Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) vs. San Francisco 49ers (6-3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers 11/19/23 – As Week 11 of the NFL season advances, a captivating clash is anticipated between Tampa Bay Buccaneers and San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium on November 19th. This contest, with both sides sporting different fortunes – Buccaneers standing at 4-5 while 49ers boasting an impressive 6-3 record – is sure to capture fans and bettors’ attention alike and form part of this week’s pro football picks.
The Buccaneers have had their fair share of challenges on offense this season, especially with regards to their running and receiving games. Rachaad White, their primary running back, has amassed 429 rushing yards over 9 games at an average 3.3 yards per carry rate – placing added strain on their passing game; but wide receiver Mike Evans has more than held his own by recording 43 receptions for 737 yards with an impressive 17.1 average yards per reception average.
Conversely, the 49ers have displayed more potency in their offensive output. Christian McCaffrey has been extraordinary as San Francisco’s starting running back, amassing 747 rushing yards at an average of 4.9 yards per attempt for San Francisco. Brandon Aiyuk also stands out, amassing 675 receiving yards off 38 receptions (or 17.8 yards per catch) which contributed significantly to their success.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers 11/19/23 Game Info
|When:||Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET|
|Stream:||NFL Game Pass|
Baker Mayfield QB vs. Brock Purdy QB
Baker Mayfield’s performance this season has been a mixed bag. With 197 completions and a 64.6% completion rate, he’s been reliable, yet not spectacular. His 14 touchdowns against 5 interceptions show capability but also a need for consistency. Facing a strong 49ers defense, Mayfield’s ability to manage the game and avoid turnovers will be crucial.
Brock Purdy, in contrast, has been a revelation for the 49ers. His impressive 68.8% completion rate and 9.3 yards per pass attempt highlight his efficiency and ability to throw deep. With 15 touchdowns and only 5 interceptions, Purdy’s decision-making and poise will be key factors in navigating the Buccaneers’ defense.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco 49ers -525, Total Odds: 42.5
The betting odds heavily favor the 49ers, with a -525 moneyline suggesting a high confidence in their victory. The spread of -10.5 for the 49ers reflects expectations of a relatively comfortable win. The total of 42.5 points indicates anticipations of a moderate-scoring game, likely influenced by both teams’ defensive strengths.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Buccaneers are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games, showing a strong trend in beating the spread. However, their 1-4 SU in the last 5 games highlights a struggle in converting these opportunities into outright wins. Their ability to cover spreads, especially on the road (4-1 ATS in last 5 games), should not be underestimated, even against a strong team like San Francisco.
San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends
San Francisco’s impressive 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games and 16-4 SU in the same period underscore their reliability both for spread bettors and straight-up wins. Their dominance at home is notable, with an 11-1 SU record in their last 12 games. These trends suggest that the 49ers are not just winning, but winning comfortably.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers 11/19/23 Betting Picks
Given the analysis and betting trends, this matchup leans heavily in favor of the San Francisco 49ers. Their balanced attack, combined with a strong defensive showing, makes them a formidable opponent, especially at home. The Buccaneers, while capable of covering spreads, face an uphill battle in turning the tide in their favor.
For those seeking the best premium daily tips, consider the 49ers to cover the spread. The over/under is trickier, given both teams’ variable scoring abilities, but the under might be a safer bet considering Tampa Bay’s recent trend and San Francisco’s defensive strength. Prop bets on individual player performances, particularly Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards, could also offer value.
Free Pick and Prediction: San Francisco 49ers 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17