Vitor Petrino vs. Tyson Pedro 3/2/24 – As the UFC Fight Night 238 approaches, the excitement builds around the light heavyweight bout between Vitor Petrino and Tyson Pedro. With Petrino’s undefeated 10-0-0 record pitted against Pedro’s more experienced 10-4-0 standing, this match promises to deliver intense action and strategic gameplay. Set to take place on Saturday, March 2, 2024, at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, fans are eagerly analyzing the fighters’ stats and records for premium picks and parlays. The event, which will be broadcasted live on ESPN+, is a key highlight for MMA enthusiasts looking for thrilling confrontations and strategic battles inside the octagon.
Vitor Petrino vs. Tyson Pedro 3/2/24 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 4:00 PM ET |
| Where: | UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Vitor Petrino Analysis
The 10-0 Vitor Petrino has dominated the competition so far in his UFC campaign, with his grappling and offensive wrestling leading the way. He lands an astounding 4.15 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 70% accuracy clip. Once on the mat, Petrino actively searches for submissions, averaging 1 submission attempt every 15 minutes. He also lands 3.07 significant strikes per minute on the feet with a decent 48% accuracy mark. Defensively, he avoids 2.65 significant strikes per minute while maintaining a 43% defensive rate.
If Petrino can implement his wrestling-heavy game plan against Pedro, he should be able to control the action and cruise to a decision win. Pedro’s past struggles with strong wrestlers suggest he could be vulnerable to Petrino’s skills in that department. Expect Petrino to close the distance quickly, change levels for reactive takedowns, and work methodically in top control while avoiding Pedro’s power punches. The high takedown volume and submission threat will also have Pedro hesitant on the feet. As long as Petrino sticks to what has brought him success so far, his hand should be raised at the final bell.
Tyson Pedro Analysis
Australian contender Tyson Pedro will be itching to get back in the win column here after a disappointing loss last time out. He possesses formidable striking power, landing 3.11 significant strikes per minute at a 61% clip. That precision striking is a major weapon that can end fights suddenly if he can connect cleanly on Petrino’s chin. Pedro absorbs his fair share of punishment at 2.53 significant strikes per round, but matches that with solid 54% striking defense.
Against a wrestler like Petrino, Pedro’s 52% takedown defense rate will be put to the test. If he can keep it standing and land damaging punches, he can certainly score the upset. But if wrestled to the mat consistently, it will likely be another long night for Pedro. His path to victory includes stuffing Petrino’s shots early, establishing confidence in his takedown defense, and opening up his striking arsenal. Pedro must also stay defensively responsible when throwing, as overextending on punches could allow Petrino easy entries for takedowns. He has the power to end this with one shot, but will need to fight a technically sound fight.
Vitor Petrino vs. Tyson Pedro Stats
| Petrino | Pedro | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 10-0-0 | 10-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:50 | 6:24 |
| Height | 6′ 2″ | 6′ 3″ |
| Weight | 205 lbs. | 205 lbs. |
| Reach | 77″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 3.07 | 3.11 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 61% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 2.65 | 2.53 |
| Defense | 43% | 54% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 4.15 | 0.94 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 70% | 36% |
| Takedown Defense | 68% | 52% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Vitor Petrino vs. Tyson Pedro Betting Picks
Given Petrino’s grappling control and Pedro’s punching power, this fight likely ends up being a back-and-forth chess match that goes to an exciting decision. Petrino is the rightful betting favorite based on his unblemished record and well-rounded skill set. However, the betting value lies with Pedro as a +235 underdog to score the mild upset.
Ultimately, Petrino’s offensive wrestling should be the difference here. Look for him to put Pedro on his back often, earn key points with the judges, and do enough to come away with a close win. Pedro will land his fair share of strikes, but Petrino’s relentless pressure and mat returns will win out in the end.
Free Pick: Vitor Petrino -288
In the end, Petrino’s grappling control and relentless cardio are the determining factors in this light heavyweight showdown. For the best UFC tips and picks for free, side with Petrino to remain undefeated and utilize his offensive wrestling to eke past the dangerous Pedro on the judges’ scorecards. This has the makings of an “Fight of the Night” candidate that goes the full 15 minutes, with Petrino earning a hard-fought decision victory.