Atlanta Falcons (7-9) vs. New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints 1/7/24 – As the NFL regular season draws to a close, the Week 18 matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints is grabbing the attention of fans and bettors alike. With the Falcons holding a 7-9 record and the Saints at 8-8, this game at the Caesars Superdome promises to be a closely contested affair. Scheduled for Sunday, this game is a must-watch for followers of the league and those seeking NFL daily winning picks.
The Falcons’ offense has been inconsistent this season. Desmond Ridder has shown flashes of brilliance with his passing game, yet inconsistency and interceptions remain issues. Their real strength lies in their ground game with Bijan Robinson showing outstanding rushing skills while breaking through defenses to consistently gain yards. Drake London has proven himself worthy as an excellent target for Ridder on long plays.
On the other hand, the Saints’ offense has been more balanced. Derek Carr’s experience and precision have been key, evidenced by his impressive passer rating; Jamaal Williams hasn’t produced as effectively on offense as was hoped, making the Falcons defense’s job of stopping it more challenging. Chris Olave has stood out in receiving corps with impressive yards per reception averages and first down production capabilities.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints 1/7/24 Game Info
| When: | Sunday, January 7, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Caesars Superdome |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Desmond Ridder QB vs. Derek Carr QB
Desmond Ridder has flashed promise but struggles with accuracy (63.4% completions) and ball security (11 INT). His mobility and running ability (197 sack yards) allow him to create plays under duress. Ridder passed for over 300 yards twice in December and seems to be gaining confidence. He matches up well against a Saints defense ranked just 28th in takeaways (15).
Carr is completing almost 68% of his throws with 21 TD and just 8 INT, posting an impressive 94.7 passer rating. While he lacks elite arm strength, Carr excels at reading defenses and making quick decisions. The Saints offensive line has protected him well (29 sacks allowed). Carr’s precision could exploit a young Falcons secondary allowing 236 pass YPG.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: New Orleans Saints -173, Total Odds: 42.5
The Saints enter as favorites with a -173 moneyline and a -3 point spread, reflecting their slightly better record and home-field advantage. The total over/under at 42.5 points suggests a moderately scoring game, a testament to both teams’ defensive capabilities.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons are just 3-6 SU in their last 9 games and 2-12 SU on the road during that span. However, they have played the Saints tough lately, covering 4 of the last 5 matchups while averaging 24 ppg. Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its past 5 games as an underdog. The Under has hit in 4 of the Falcons’ last 6 contests.
New Orleans Saints Betting Trends
It’s been an Under-heavy season for the Saints, going below the total in 15 of their last 20 games. The Under is 7-0 when they host Atlanta over the past 3 seasons. New Orleans has protected its home field well, with the Under hitting in 7 of its last 9 games at the Superdome. They are 5-2 ATS over their last 7 January games.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints 1/7/24 Betting Picks
In analyzing both teams’ strengths and weaknesses, this game is shaping up to be a defensive battle, catching the eye of top exclusive handicappers. The Saints, with the advantage of playing at home and a more balanced offensive attack, could tip the scales in their favor. The Falcons, on the other hand, will need to capitalize on their rushing game and hope for Ridder to have a turnover-free game to stand a chance.
In terms of betting, the safer pick seems to be the Saints, especially considering their ATS performance in January games. However, the Falcons’ recent ATS record against the Saints cannot be overlooked. For prop bets, focusing on individual player performances, like rushing yards for Robinson or receiving yards for Olave, might offer value. The under on the total points also seems like a prudent bet, given both teams’ trends.
This prediction aligns with the Saints’ home advantage and their slightly more consistent performance throughout the season. However, expect a close game, potentially decided in the final quarter.
Free Pick and Prediction: New Orleans Saints 22, Atlanta Falcons 18