Minnesota Vikings (6-4) vs. Denver Broncos (3-5)
Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos 11/19/23 – As NFL regular season action ramps up, this Week 11 matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos promises to be an intriguing contest. Set for Sunday, November 19, this game promises not only to showcase strategies and talents but will be an essential opportunity for NFL picks today, with both sides seeking to establish themselves.
This season, Minnesota Vikings offensive success has largely relied upon Jordan Addison and his dynamic receiving corps. Amassing 45 receptions for 603 yards and seven touchdowns alone, Addison has proven himself a reliable threat averaging 13.4 yards per reception. Alexander Mattison has been an integral component of Minnesota’s offensive playbook. On the ground, Alexander Mattison has been Minnesota’s primary contributor. Even with his modest average yard per carry (3.5), Mattison has amassed 461 rushing yards over 10 games for Minnesota; yet, with no touchdowns recorded so far from his rushing department, this may present an area for improvement as they take on Denver’s strong defense.
The Broncos have been led offensively by quarterback Russell Wilson and an effective receiving unit led by Courtland Sutton, with Sutton recording 380 receiving yards and six touchdowns that have proven vital in Denver’s passing game. He is Denver’s main weapon against an outstanding Vikings secondary, while Javonte Williams has been one of the more effective rushers. Williams has averaged an impressive 4 yards per carry for Denver over seven games, amassing 357 yards over that time period. Although lacking touchdown runs is notable, his consistency provides Denver with a balanced offensive attack capable of disconcerting Minnesota Vikings defense.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos 11/19/23 Game Info
|When:||Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET|
|Stream:||NFL Game Pass|
Kirk Cousins QB vs. Russell Wilson QB
Kirk Cousins of the Vikings has had an exceptional year. With 2331 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, and an outstanding passer rating of 103.8, his impressive efficiency and decision-making skills are evident in Minnesota’s success this season. Additionally, Cousins has excelled at connecting with multiple receivers despite pressure situations; one key reason behind their success.
Russell Wilson‘s season with the Broncos, while marked by lower yardage total (1613 yards) and passer rating (101.7), has nonetheless been impressive. Wilson is known for his experience, playmaking ability and mobility – qualities which make him a difficult opponent for Minnesota’s defense to handle.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Denver Broncos -140, Total Odds: 43.5
The betting odds favor the Denver Broncos slightly, despite their less impressive record. The -140 moneyline for Denver and the spread of -2.5 points reflect the confidence in their ability to capitalize on their home-field advantage. The total set at 43.5 points indicates expectations of a moderately high-scoring game, aligning with both teams’ recent performances.
Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends
The Vikings’ impressive 5-0 ATS in their last five games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six on the road suggest a strong ability to outperform expectations, especially in away games. Their 5-0 straight-up (SU) record in their last five games further underscores their current form. However, their historical 2-4 SU record in recent games at Denver could pose a challenge.
Denver Broncos Betting Trends
Denver’s record shows some inconsistencies, especially at home with a 2-4 ATS in their last six games. The Broncos’ overall 6-12 SU in their last 18 games also highlights some underlying struggles. Yet, their 4-2 SU record in their last six home games against Minnesota provides a glimmer of hope for a turnaround.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos 11/19/23 Betting Picks
The Vikings seem poised to challenge Denver effectively with their potency passing game and reliable running attack, though breaking through Denver’s defense in high-pressure situations will be key to their success. Minnesota has an excellent recent track record at covering spreads despite being underdogs.
Denver will look to exploit their home advantage and utilize Wilson’s experience, particularly in tight situations, to control play at quarterback. But given Minnesota’s recent form and Denver’s struggles in home ATS play, the Vikings may just have an edge here.
Given the current form and trends, a close game is expected according to premium game day predictions, but the Vikings might edge out with their superior offensive consistency.
Free Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Vikings 24, Denver Broncos 21