Buffalo Bills (6-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (8-4)
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs 12/10/23 – The 6-6 Buffalo Bills take on the 8-4 Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday December 10th at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in a pivotal AFC showdown. This NFL game day selections features two teams trending in opposite directions. The crucial matchup, set for Sunday will be a significant fixture for those looking for NFL game day selections. It will promises a high level of competition with potential playoff implications.
Despite their recent struggles, the Bills still possess an explosive offense led by QB Josh Allen. Allen struggled during Buffalo’s recent 3-game skid, throwing 4 interceptions, but he has the arm talent to shred any defense when he’s on. The Bills best offensive weapon is WR Stefon Diggs, who already has 969 receiving yards and 8 TDs. His rapport with Allen allows the Bills to strike quickly. RB James Cook adds balance as a dual-threat, tallying 731 rushing yards and serving as a key check-down option. If this trio gets rolling, they can hang with anyone.
The Chiefs offense flows through QB Patrick Mahomes, an MVP frontrunner. He spreads the ball around to a deep receiving corps led by rookie standout Rashee Rice. The 4th round pick has 591 yards and 5 scores, emerging as Mahomes’ go-to guy. On the ground, 7th round rookie RB Isiah Pacheco has brought stability, running for 779 yards behind an improving offensive line. Kansas City averages 28 points per game and their balanced attack can beat teams multiple ways. Home field at Arrowhead Stadium brings out their best.
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs 12/10/23 Game Info
| When: | Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET |
| Where: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Josh Allen QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB
Josh Allen entered 2022 with momentum after an MVP-caliber 2021 season, but he has failed to match those lofty standards. His 68.1% completion rate is his lowest since 2019 and his 7.4 yards per attempt also represent a career worst. After throwing for over 4,400 yards and 36 TDs last year, he is on pace for under 4,000 yards and 26 TDs. The dip in production seems to have affected his confidence lately. During the Bills’ recent 1-3 slide, he threw 4 interceptions after only tossing 7 all last year. When Allen struggles, the Bills struggle too, going 0-6 when he has a passer rating under 90.
Patrick Mahomes on the other hand continues operating at an all-world level in his prime at age 27. He trails only Joe Burrow in passing TDs and has the third most passing yards despite tossing just 10 interceptions all year. His 105.2 home passer rating is over 10 points higher than his overall mark, illustrating how unstoppable he is at Arrowhead. Coordinator Eric Bieniemy maximizes Mahomes’ talents by accentuating his deadly accuracy outside the pocket and across his body. Rolling him out on bootlegs reveals throwing lanes unfamiliar to most QBs. This unique arm versatility puts immense pressure on defensive backs.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -155, Total Odds: 47
The Chiefs are favored with a -2.5 point spread and a -155 moneyline, reflecting their strong season performance. The total set at 47 points, with the under at -111, indicates expectations of a relatively high-scoring game.
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends
Buffalo is 1-7 against the spread (ATS) in its last 8 games. In their recent slide, they have failed to live up to betting expectations. The Bills tend to play down to inferior opponents but get up for big games like this. They are still 3-3 straight up in their past 6 games showing they can compete with playoff caliber teams. Road games have given Buffalo problems, going 1-4 ATS away from home. The under has hit in 4 of their last 5 outings as well.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
The Chiefs are 7-1 straight up in their last 8 contests, establishing themselves as Super Bowl contenders yet again. Patrick Mahomes dominance at home continues with a 16-4 overall record the last 20 times Kansas City has hosted a game. This reliable track record improves to 13-0 straight up when facing the Bills on their home turf. The under is 6-2 over their last 8 and 13-20 against Buffalo since Mahomes took over at QB.
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs 12/10/23 Betting Picks
Considering the trends and team performances, the Chiefs seem to have an edge, particularly playing at home. Their balanced offense and consistent play make them a strong contender in this matchup. For the best multi-handicapper picks, this game leans towards Kansas City, although Buffalo’s potential for an upset should not be entirely dismissed.
The point spread seems to favor the Chiefs, but the Bills could potentially cover, given their offensive capabilities. The total is a close call, but with both teams’ potent offenses, the over might offer value. Prop bets on key players, particularly quarterbacks and primary receivers, could be intriguing.
Free Pick and Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 28, Buffalo Bills 24