Charlotte 49ers (3-8) vs. South Florida Bulls (5-6)
Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls 11/25/23 – The Charlotte 49ers will take on the South Florida Bulls in a Week 13 NCAAF matchup on Saturday. With both teams struggling this season, they will look to finish strong and build momentum going into next year. The 49ers have lost eight of their last ten games, but they have managed to cover the spread in five straight road games. The Bulls hold the edge at home, boasting a 5-6 record behind a capable offense led by quarterback Byrum Brown and running back Nay’Quan Wright. However, South Florida has struggled mightily against Conference USA foes. Free College Football picks are discussed below.
The 49ers will rely on the arm of quarterback Trexler Ivey and the legs of running back Jalon Jones on offense. On defense, they have played well against American Athletic Conference foes, going 4-1 against the spread in their last five such matchups. Ivey has struggled in his first year as a starter, completing just 54.7% of his passes. However, Jones has been solid, rushing for 476 yards at 4.3 yards per carry.
The Bulls will look to quarterback Byrum Brown and running back Nay’Quan Wright to carry the load, while trying to take advantage of Charlotte’s porous run defense at home. Brown has taken a step forward, improving his completion rate to 63.5%. Wright leads the team with 757 rushing yards at 4.7 yards per rush and 7 touchdowns. Still, the Bulls have struggled versus Conference USA teams, going 1-8 ATS over their last 9 games.
Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls 11/25/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET |
| Where: | Raymond James Stadium |
| TV: | ESPU |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Trexler Ivey QB vs. Byrum Brown QB
Trexler Ivey‘s inaugural year as starting quarterback has presented some difficulties, with only 54.77% completion rate and 1,165 yards passed (which included 4 touchdown passes and 8 interceptions). While Ivey has shown glimpses of playmaking potential, his inconsistency in reading defensive strategies and making decisions under pressure needs further refinement.
Byrum Brown has shown significant progress during the 2022 season, increasing his completion percentage to an impressive 63.5% and amassing 2,825 passing yards for 19 touchdown passes with 10 interceptions while still managing an impressive 7.6 yards per attempt average. Brown excels at adapting quickly when plays break down; however he must exercise greater care with ball security on occasion.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: South Florida Bulls -225, Total Odds: 57
The Bulls open as nearly a touchdown favorite at home. However, given Charlotte’s strong performances against the spread on the road and South Florida’s struggles versus Conference USA opponents (1-8 ATS last 9), the 49ers seem capable of keeping this one close. The total of 57 suggests an expectation of a relatively high-scoring affair between two mediocre defenses. Still, Charlotte has gone under in 5 of their last 6 week 13 contests.
Charlotte 49ers Betting Trends
The trends point to Charlotte being an underdog worth backing. The 49ers have gone an abysmal 2-8 straight up in their last 10 games, though they have shown an ability to surprise with a 5-0 ATS record in their previous 5 road matchups. Charlotte has also played South Florida tough, covering in 4 of their past 5 versus AAC foes. The 49ers’ record in November has been poor as well, evidenced by their 2-7 SU record in their last 9 games in the 11th month. When playing on Week 13, Charlotte leans towards lower scoring affairs, going under the total in 5 of their last 6 contests in that week.
South Florida Bulls Betting Trends
A deeper look at South Florida’s record shows some worrying signs beyond the surface. While they have posted a respectable 5-6 record this season, the Bulls have gone just 2-4 ATS in their last six contests. Taking a longer view shows even greater struggles, as evidenced by their terrible 5-15 SU record over their previous 20 games. South Florida has also mightily struggled against Conference USA opponents of late, going 1-8 ATS in their last nine such matchups. The Bulls have been a strong over play at home, with the total going over the number in 14 of their last 19 home tilts.
Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls 11/25/23 Betting Picks
The trends and stats point towards a close matchup between two hungry teams. Charlotte has outperformed betting expectations recently and their stout defense could frustrate South Florida. Still, the Bulls’ home field advantage and strong offense should allow them to do just enough to get the victory. Expert analyst picks South Florida to win and cover in a 31-24 shootout.
Free Pick and Prediction: South Florida 31, Charlotte 49ers 24