Tennessee Titans (4-8) vs. Miami Dolphins (9-3)
Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins 12/11/23 – The 4-8 Tennessee Titans will face a steep uphill battle when they take on the 9-3 division-leading Miami Dolphins for the Week 14 Monday Night Football matchup. This encounter, scheduled for Monday is a significant game for bettors and fans, with many seeking the best NFL game picks. With the Titans clinging to slim playoff hopes, they desperately need a win to stay alive. However, history has not been kind to Tennessee in this series. Let’s analyze the odds and trends before making our premium predictions.
The Tennessee Titans have scuffled in recent weeks, plagued by inefficiency on offense coupled with vanishing opportunities for star running back Derrick Henry. Tennessee has gained the third fewest yards in the NFL while also allowing the second most. This has been a recipe for defeat as the Titans carry a 1-4 straight up record over their last five games.
Conversely, the MiamiDolphins offense has ignited with new acquisition Tyreek Hill erupting as an early frontrunner for Offensive Player of the Year. Miami has won four of its last five matchups including statement victories over contenders like Buffalo, Baltimore, and Cleveland. But this juggernaut still remains largely untested against stout rushing defenses.
Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins 12/11/23 Game Info
| When: | Monday, December 11, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET |
| Where: | Hard Rock Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Will Levis QB vs. Tua Tagovailoa QB
Titans quarterback Will Levis has posted middling numbers since assuming the starting role six games ago following the season-ending injury to veteran Ryan Tannehill. Levis has completed under 60 percent of his passes while tossing just seven touchdowns against two interceptions. He has also taken 19 sacks and struggles when pressured. Levis must improve his decision making for the Titans to have any chance on Monday night.
In stark contrast, Tagovailoa has emerged as an MVP front runner in his third pro season at the helm guiding Miami to second most passing yards league-wide. He has compiled 24 touchdown passes versus 10 interceptions while completing over 70 percent of his throws with a sterling 106 quarterback rating. Tagovailoa should continue his brilliance against this vulnerable Tennessee secondary.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Miami Dolphins -650, Total Odds: 43.5
The Dolphins are heavily favored with an -11.5 point spread, reflecting their strong performance this season. The total set at 43.5 points, with the under at -116, suggests a game where defense could play a significant role.
Tennessee Titans Betting Trends
Tennessee has floundered from a betting perspective this season as they carry ugly 1-4 ATS and straight up marks over their last five contests. The under has hit at a profitable 12-4 clip in Titans’ games largely thanks to an inept offense averaging just 16 points during this five game span. Furthermore, the under is a staggering 11-2 when Tennessee plays on the road against AFC foes. The trends overwhelmingly side with the under given the Titans scoring troubles. The point spread also presents value backing Miami laying less than two touchdowns at home where they have protected ATS in six straight.
Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
Conversely, the Dolphins have rewarded bettors with ringing 11-4 ATS and 4-1 straight up records over their previous 15 matchups. The offense led by Tagovailoa and Hill has become nearly unstoppable at home averaging 37 points across six straight wins at Hard Rock Stadium. History also sides with Miami as they have covered against Tennessee in nine of the past 12 meetings dating back to 2003. However, 13 of the last 20 showdowns between these AFC rivals have stayed under the total setting up a tricky wagering situation for Monday night. Still, the trends point toward Miami in blowout fashion.
Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins 12/11/23 Betting Picks
Considering the current form and trends, the Dolphins seem to have a significant advantage, particularly at home. The Titans’ struggles, especially on the road, point towards a challenging game for them. For those seeking premium predictions, this matchup leans heavily in favor of Miami.
The point spread is large, but the Dolphins’ offensive firepower and solid defense make them likely to cover. The total is tricky, but given the Titans’ offensive struggles and the Dolphins’ defensive capabilities, the under might be the more prudent bet. Prop bets focusing on individual performances, particularly Tagovailoa and Hill, could offer additional interest.
Free Pick and Prediction: Miami Dolphins 31, Tennessee Titans 17