Texas Longhorns (8-1) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (4-5)
Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs 11/11/23 – This week’s NCAA football matchup between Texas Longhorns and TCU Horned Frogs is drawing significant attention, as both sides boast impressive records; Longhorns boast 8-1 while Horned Frogs struggle at 4-5, so November 11 promises an epic battle! In our NCAAF top picks analysis we will examine both teams individually before diving deeper into game details for an in-depth examination of both squads’ strengths and weaknesses.
Texas Longhorns’ offense has been an impressive force this season, led by running back Jonathon Brooks and wide receiver Xavier Worthy. Brooks has been extraordinary, amassing 1035 rushing yards with 8 touchdowns thanks to his incredible acceleration through gaps – evidenced by 6.2 yards per rush attempt efficiency. Meanwhile, Worthy has proven reliable in passing game with 49 receptions for 620 yards; his 12.7 average reception yardage shows significant gains after catch.
TCU Horned Frogs may not have had as much success in terms of wins and losses, yet still boast noteworthy talent. Emani Bailey and JP Richardson have been key components to their offensive success: Bailey with 908 rushing yards and four touchdowns has proven his worth as a workhorse while Richardson, while not as prolific as Worthy has still amassed 437 receiving yards making him an asset to any passing attack.
Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs 11/11/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET |
| Where: | Amon G. Carter Stadium |
| TV: | ABC |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Quinn Ewers QB vs. Chandler Morris QB
Quinn Ewers of the Texas Longhorns has been an outstanding quarterback this season. His statistics are impressive: 151 completions on 213 attempts for 1915 passing yards and 13 touchdowns. Ewers’ 70.9% completion rate and 163.7 passer rating reflect his accuracy and efficiency while his agility in the pocket have contributed greatly to Texas’ successful offense. Nonetheless, Ewers has taken 17 total sacks, costing 95 yards overall in losses.
Chandler Morris has had a solid season at TCU as quarterback with 131 completions, 1513 passing yards and 12 touchdowns to his credit. With a 65.8% completion rate and 144.6 passer rating slightly lower than Ewers’ respectively, these stats indicate his capability as a leader on the field. His key strengths lie in quick decision-making as well as using his legs to extend plays; however, with five interceptions this year could prove challenging against an aggressive Texas defense.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Texas Longhorns -385, Total Odds: 55
The current betting odds favor the Texas Longhorns with a -385 moneyline and a total over/under of 55. These odds reflect the Longhorns’ stronger season performance and their capability to control the game’s pace.
Texas Longhorns Betting Trends
Texas has been strong this season but has struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups with TCU, going 2-7. However, their overall performance, especially on the road where they are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games, cannot be overlooked. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 games, which may influence betting strategies for this matchup.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends
TCU has faced challenges both ATS and straight up (SU), going 1-4 in both categories in their last 5 games. Despite their struggles, they have a strong home record, being 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home. This could play a significant role in the outcome of the upcoming game.
Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs 11/11/23 Betting Picks
Considerations should be given to both teams’ trends and performances when making this prediction, however. Texas appears to have an advantage due to Quinn Ewers-led offense and solid defense. TCU could pose an interesting challenge and the spread suggests Texas will win comfortably; however, its resilience at home may make this game closer than anticipated.
Texas may be the safer pick given their strong track record on the road. Given both teams’ recent trends, however, the under might be smart. As far as prop bets go, tracking individual player performances like Jonathon Brooks’ rushing yards or Quinn Ewers’ passing touchdowns could offer great opportunities.
In terms of pro premium picks, while the safer bet would be on the Longhorns for a straight win, the value lies in backing TCU to cover the spread. The game is expected to be tightly contested, with a predicted score favoring the Texas Longhorns but by a margin smaller than the spread.
Free Pick and Prediction: Texas Longhorns 28, TCU Horned Frogs 21