Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-2) vs. UCF Knights (4-5)
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights 11/11/23 – The Week 11 NCAAF game previews are heating up as the Oklahoma State Cowboys, boasting a strong 7-2 record, prepare to clash with the UCF Knights, who currently sit at a 4-5 standing. This matchup scheduled for Saturday, promises to be an enthralling contest as the teams battle it out at the FBC Mortgage Stadium. Fans from all over will be tuning in to see if the Cowboys can maintain their momentum or if the Knights can upset the odds in their home venue.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys have showcased a robust offensive strategy throughout the season, anchored by the standout performances of running back Ollie Gordon II and wide receiver Rashod Owens. Gordon II has been instrumental in the ground game, amassing a total of 1,224 rushing yards and notching 12 touchdowns. His remarkable average of 7 yards per rush attempt underscores his ability to consistently penetrate defensive lines. Meanwhile, Owens has contributed significantly to the Cowboys’ passing offense, providing a dependable target despite a modest touchdown tally.
Turning to the University of Central Florida Knights, the offensive prowess of RJ Harvey and Javon Baker cannot be overstated. Harvey, the team’s rushing leader, has accumulated 876 yards on the ground and crossed into the endzone on nine occasions, demonstrating his capability as a powerful running back. In the receiving corps, Baker’s statistics speak to his significant impact; his average of 20.5 yards per reception and a total of five receiving touchdowns exemplify the Knights’ capacity for swift and potent strikes downfield.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights 11/11/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET |
| Where: | FBC Mortgage Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Alan Bowman QB vs. John Rhys Plumlee QB
Alan Bowman has been instrumental in Oklahoma State’s passing game this season, amassing 1914 passing yards, 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions for an efficiency rating of 120.2 passer rating despite only being brought down four times himself – an ability which will prove key against UCF’s defense that could capitalize on any mistakes by their players. Bowman maintained composure under pressure to only ever be brought down four times – something UCF is known to exploit quickly when facing their passing attack.
UCF quarterback John Rhys Plumlee offers an entirely different style with his dual-threat abilities and 142.9 passer rating, an increased yards per attempt of 8.5, and his ability to extend plays using his legs – something the Knights offense relies on heavily. While his completion rate of 63% remains reliable, 7 interceptions indicate occasional miscues which the Cowboys defense will attempt to exploit.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys -135, Total Odds: 64.5
The betting odds favor the Oklahoma State Cowboys as -135 on the moneyline, with a narrow -2.5 point spread reflecting the anticipated competitiveness of this matchup. The total points over/under is set at 64.5, pointing to expectations of a high-scoring affair from both offenses.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Trends
The Cowboys’ betting trends show a team that is solid against the spread (ATS), going 5-0 in their last 5 games. They’ve managed to keep the score under the total in 11 of their last 15 games overall and specifically on the road. Their consistent SU (straight up) wins, coupled with a strong track record in November games, suggest that they are a dependable pick, particularly late in the season.
UCF Knights Betting Trends
UCF’s recent performance ATS has been less than stellar, with a 1-5 record in their last 6 games. However, their tendency to go over the total in 5 of their last 7 games suggests their games are typically high-scoring, which could challenge the Cowboys’ under trend. Their 1-5 SU record in recent games is concerning, but a 6-1 SU in November games over the years indicates a potential for seasonal upswing.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knights 11/11/23 Betting Picks
Given the data and the prevailing trends, the Oklahoma State Cowboys appear poised to continue their impressive ATS streak, making them a solid bet to cover the -2.5 point spread. The Cowboys’ ability to control the game’s tempo, coupled with their strong defensive play on the road, suggests that the under might be the smarter play, despite the high-scoring tendencies of both teams.
The better pick here seems to be with the Cowboys, who have shown more consistency and ability to win in crucial moments. However, one shouldn’t dismiss the potential for the Knights to keep the game close, especially with their propensity to score heavily at home. In terms of prop bets, looking at the running backs on either side to score anytime touchdowns could be a lucrative option, given their form this season. As for the over/under, the contrasting trends present a tougher call, but the winning picks premium might lean slightly towards the under, factoring in the Cowboys’ defensive prowess on the road.
Free Pick and Prediction: Oklahoma State Cowboys 31, UCF Knights 27