Miami (OH) RedHawks (10-2) vs. Toledo Rockets (11-1)
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets 12/2/23 – The Miami (OH) RedHawks take on the Toledo Rockets in a crucial MAC matchup today This game will decide the MAC West division title and a spot in the conference championship. With both teams having strong seasons, fans and bettors alike are eager for free NCAAF game picks to gauge which team might have the edge in this thrilling encounter.
The Miami (OH) RedHawks have had a strong season, led by quarterback Brett Gabbert’s 1634 passing yards and 14 touchdowns. Running back Rashad Amos has added 821 rushing yards and 10 scores. However, they face a tough test against a Toledo team averaging over 37 points per game.
The Toledo Rockets are led by dynamic quarterback Dequan Finn’s 2384 passing yards, 21 touchdowns, and dangerous rushing ability. Running back Peny Boone has been nearly unstoppable, racking up 1359 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns. The Rockets’ offense looks primed to light up the scoreboard on Friday.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets Game Info
| When: | Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Ford Field |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | SofaScore |
Brett Gabbert QB vs. Dequan Finn QB
Brett Gabbert, quarterback for Miami (OH), has been an impressive performer this season. Completing 111 out of 187 attempts with 1634 passing yards and 14 touchdowns, Gabbert has shown precision and reliability en route to earning an efficiency rating of 152.1; however his susceptibility to being sacked 15 times may pose issues in facing an effective defense.
Dequan Finn is one of the most explosive dual-threat quarterbacks in college football, passing for 2384 yards and 21 touchdowns while adding 651 rushing yards and 6 rushing scores. He has elite athleticism allowing him to extend plays and hit receivers downfield or tuck and run for chunk gains. Finn has shredded opposing defenses all season, including hanging 500+ total yards on Northern Illinois. He is the key to the Rockets’ offensive juggernaut.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Toledo Rockets -300, Total Odds: Over 44
The Rockets are 7.5 point favorites at home, a reasonable spread given their offensive firepower and dominance throughout the season. The total is set at 44 points in what should be a high-scoring affair between two capable offenses. Given Toledo’s ability to pour on points paired with Gabbert’s passing upside for Miami, the over looks enticing at 44 points.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Trends
The RedHawks have been solid against the spread this year at 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. Additionally, the under has hit in 4 of Miami’s last 5 outings. While the RedHawks have found plenty of success overall with a 10-1 record, they have struggled against Toledo, going 1-4 SU and ATS over the last 5 meetings. Backing Miami (OH) requires betting against multiple negative trends in this matchup.
Toledo Rockets Betting Trends
Toledo has caught fire down the stretch, covering in 4 of their last 5 contests. Meanwhile, the under has hit in 4 of the Rockets’ previous 6 games. Toledo rides a perfect 10-0 SU run into this matchup as they look to secure the division crown on their home turf. Historically, the Rockets have dominated this series with the under cashing in 5 of the last 7 showdowns with Miami. Considering Toledo’s 9-0 SU record against MAC East opponents, the trends strongly favor the Rockets.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets 12/2/23 Betting Picks
For this matchup, my analysis leans towards a close game, likely decided by a single score. Both teams have strong offensive and defensive units, but Toledo’s slight edge in quarterback performance and historical dominance in this matchup gives them an advantage. However, Miami’s resilience, especially in conference games, cannot be overlooked.
Considering these factors, the better pick seems to be Toledo, albeit with a close margin. Bettors should look into prop bets involving key players like Boone and Amos, who could be game-changers. The over/under is a tricky bet given both teams’ trends, but a multi-handicapping analysis suggests leaning towards the UNDER, given their recent history.
Free Pick and Prediction: Toledo Rockets 24, Miami (OH) RedHawks 2