Alex Perez vs. Muhammad Mokaev 3/2/24 – The upcoming UFC Fight Night 238 is set to captivate mixed martial arts fans worldwide, featuring a highly anticipated flyweight bout between Alex Perez and Muhammad Mokaev. With Perez’s seasoned expertise and Mokaev’s undefeated streak, this match promises to deliver unparalleled excitement and is a must-watch for anyone seeking premium top picks in the sport. As the event prepares to unfold on Saturday, March 2, 2024, at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, betting enthusiasts and fans alike are keenly analyzing the fighters’ records, skills, and the latest betting odds to make informed predictions.
Alex Perez vs. Muhammad Mokaev 3/2/24 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 4:00 PM ET |
| Where: | UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Alex Perez Analysis
A well-rounded flyweight with a 24-7 professional record, Alex Perez poses threats in multiple areas, including technical striking and a submission-based ground game. On the feet, he lands an accurate 4.67 significant strikes per minute at a strong 48% efficiency. Perez works behind a long jab and executes crisp punching combinations. He also mixes in thudding kicks and knees to all levels. Though hittable at times in exchanges, Perez minimizes damage by defending 60% of the 3.14 strikes he absorbs per minute.
In addition to serviceable striking, Perez’s NCAA Division I wrestling background aids his submission grappling. He shoots for 2.84 takedowns per round, completing them at a 44% rate. Once on the mat, Perez actively hunts for submissions, attempting 1.3 per 15 minutes. Chokes and armbars are his preferred methods. However, Perez has struggled recently when planted on his back. His last two losses came via rear-naked choke as superior grapplers controlled him positionally. If Perez cannot stop Mokaev’s takedowns and improve his bottom game, he could be in for another long night.
Muhammad “The Punisher” Mokaev Analysis
The 23-year-old phenom Muhammad Mokaev will enter Saturday’s bout undefeated at 12-0, wielding a diverse and dominant skill set centered around oppressive wrestling. On the feet, Mokaev lands just 1.12 significant strikes per minute. However, he does so with educated shot selection and 51% accuracy, all while remaining defensively responsible. Mokaev blocks 52% of the sparse 1.19 strikes he absorbs per minute, using head movement and footwork to avoid damage.
While developing as a striker, Mokaev’s most dangerous weapon is his incredible wrestling and control game. He lands a staggering 6.47 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 53% success clip, bullying opponents to the mat with smooth chains and brute strength. Mokaev’s sambo base also provides threatening submission skills, as he attempts 1.3 finishes per round. Once on top, no opponent has managed to escape Mokaev’s crushing control. He smothers foes with pressure and deals effective ground-and-pound when given openings.
Alex Perez vs. Muhammad Mokaev Stats
| Perez | Mokaev | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 24-7-0 | 11-0-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 5:48 | 11:36 |
| Height | 5′ 6″ | 5′ 7” |
| Weight | 125 lbs. | 125 lbs. |
| Reach | 65″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 4.67 | 1.12 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 51% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.14 | 1.19 |
| Defense | 60% | 52% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 2.84 | 6.47 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 44% | 53% |
| Takedown Defense | 77% | 0% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Alex Perez vs. Muhammad Mokaev Betting Picks
This matchup presents an intriguing clash of styles and some betting value in the +215 underdog odds currently offered on Perez. If he can stuff Mokaev’s takedowns and force exchanges on the feet, Perez has the technical striking advantage to rack up points and potentially finish the contest. He showed one-punch knockout power versus Joseph Benavidez.
However, Mokaev’s relentless pressure and dominant top game is incredibly hard to deal with, especially with Perez’s deficiencies off his back. At -260 odds, Mokaev makes for a compelling favorite pick in this spot as his path to victory seems more likely. Riding the hype into a statement win over the established Perez would be monumental for his career trajectory.
Free Pick: Muhammad Mokaev -260
In the end, the grappling acumen and limitless gas tank of Mokaev looks to be the deciding factor as he continues his ascent up the flyweight ranks. Perez will need to have tightened up his defense substantially to avoid getting put on his back and controlled. Back the rising Mokaev for the minor upset, and be sure to continue checking in for the latest free UFC predictions leading up to the card.