Utah State Aggies (5-6) vs. New Mexico Lobos (4-7)
Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos 11/24/23 – Utah State Aggies and New Mexico Lobos will square off in an NCAAF Week 13 contest this Friday at University Stadium, broadcast live by CBSSN from 3:30 PM ET. Both teams enter this match-up as 5-6 records with their record deciding factors likely being pride and the end-of-season standings being at stake for their success – something our no-cost NCAAF predictions clearly demonstrate.
Utah State’s season has been one of ups and downs, characterized by Davon Booth as their running back, who has been an example of consistency with 109 attempts resulting in 691 yards and five touchdowns from 109 rushing attempts resulting in 691 total rushing yards on 109 attempts (691). Meanwhile, Jalen Royals provides aerial prowess, collecting 61 receptions for 934 yards with 12 touchdowns to complement Davon Booth’s ground game strategy.
New Mexico Lobos boast their own arsenal. Running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt has been an offensive powerhouse, amassing 957 yards and 16 touchdowns on just 158 attempts while finding gaps to break through defensive lines with ease. Wide receiver Caleb Medford may not be as prolific but has still shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 18.1 yards per reception with two touchdowns scored on him.
Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos Game Info
| When: | Friday, November 24, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET |
| Where: | University Stadium |
| TV: | CBSSN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Cooper Legas QB vs. Dylan Hopkins QB
Utah State’s quarterback Cooper Legas has been an invaluable component to their offense. Boasting an impressive 64.8% completion rate and having amassed 1815 yards through 64 passes with 19 touchdowns against 8 interceptions for an efficiency rating of 158.3; Legas has made sharp, accurate throws while reading defensive formations easily to make sharp, accurate throws; however his susceptibility to sacks – having been taken down 20 times- is cause for concern.
Dylan Hopkins of New Mexico may lag in completion percentage (57.8%) and passer rating (130.3), but has still amassed 1949 passing yards with 11 touchdowns despite falling short in both measures. Hopkins stands out by favoring longer throws than Legas; evident in his 7.8 average yards per pass attempt figure. Nevertheless, his resilience under pressure should be recognized, yet 9 interceptions indicate there is room for improvement when making decisions under pressure.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Utah State Aggies -250, Total Odds: 61.5
The current betting odds favor the Utah State Aggies, with a -6.5 spread at -115 and a moneyline of -250. The total for the game is set at 61.5, with equal odds for over and under. These odds reflect Utah State’s slightly superior season performance and offensive capabilities.
Utah State Aggies Betting Trends
Utah State’s betting trends are uneven. While they have posted four straight victories against the spread in their last six games, signaling an improvement, their road game performance has been less encouraging; going 2-7-1 against the spread in 9 away games since 2010. Bettors should also note that seven of Utah State’s last 10 games went over, but 5 of their 6 road contests against New Mexico fell under totals.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends
New Mexico’s betting trends suggest caution. They have only covered the spread consistently five out of the last eight games (at 5-13 against the spread), though 6 of their 8 contests saw total scores go over in an indication of high-scoring affairs; home games saw total scores go under five out of six times against Utah State.
Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico Lobos 11/24/23 Betting Picks
As game day nears, analysis and betting trends suggest an unpredictable encounter. Utah State’s superior offensive firepower led by Legas and Booth makes them favorites to cover the spread, yet New Mexico could surprise with its home performance and historical under trend in this fixture – I recommend taking a cautious approach, favoring Utah State to win but not discounting a resilient performance by New Mexico.
For those looking for premium spread picks, the over/under offers an intriguing choice. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends, betting on the over seems tempting. However, historical trends at University Stadium between these two suggest a lower-scoring affair, potentially making the under a more prudent choice.
Free Pick and Prediction: Utah State Aggies 34, New Mexico Lobos 27