Baylor Bears (3-6) vs. Kansas State Wildcats (6-3)
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats 11/11/23 – Baylor Bears and Kansas State Wildcats will square off in Week 11 of the NCAAF season at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, hoping to score an upset victory and outwit an imposing Wildcats team which has proven themselves at home this season. Sports analysts’ tips begin to appear, raising questions as to whether Baylor can overcome being considered underdogs against Kansas State which seems to have found its rhythm.
Baylor is having difficulty matching the form that saw them dominate Kansas State in recent meetings, falling to an unimpressive 3-6 record. One hope for Baylor comes in the form of Dominic Richardson at running back who has amassed an impressive 4.2 yards per rush attempt and Monaray Baldwin on offense who amassed 586 receiving yards while scoring three touchdowns – both players can help to ignite Baylor’s offense against Kansas State’s strong defense.
Kansas State, currently sitting comfortably at 6-3, will rely heavily on the talents of running back DJ Giddens and wide receiver Phillip Brooks to continue its winning campaign. Giddens has been particularly outstanding this season, averaging 6 yards per rush while reaching the end zone 7 times; Brooks has been an instrumental target in passing game with 5 receiving touchdowns contributing. Their performances will be vital as Kansas State looks to further their winning record.
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats 11/11/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Bill Snyder Family Stadium |
| TV: | ESP+ |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Blake Shapen QB vs. Will Howard QB
Baylor’s signal-caller Blake Shapen has had a rocky season. Despite a respectable 63.7 completion percentage and a passer rating of 139.2, his 8 passing touchdowns against 2 interceptions indicate a conservative offense that struggles to put up points. Shapen’s season has been hampered by 21 sacks, reflecting a vulnerability that Kansas State’s defense will be keen to exploit. Shapen’s ability to extend plays outside the pocket and deliver accurate throws under duress will be critical for Baylor’s chances.
On the other side, Will Howard has been instrumental in Kansas State’s successful run, posting a slightly higher passer rating of 144.8 and impressing with 18 touchdown passes. However, his 8 interceptions show a riskier, albeit more rewarding, approach. Howard’s strength lies in his poise in the pocket and his ability to dissect defenses with precise throws. The Wildcats’ quarterback will look to exploit Baylor’s secondary, which has been suspect throughout the season.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Kansas State Wildcats -1600, Total Odds: 55.5
The betting odds heavily favor Kansas State, reflective of their stronger record and home advantage. The spread sits at a daunting 20.5 points, indicating oddsmakers expect a blowout in favor of the Wildcats. The total is pegged at 55.5, with both over and under carrying the same odds, suggesting a balanced view on the potential scoring in this game.
Baylor Bears Betting Trends
The betting trends for Baylor paint a bleak picture, with the Bears going 2-8-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 games, signifying consistent struggles to cover. Additionally, they are 3-10 straight up (SU) in their last 13 games, which may dampen bettor confidence. However, Baylor’s 4-1 SU record in their last 5 games against Kansas State offers a ray of hope, alongside the trend of the total going over in 7 of their last 7 road games.
Kansas State Wildcats Betting Trends
Kansas State’s recent betting trends provide more optimism for their backers. The Wildcats have been excellent ATS, going 5-1 in their last 6 games and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. They also boast a strong 10-4 SU record in their last 14 games, which bodes well for their moneyline bettors. Interestingly, the total has gone under in 7 of Kansas State’s last 10 games against Baylor, including 5 straight unders when playing at home against the Bears.
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats 11/11/23 Betting Picks
In light of the comprehensive statistical data and prevailing betting trends, the Kansas State Wildcats stand out as the formidable force in this matchup and are anticipated to maintain their dominance in this college football game prediction. The considerable 20.5-point spread suggests a confidence in Kansas State’s ability to secure a decisive victory, yet such a wide margin also presents a level of uncertainty for bettors. The Baylor Bears have a history of robust scoring against Kansas State, a trend that could potentially lead to a narrower point differential than what the spread currently anticipates.
The better pick for this matchup seems to be Kansas State due to their consistent performance, especially ATS and at home. Prop bets could be an interesting avenue, particularly focusing on the performance of DJ Giddens and Phillip Brooks, who are likely to be central to the Wildcats’ offense. For the over/under, the contrasting trends present a challenging decision, but with the total going under in recent matchups at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, the under might be the safer bet.
Free Pick and Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats 38, Baylor Bears 17