Fresno State Bulldogs (8-3) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (3-8)
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs 11/25/23 – The Fresno State Bulldogs will go on the road to face the San Diego State Aztecs in a Mountain West conference clash on Saturday night. Fresno State comes into this NCAAF game with an 8-3 record while San Diego State has struggled to a 3-8 record this season. Our NCAAF predictions have the Bulldogs winning this game.
Fresno State has once again put together an impressive season led by quarterback Mikey Keene and running back Malik Sherrod powering a prolific offense. The Bulldogs average 33.5 points per game while allowing just 22.2 points on the defensive side. Now they’ll look to continue their recent domination of San Diego State, having won 4 of the past 5 head-to-head matchups between these conference opponents.
The Aztecs have severely underperformed expectations this year, plagued by ineffective offense and not getting enough stops on defense. Quarterback Jalen Mayden has shown flashes of talent but his inconsistency and turnover issues have held back the unit. They must significantly elevate their play as San Diego State has lost 8 consecutive games entering Saturday night’s contest.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs 11/25/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 10:30 PM ET |
| Where: | Snapdragon Stadium |
| TV: | FS1 |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Mikey Keene QB vs. Jalen Mayden QB
Mikey Keene has taken over as the starting quarterback for Fresno State and has played well, completing 66.6% of his passes. He takes care of the football with just 8 interceptions and makes good decisions distributing to his playmakers. Keene has shown composure in the pocket but can be rattled by pressure at times. His accuracy and 21 passing touchdowns have powered the Bulldogs offense this season.
On the other side, Jalen Mayden has struggled with consistency and turnovers in his first year starting for San Diego State. While he flashes arm talent, Mayden has completed just 63.2% of passes with 9 interceptions to 9 touchdowns. He has mobility to extend plays but often looks indecisive reading defenses. Mayden will need to limit mistakes against a talented Fresno State defense.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Fresno State Bulldogs -197, Total Odds: 47.5
The Bulldogs are 5 point favorites on the road, with the total set at 47.5 points. Fresno State has failed to cover in 6 of their last 7 games but they have dominated this head-to-head matchup recently. The Aztecs offense ranks among the worst in the nation while their defense has allowed over 26 points per game.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends
The Bulldogs recent betting trends paint a conflicting picture entering this contest. Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in 6 of their previous 7 games. However, they have found great success in recent meetings with the Aztecs, boasting a sterling 17-3 straight up record over their last 20 matches overall. When facing San Diego State specifically, the Bulldogs have won 4 of the past 5 clashes. They’ve also excelled on the road lately, going 7-2 straight up in their previous 9 away games. Additionally, in their last 5 trips to San Diego State, 4 of those games finished under the projected point total. With a 12-3 straight up record in their past 15 games against Mountain West foes, Fresno State has proven able to consistently handle conference opponents like the Aztecs.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends
Recent betting trends heavily favor the visiting Bulldogs. The Aztecs have dropped 8 consecutive games entering Saturday’s matchup, struggling to a woeful 1-8 straight up record over that span. In their past 9 showdowns with Fresno State, the under on the point total has hit 7 times. At home this season, San Diego State has been unreliable, covering the spread just once over their previous 5 contests at Snapdragon Stadium. The Aztecs have also continued to fall under the projected total when hosting the Bulldogs, going under in 4 of the last 5 clashes. Against Mountain West adversaries, their troubles persist as San Diego State has gone 1-7 straight up across their last 8 conference games. However, in their previous 11 matchups with West Division rivals, the Aztecs have gone 8-3 straight up, offering a glimmer of hope heading into Saturday’s action.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs 11/25/23 Betting Picks
The trends and analysis point towards a comfortable Fresno State victory on Saturday night. The Bulldogs have dominated this matchup, going 12-3 straight up in their last 15 against the Aztecs. Even on the road, their talent on both sides of the ball should overwhelm a struggling San Diego State squad. Our expert handicapping predicts Fresno State wins 34-20.
Lay the 5 points and back the Bulldogs as road favorites for Saturday’s NCAAF action. Fresno State has the defense to contain the Aztecs offense while their quarterback Mikey Keene leads an efficient passing attack. San Diego State may keep this close early before Fresno State pulls away in the second half. Bet on the Bulldogs to cover and the total going OVER 47.5 points.
Free Pick and Prediction: Fresno State Bulldogs 34, San Diego State Aztecs 20