpen ERA of 2.12. They have averaged 5.7 runs per game on the road as this series opened. The Guardians are 52-54 as a road underdog the past three seasons with a +16-unit return. The team record behind Bibee is 12-5 facing winning teams the past two seasons with a +9.1 unit return. Play Cleveland +162.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Phillies at Padres—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in five starts carries an ERA of 1.36 with WHIP of 0.70. The lefthander fans 27.1% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls served at 59.5% with limited home run damage. Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease has five starts with an ERA of 1.82 with WHIP of 0.74. The righthander has a K rate of 31.3% with 9.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 33.8% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .266 against the six left handed starters they have faced winning five of those games. In the Phillies first ten on the road, they have produced only an average of 3.7 runs per game. Play San Diego -113.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Pirates at Giants—Martin Perez to start for Pittsburgh. Perez in five starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.43. The left hander fans 18.3% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 46.1% with minimal home run damage. Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks has five starts with an ERA of 1.61 with WHIP of 0.93. The righthander is striking out 16.7% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls served at 56.5% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
In their past seven games the Pirates are batting .216 and putting up 2.4 runs per game. San Francisco has hit .239 in their first 13 home games. San Francisco is 39-18 to the under when favored at home by -110 or higher the past two seasons. Play Pittsburgh and San Francisco under 7.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Twins at Angels—Chris Paddack to start for Minnesota. Paddack has four starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 5.57 with WHIP of 1.67. The righthander strikes out 19.6% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls served at 40.3% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Jose Soriano will start for Los Angeles. Soriano has five starts, producing an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.19. The righty fans 25% with 12.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 58.5% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Angels in their first nine at home have a bullpen ERA of 5.85 with the Twins producing better numbers on the road. The Twins hitting has picked up by hitting .272 the past seven games prior to the start of this series. Los Angeles is 32-59 facing good bullpens with an ERA of 3.45 or lower the past three seasons. The Angels in their 22 games against right-handed starters have lost 14 of those games by hitting .238. Play Minnesota +120.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 4/27/2024
Diamondbacks at Mariners—Slade Cecconi to start for Arizona. Cecconi in his season debut allowed two earned runs with three strikeouts in six innings at San Francisco. The righty appeared in seven games last season allowing 13 earned runs with four homers and 20 strikeouts in 27 innings. He started four games in Triple A this season allowing ten earned runs with 23 strikeouts in 19 2/3rd innings of work. George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has five starts with an ERA of 5.33 and WHIP of 1.30. The third year righthander fans 23.6% with 2.7% walks. Grounders served at 33.8% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle in their first thirteen home games is batting .210 and pushing across 3.2 runs per game. As this series started the Diamondbacks were hitting .280 in their past seven games and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Left handers are hitting .291 on Kirby with righthanders at .286. Play Arizona +136.