Arizona Wildcats (6-3) vs. Colorado Buffaloes (4-5)
Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes 11/11/23 – The PAC-12 is set for an intriguing showdown as the Arizona Wildcats, with a solid 6-3 record, take on the Colorado Buffaloes, who are just shy of an even keel at 4-5. Scheduled for November 11, 2023, this Week 11 NCAAF game promises to be a compelling matchup, playing out at the picturesque Folsom Field. As both teams gear up for a mid-November clash, our premium pick analysis hones in on the intricacies of the game to give you the best angles heading into the weekend.
Arizona comes off an encouraging series of performances, having gone 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games. Moreover, they’ve maintained a strong under trend, dipping below the total in 8 of their last 9 outings. The Wildcats’ offense, led by the potent duo of running back Jonah Coleman and wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan, has been dynamic. Coleman boasts 93 rushing attempts with an average of 6.1 yards per carry and 3 rushing touchdowns, injecting vigor into Arizona’s ground game. McMillan, on the other end, presents a formidable threat with his 753 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, cementing his status as a top target in the aerial attack.
The Colorado Buffaloes, although struggling to find consistency, have shown sparks of potential, particularly on offense. Shedeur Sanders, their quarterback, has racked up 2,882 passing yards with a commendable completion percentage of 70.1%. His ability to connect deep is counterbalanced by an unfortunate 45 sacks taken, reflecting a dire need for improved protection. On the ground, Dylan Edwards has notched 268 rushing yards, averaging 4.3 per carry, while wideout Xavier Weaver has been a reliable option downfield with 783 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns.
Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes 11/11/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 2:00 PM ET|
Noah Fifita QB vs. Shedeur Sanders QB
Noah Fifita has been a steady hand for the Wildcats, completing 76.2% of his passes for 1,521 yards and 14 touchdowns. Despite being sacked 13 times, Fifita’s resilience and ability to deliver under pressure have been commendable. His decision-making will be under scrutiny, especially against a Buffaloes defense that could capitalize on any missteps.
Shedeur Sanders, on the other hand, has illuminated the Buffaloes’ offense with his 70.1% completion rate and 24 touchdowns. Although he’s been sacked a staggering 45 times, Sanders has maintained poise and effectiveness in the pocket. His tactical awareness and quick release will be key in navigating the Wildcats’ defensive schemes.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Arizona Wildcats -400, Total Odds: 55
The Wildcats enter as the favorites with a -400 moneyline and a substantial -10.5 point spread. This reflects their strong performance against the spread (ATS) in recent games and the challenges facing the Buffaloes, who have struggled to find consistent form this season.
Arizona Wildcats Betting Trends
Arizona’s recent record of 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games suggests that they have been performing well above expectations. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 9 games, indicating a trend towards strong defensive play and a potentially lower-scoring affair.
Colorado Buffaloes Betting Trends
Colorado’s 1-5 SU in their last 6 games paints a grim picture, but their ability to score is evidenced by the total going OVER in 9 of their last 12 games against Arizona. At home, they’ve had a tendency to let the score run up, with the total going OVER in 5 of their last 6 home games against Arizona.
Arizona Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes 11/11/23 Betting Picks
Considering the data and trends, the Wildcats appear to have the edge in this matchup. Their solid ATS record and the fact that the total has consistently gone UNDER suggests a strong defense coupled with efficient scoring. The Buffaloes, while not as solid overall, have shown the capability to put up points, especially with Sanders at the helm.
For NCAAF future picks, look to individual player performance, particularly the quarterbacks, who may be the deciding factor in whether their teams cover the spread. Over/under bets should be considered carefully, given both teams’ tendencies in recent games.
Free Pick and Prediction: Arizona Wildcats 31, Colorado Buffaloes 20