Vanderbilt Commodores (2-9) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (7-4)
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers 11/25/23 – Vanderbilt Commodores will battle Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday in an anticipated NCAAF Week 13 matchup, and stakes are high and anticipation high. Vanderbilt, with just 2-9 record, faces an unrivaled 7-4 Tennessee squad that holds live coverage by SECN at historic Neyland Stadium – fans and bettors alike are eagerly awaiting this pivotal matchup with many seeking NCAAF free selections to guide their wagers.
Vanderbilt Commodores have struggled this season due to inconsistency on the offensive front. Key players like Running Back Sedrick Alexander and Wide Receiver Will Sheppard have shown flashes of brilliance; Alexander amassed 325 rushing yards while Sheppard amassed 640 receiving yards and eight touchdowns; their contributions will be critical as Vanderbilt attempts to upset the odds against it.
Tennessee Volunteers enter this contest riding high. Led by key figures such as Running Back Jaylen Wright and Wide Receiver Squirrel White, Tennessee has proven itself formidable on offense thus far with 938 rushing yards by Wright and 654 receiving yards by White contributing significantly towards Tennessee’s successful campaign thus far.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers 11/25/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET |
| Where: | Neyland Stadium |
| TV: | SECN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
AJ Swann QB vs. Joe Milton III QB
Vanderbilt quarterback AJ Swann has had to persevere through an up-and-down season, yet remains notable. His resilience stands out. Swann may not stand out immediately with 1290 passing yards and a completion percentage of 53.8%, but these statistics tell a powerful tale about how an emerging quarterback excelled under challenging circumstances. He has shown an ability to find the end zone with 11 passing touchdowns; however, his susceptibility to pressure–reflected by 9 sacks and 7 interceptions–raised concerns. Swann excels at orchestrating strategic plays, particularly when working alongside wide receiver Will Sheppard. In the upcoming game, he may utilize short to medium range passes in an effort to break down Tennessee’s defensive setup step by step.
Tennessee quarterback Joe Milton III features a more experienced and statistically impressive profile. Compiling 2430 passing yards at 64.5 percent completion and scoring 16 touchdowns, Milton proves his worth as an efficient weapon. Milton’s arm strength and accuracy on long throws has been an integral component of Tennessee’s offensive strategy, evidenced by his longest pass of 83 yards. Additionally, his ability to read defenses quickly and adjust plays quickly has been an integral component of their success this season. Milton’s vulnerability lies in his high sack total (15 total and 108 yards lost), suggesting pocket awareness or escape ability issues that need addressing. Vanderbilt’s defense will test Milton’s ability to remain composed under pressure while making quick, effective decisions quickly and decisively.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Tennessee Volunteers -4000, Total Odds: 55.5
The betting odds heavily favor the Tennessee Volunteers, reflected in the spread and moneyline. With Vanderbilt at a significant +26 point spread and Tennessee’s dominant -26, the implied probability tilts towards the Volunteers. Bettors might find value in the total odds, with a 55.5 point over/under suggesting a high-scoring affair.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends
Vanderbilt’s betting trends illustrate their struggle, particularly at even money in their last 12 games where they have an at-the-money record of 1-11 while on the road they are winless (0-5 ATS in 5 games), further complicating matters. But their 8-3 record against Tennessee provides hope.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends
Tennessee’s betting trends are more favorable, boasting 13-7 ATS over their last 20 games and 14-1 SU in 15 home contests over that span. Unfortunately, Vanderbilt remains vulnerable as evidenced by 1-4 ATS performances against them in those same five home contests.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers 11/25/23 Betting Picks
For final predictions in this high-stakes matchup lean toward Tennessee dominance, given Vanderbilt’s difficulties throughout the year. Their potent offense and strong home record make Tennessee formidable opponents; however, Vanderbilt’s surprising ATS record against Tennessee suggests they could cover the spread.
For bettors seeking premium spread picks, Tennessee seems the safer bet for a straight win, but Vanderbilt could cover the +26 spread. The over/under is a tricky proposition, but given both teams’ offensive capabilities, the over might hold value.
Free Pick and Prediction: Tennessee Volunteers 42, Vanderbilt Commodores 17