Nevada Wolf Pack (2-7) vs. Utah State Aggies (4-5)
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies 11/11/23 – As the Nevada Wolf Pack prepare to face the Utah State Aggies on Saturday, November 11, 2023, in Week 11 of the NCAAF season, expert consensus picks are starting to roll in. With Nevada sitting at a disappointing 2-7 and Utah State hovering just below .500 at 4-5, the stakes for both teams couldn’t be higher. The action is set to unfold at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium, promising a riveting contest as the Wolf Pack look to claw their way out of a rut against a challenging opponent. With the Aggies favored heavily, both teams will be desperate to claim victory in this late-season clash.
The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this matchup with a record that doesn’t do justice to their on-field efforts. Running back Sean Dollars has rushed for 345 yards and 5 touchdowns, showcasing his ability to find the end zone and move the chains with a 3.3-yard average per rush attempt. The receiving corps is led by Dalevon Campbell, who boasts 416 receiving yards and averages a whopping 21.9 yards per reception, signaling that when Nevada does take to the air, they can do so effectively.
On the opposite side, the Utah State Aggies present a more balanced threat. Cooper Legas stands out as a key figure, with an impressive 66.7% completion rate and 1,505 passing yards, indicating a high-octane offense. Davon Booth complements the passing game on the ground with 566 rushing yards and a healthy average of 5.8 yards per rush attempt, matching Dollars’ five rushing touchdowns. Jalen Royals is the standout wide receiver with 794 yards and 11 touchdowns, making him a primary target in the passing game.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies 11/11/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET|
|Where:||Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium|
Brendon Lewis QB vs. Cooper Legas QB
Brendon Lewis‘s season for Nevada has been a mix of highs and lows. With 110 completions from 206 attempts for 1,133 yards, his 53.4% completion percentage and a passer rating of 97 highlight his struggles with consistency and decision-making. Despite this, Lewis has managed to connect on a 73-yard bomb this season, proving that he has the arm to make big plays. However, 18 sacks with 119 yards lost indicate a vulnerability under pressure that Utah State’s defense will surely look to exploit.
In contrast, Cooper Legas of Utah State has had a standout season with a 164.2 passer rating and a dynamic 9 yards per pass attempt. His 15 passing touchdowns to 6 interceptions ratio underscores his efficiency and ability to lead a high-scoring offense. Legas’s poise in the pocket and ability to extend plays with his legs will pose significant challenges for the Nevada defense, which will need to step up to slow him down.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Utah State Aggies -800, Total Odds: 56
The oddsmakers have set Utah State as the heavy favorites with a -800 moneyline and a 16.5-point advantage on the spread. The total is pegged at 56, with both the over and the under at -110, suggesting an expectation of a high-scoring affair, which is in line with Utah State’s offensive form.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Trends
Nevada has shown a tendency to start games slowly, staying under the first half (1H) game total in 8 of their last 12 games. They’ve also struggled to win outright, only hitting the moneyline twice in their last 12 outings. These trends, alongside their overall record, paint a picture of a team that often finds itself chasing games.
Utah State Aggies Betting Trends
Utah State, conversely, has a penchant for high-scoring games, hitting the game total over in 9 of their last 13 games. This aligns with their strong offensive statistics and indicates that they come out of the gates quickly, especially at home, where they’ve hit the 1H game total over in 5 of their last 6 games.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies 11/11/23 Betting Picks
When considering the final thoughts and recommendations, it’s essential to weigh the powerful offense of Utah State against the less consistent performance of Nevada. The betting trends suggest that the Aggies are likely to put up significant points, especially in the first half, and potentially cover the spread. Expert NCAAF game tips often lean towards teams with strong offensive capabilities late in the season, which gives Utah State an edge.
In evaluating which team to pick, Utah State appears to be the better option, despite the large spread. The over on the total points also seems promising, considering the Aggies’ trend and the explosive nature of their key players. Prop bets surrounding Legas’s passing yards and touchdowns could be worth considering, given his high production.
Free Pick and Prediction: Utah State Aggies 38, Nevada Wolf Pack 17