Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) vs. Texas Longhorns (11-1)
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns 12/2/23 – The Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) take on the Texas Longhorns (11-1) in a huge Big 12 matchup to close out the regular season. With conference title and playoff implications on the line, expect both squads to leave everything on the field. In this article, we’ll break down the game from all angles to deliver our best bets. After NCAAF free reviews today of the teams, key players, and trends, we’ll reveal our Oklahoma State vs. Texas prediction.
Oklahoma State has one of the most dynamic offenses in the country, led by QB Alan Bowman and RB Ollie Gordon II. Bowman struggled at times this year but showed his playmaking ability with over 2800 passing yards. Meanwhile, Gordon has been unstoppable, racking up 1580 yards and 20 touchdowns on the ground. They’ll need big performances to keep up with Texas’ elite defensive front.
The Longhorns feature a balanced attack centered around dual-threat QB Quinn Ewers and explosive RB Jonathon Brooks. Ewers missed time early with injury but has been lights-out since returning, compiling a 17/5 TD/INT ratio. Brooks complements him perfectly, delivering big plays as both a runner and receiver. Xavier Worthy headlines the receiving corps as Ewers’ top downfield target. This unit averages over 35 points per game.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns Game Info
| When: | Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET |
| Where: | AT&T Stadium |
| TV: | ABC |
| Stream: | SofaScore |
Alan Bowman QB vs. Quinn Ewers QB
Bowman has flashed potential this season but been plagued by inconsistent accuracy and decision making. While he has impressive arm strength and mobility, he tends to force throws leading to 11 interceptions. He’s coming off one of his best games however, passing for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns last week. If Bowman protects the ball and plays to his ceiling, Oklahoma State has a chance.
Ewers missed significant time but has been phenomenal since returning from a collarbone injury. In just 7 full games, he’s already passed for over 2700 yards thanks to his precision, deep ball, and improvisation skills. Ewers excels going through progressions quickly to pick apart defenses. His lone weakness is taking too many sacks at times. Overall though, Ewers is an elite quarterback that gives Texas a significant edge.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Texas Longhorns -710, Total Odds: 55
The Longhorns are heavy 15-point home favorites, indicating the bookmakers view them as by far the superior side. The total is set at 55 points. However, Oklahoma State has value on the spread considering 4 of their last 5 meetings were decided by 10 points or less. Backing the Cowboys with the points looks promising if Bowman protects the ball. Still, Texas deserves favorite status with how well Ewers and the offense are clicking.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Trends
Oklahoma State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State’s last 7 games. Oklahoma State is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games. Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Texas.The trends clearly favor the Cowboys against the spread and hitting the over on 55 points. Oklahoma State’s defense has struggled lately while their offense is built to light up the scoreboard. Consider backing the Over along with Oklahoma State to cover.
Texas Longhorns Betting Trends
Texas is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games. Texas is 8-1 SU in their last 9 conference games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas’ last 10 games. Texas is 10-4 SU in their last 14 Week 14 games. Texas has dominated opponents with suffocating defense and a high-powered offense. Still, the trends point to more value backing the under 55 points. While both offenses are talented, Texas ranks 15th nationally in scoring defense allowing just 17.2 points per game. Expect a lower scoring defensive battle.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns 12/2/23 Betting Picks
The Longhorns deserve to be comfortable favorites at home behind a superior quarterback and defense. However, the discrepancy in the point spread undervalues an talented Oklahoma State group that has had success in this matchup lately, covering in 4 of their last 5 meetings.
While a Texas blowout victory wouldn’t surprise, backing Oklahoma State +15 creates solid value for a close, competitive battle. Considering the total trends Under, this game shapes up best as a lower-scoring defensive affair with Texas winning by around 10. Our premium matchup reviews predict a 31-24 Longhorns victory.
Free Pick and Prediction: Texas Longhorns 31, Oklahoma State Cowboys 27