Free MLB Picks For Today 5/6/2024
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San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Giants at Phillies—Mason Black to start for San Francisco. Black is expected to make his MLB debut. He was a third-round pick in 2021. Black has six starts in Triple A this year posting an ERA of 1.01 with WHIP of 0.92 striking out 29 batters in 26 1/3rd innings. The righthanders minor league numbers have been good at every stop since he entered in 2022. Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in seven starts to the year delivers an ERA of 1.91 with WHIP of 0.92. The veteran has an elite K rate of 30.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 50% with 0.64 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Francisco in their past seven games is hitting .213. They have struggled to hit and score on right-handed starters. Wheeler’s form key here and has pitched into the seventh inning in two of his past three starts. Play San Francisco and Philadelphia under 8.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Tigers at Guardians—Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda in six starts posts an ERA of 5.02 with WHIP of 1.22. The veteran has seen his strikeouts plummet to 18.3% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 40.4% with 2.51 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 6.07, suggesting a rising ERA based on his numbers. Triston McKenzie will start for Cleveland. McKenzie has six starts with an ERA of 4.34 with WHIP of 1.48. The righthander fans 18.8% with 14.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.9% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cleveland bullpen in their fourteen home games have an ERA of 2.20. The Tigers bullpen in their 16 road games has an ERA of 2.15. Detroit has struggled to score and hit against right handed starters. Cleveland is 39-16 to the under against the division the past two seasons. The Guardians are 34-17 to the under facing an AL pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.30 or lower the past two seasons. Play Detroit and Cleveland under 7.5.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Angels at Pirates—Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson has six starts carrying an ERA of 2.23 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander strikes out 18.5% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.9% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.76 suggesting a rise in ERA based on form. Mitch Keller will start for Pittsburgh. Keller in seven starts produces an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP of 1.48. The righthander has a K rate of 21.8% with 8.4% walks. Grounders dealt at 37.5% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh in their past seven games is hitting .168 and putting up 1.7 runs per game. They are averaging 2.9 runs per game at home. Play Los Angeles +129.
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
White Sox at Rays—Mike Clevinger expected to start for Chicago. Clevinger was signed on April 2nd missing all of Spring Training. He had 24 starts last season with an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander struck out 20% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls served at 30.9% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Alexander to start for Tampa Bay. Alexander appeared in six games dealing an ERA of 5.02 with WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander fans 18.4% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 25.6% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is hitting .169 against lefthanders this season. The past seven games the Rays are putting up 3.7 runs per game. Clevinger had a good close to the season last year. Play Chicago and Tampa Bay under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Brewers at Royals—Bryse Wilson to start for Milwaukee. Wilson appeared in nine games in 2024 serving an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 22.6% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.1% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.56 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans has seven starts carrying an ERA of 3.44 with WHIP of 1.36. The lefthander strikes out 28.9% with 8.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 41.2% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Ragans at home has an ERA of 6.62 with WHIP of 1.92 in his four starts. Milwaukee in their 18 road games has a bullpen ERA of 2.15. Milwaukee on the road is putting up 5.6 runs per game and hitting .272. Play Milwaukee +125.
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Mariners at Twins—Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo in seven starts to the season posts an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.18. The veteran has a K rate of 28.7% with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 34.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Simeon Woods Richardson to start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson has three starts with an ERA of 2.45 and WHIP of 1.36. The righthander is striking out 20.6% with 6.3% walks. Grounders sit at 34.8% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
The Twins bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.09 in their fourteen games. Minnesota in their past seven games is hitting .305 and putting up 7.7 runs per game. In this period the Mariners are batting .212. Seattle is 3-10 facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.00 or lower the past two seasons with a -9.8-unit loss. Play Minnesota +115.
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Padres at Cubs—Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvis has six starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran K rate continues its steady decline to 21% with 8.4% walks. Grounders served at 37.8% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings. Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has one start allowing one run with six strikeouts in 4 2/3rd innings at Texas. He returned from IL with a hamstring injury. The lefthander had 30 starts in 2023 with an ERA of 1.93 with WHIP of 0.86. Strikeouts came in at 24.6% with 5% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.4% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago in their past seven games is hitting .194. The Padres on the road are hitting .283 and putting up 5.8 runs per game. The Padres are 9-2 on the road in night games this season with a +8.1 unit return. Play San Diego +104.
New York Mets vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Mets at Cardinals—Sean Manaea to start for New York. Manaea in six starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 3.07 with WHIP of 1.43. The lefthander is striking out 23.4% with 14.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 32.5% with limited home run damage. Kyle Gibson to start for St Louis. Gibson has six starts delivering an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran fans 19.1% with 9.2% walks. Grounders dealt at 49.1% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
St Louis at home is hitting .204 and putting up 3.4 runs per game. The Cardinals are hitting .208 against left-handed starters. New York on the road is putting up 5.4 runs per game and hitting .264. They flexed offense in the Rays series. St Louis is 25-35 when favored at home by -110 or higher with a -27.7-unit loss the past two seasons. Play New York +110.
PART 2
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Rangers at Athletics—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney, in six starts posts an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander strikes out 20.8% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 36.8% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. Alex Wood to start for Oakland. Wood has seven starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 6.32 with WHIP of 1.98. The veteran lefty has a K rate of 19% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls served at 34.3% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Oakland bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.42. The Rangers on the road has a bullpen ERA of 6.45. Texas is hitting .218 against left-handed starters. Past seven games the Athletics are batting .272 and putting up 6.7 runs per game. Oakland is 16-14 on the year facing a team that averages seven or greater strikeouts per game with a +9.6 unit return. Play Texas +128.
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/6/2024
Marlins at Dodgers—Roddery Munoz to start for Miami. Munoz in his two starts allowed three earned runs with two homers and fourteen strikeouts in 15 2/3rd innings. He was drafted in 2018 and has more struggles than success in the minors. In his 15 2/3rd innings in Triple A this year he allowed 15 earned runs with four homers, 14 walks and nine strikeouts. Walker Buehler to start for Los Angeles. Buehler makes his 2024 debut after Tommy John surgery. He last pitched in 2022. He has a career ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.04 striking out 690 batters in 638 1/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The Dodgers are hitting .287 against right-handed starters and putting up 6.1 runs per game. The Marlins on the road are hitting .224 and averaging 3.6 runs per game. In their 18-night games they are averaging 2.5 runs per game and hitting .204. The Marlins are 12-21 to the run line facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or better the past two seasons with a -17.8-unit loss. They are also 12-26 to the run line against an NL team averaging 4.5 runs per game or greater the past two seasons with a -20.5-unit loss. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs at -130.