Free NFL Picks For Today 11/5/2023
Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Dolphins vs. Chiefs—Game played in Germany. Miami receiver Berrios and tight end Smyth are questionable. On the line their center is questionable and right guard out. On defense a corner is questionable. Kansas City starters on offense are healthy with a linebacker questionable. Miami improved to 6-2 with their 31-17 home victory to the New England Patriots. The Dolphins rushed for 78 yards on 26 carries. They allowed four yards per run to the Patriots with 141 passing on 29 attempts. Tua Tagovailoa completed 30 of 45 passes for 324 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Kansas City fell to 6-2 with their 24-9 road defeat at Denver. The Chiefs rushed for 62 yards on 16 carries. They allowed 153 yards rushing to the Broncos with only 87 passing on 19 attempts. KC had five turnovers and took one away from the Broncos. Patrick Mahomes hit 24 of 38 for 241 yards and two interceptions. He averaged 6.3 yards per pass attempt. When the Dolphins faced winning teams, they were beaten by 14 at Philadelphia and 28 at Buffalo. Kansas City holds teams to 287 yards per game and limits big plays in the passing game defensively. Miami gave up 414 yards to the Bills and 355 yards to the Eagles. Play Kansas City -1.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Vikings at Falcons—Kirk Cousins is out for the season. On defense a defensive end is out. Atlanta running back London and their fullback is out. The Falcons defensive starters are healthy. Minnesota improved to 4-4 after their 24-10 road win at Green Bay Packers. The Vikings rushed for 62 yards on 31 carries. They held the Packers to 74 rushing yards with 196 passing on 41 attempts. Kirk Cousins is out for the season with an Achillies tear. Jaren Hall in relief completed 3 of 4 passes for 23 yards. He averaged 5.8 yards per pass attempt. The 25-year-old as a fifth round pick out of BYU. Atlanta fell to 4-4 with their 28-23 road defeat in Tennessee. The Falcons rushed for 140 yards on 26 carries. They allowed 149 yards rushing to the Titans with 226 passing on 29 attempts. Desmond Ridder hit 8 of 12 for 71 yards. He averaged 5.9 yards per pass attempt. He missed the second half due to a head injury with Taylor Heinicke playing in the second half. This game is a battle of backup quarterbacks. The Falcons allow only 296 yards per game sitting sixth in the league. They hold opponents to 3.8 yards per run and limit big passing plays. The Vikings are 29th offensively in yards per rush with 3.6 per game. Vikings sit 11th in total defense. We have two good defenses facing two backup quarterbacks with a rookie QB in Minnesota. Play Minnesota and Atlanta under 37.5.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Seahawks at Ravens—Seattle right guard is questionable with healthy starters on defense. Baltimore right tackle is doubtful with their free safety on defense questionable. Seattle improved to 5-2 with their 24-20 home victory to Cleveland Browns. The Seahawks rushed for 114 yards on 17 carries. They allowed 155 yards rushing to the Browns with 230 passing on 32 attempts. Seattle turned it over twice and forced three away from Cleveland. Geno Smith completed 23 of 37 for 254 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He averaged 6.9 yards per pass attempt. Baltimore is 6-2 with their 31-24 road win at Arizona Cardinals. The Ravens rushed for 130 yards on 29 carries. They allowed 129 rushing yards to the Cardinals with 181 passing on 37 attempts. Baltimore had a +2-turnover margin. Lamar Jackson hit 18 of 27 for 157 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Baltimore playmakers are healthy and that is key here. Their win by 32 in their past home game to Detroit was impressive. Seattle has had multiple turnovers in three straight games with their scoring down. The Ravens have the second ranked defense in the NFL by allowing 276 yards per game. They are very efficient in defending the pass best in the league in yards allowed per completion and yards allowed per pass. Play Baltimore -6.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Cardinals at Browns—Kyler Murray is questionable coming off his knee surgery. Their running back Demercado and left guard are out. Receiver Michael Wilson is questionable. Cleveland right tackle is questionable. On defense a corner is out. Arizona is 1-7 after their 31-24 home defeat to the Baltimore Ravens. The Cardinals rushed for 129 yards on 32 carries. They allowed 130 rushing yards to the Ravens with 138 passing on 27 attempts Arizona had a -2-turnover margin. Josua Dobbs was traded. Rookie Clayton Tune will get the start. He has thrown one pass this season. Tune is a fifth-round draft pick out of Houston. Cleveland is 4-3 with their 24-20 road defeat to Seattle. The Browns rushed for 155 yards on 40 attempts. They allowed 114 yards rushing to the Seahawks with 248 passing on 37 attempts. They committed two turnovers and forced three by Seattle. DeShaun Watson missed the game due to a shoulder injury. He returned to practice on Wednesday in a limited fashion and looked healthy. Watson in the season completing 61.7% of his passes with a career low 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Cleveland is the top-rated defense in the NFL by allowing 260 yards per game. Arizona is inefficient with their passing game. Arizona pass defense allowing 70.8% completion rate and giving up big plays in the passing game. The Cardinals on the road are averaging 12.8 points a game. Cleveland is having issues with quarterback accuracy and efficiency in the passing game. Play Arizona and Cleveland under 38.5.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Rams at Packers—Matthew Stafford is questionable as is receiver Puka Nacua. Their right tackle is questionable. On defense a linebacker is out with a corner questionable. Green Bay has healthy starters on offense. On defense a linebacker and safety are questionable. Los Angeles fell to 3-5 after their 43-20 road defeat to the Dallas Cowboys. The Rams rushed for 92 yards on 24 carries. They allowed 3.9 yards per run to the Cowboys with 285 passing on 34 attempts. Matthew Stafford completed 13 of 22 for 162 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 7.4 yards per pass attempt. He suffered a right thumb injury and sat out the second half. Green Bay fell to 2-5 with their 24-10 home defeat to the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers rushed for 74 yards on 17 carries. They held the Vikings to two yards per run with 284 passing on 35 attempts. Jordan Love hit 24 of 41 for 229 yards with a touchdown and interception. He averaged 5.6 yards per pass attempt. Stafford missed practice with his thumb injury. Brett Rypien is the backup. He has seen limited action the past three seasons completing 60.7%, four touchdowns, eight interceptions and 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Rams have lost three of four with issues on both sides of the football. The quarterback situation is a concern for the Rams as is the status with Nacua. Play Green Bay -3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Buccaneers at Texans—Tampa Bay guard is out. On defense a defensive end, out with nose tackle questionable. Houston running back Dameon Pierce is out as is receiver Robert Woods. On defense a defensive tackle is questionable. Tampa Bay fell to 3-4 with their 24-18 road defeat to Buffalo. The Buccaneers rushed for 78 yards on 17 carries. They allowed 115 yards rushing to the Bills with 312 passing on 40 attempts. Baker Mayfield completed 25 of 42 for 237 yards with 5.6 yards per pass attempt. Houston fell to 3-4 with their 15-13 road defeat at Carolina. The Texans rushed for 110 yards on 30 carries. They held the Panthers to under two yards per run with 180 passing on 31 attempts. C.J. Stroud hit 16 of 24 for 140 yards. He averaged 5.8 yards per pass attempt and had a rushing touchdown. Houston struggling with pass defense allowing 70.6% completion rate. Houston has been efficient in the passing game behind Stroud. Past three games Buccaneers defense allowing 403 yards per game. In this period the Texans are allowing 367 yards with 291 in the passing game. In this period the Bucs averaged 40 passes per game. In that period Tampa Bay allowed 256 yards passing allowing 68.2% completions. Play Tampa Bay and Houston over 40.
Washington Commanders vs. New England Patriots NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Commanders at Patriots—Washington receiver Curtis Samuel is out. On defense a free safety is questionable. New England receiver DeVante Parker is out with a left tackle questionable. On defense questionable are a defensive end, nose tackle, two linebackers and a cornerback. Washington fell to 3-5 with their 38-31 home defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Commanders rushed for 84 yards on 16 carries. They held the Eagles to under three yards per rush with 315 passing on 38 attempts. Sam Howell completed 39 of 52 for 397 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 7.6 yards per pass attempt. New England fell to 2-6 with their 31-17 road defeat at Miami. The Patriots rushed for 77 yards on 19 carries. Mac Jones hit 19 of 29 for 161 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 5.6 yards per pass attempt. Washington traded two key defensive players for draft picks. On the road the Commanders are allowing 393 yards per game. New England’s last home game against Buffalo is the key here. Commanders have lost five of six with massive issues with pass defense. Washington is 29th in total defense by allowing 374 yards and getting torched in the passing game with big plays. Play New England -3.
Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Bears at Saints—Justin Fields is doubtful for Chicago and their right guard is out. A linebacker and safety are out on defense. New Orleans fullback Prentice is out. Their defensive starters are healthy. Chicago fell to 2-6 with their 30-13 road defeat to the LA Chargers. The Bears rushed for 73 yards on 25 carries. They held the Chargers to 2.2 yards per run with 298 passing on 40 attempts. Justin Fields is questionable with a thumb injury. He missed practice on Wednesday. Tyson Bagent completed 25 of 37 for 232 yards and two interceptions. He averaged 6.3 yards per pass attempt and had a rushing touchdown. Bagent was announced as the starter for Sunday. New Orleans improved to 4-4 with their 38-27 road victory at Indianapolis Colts. The Saints rushed for 161 yards on 36 carries. They surrendered 164 yards rushing to the Colts with 207 passing on 41 attempts. Derek Carr hit 19 of 27 for 310 yards with two touchdowns. He averaged a season high 11.5 yards per pass attempt with six completions of 20 yards or greater. New Orleans has failed to cover all three at home as they average 16 points and allow 24. The Saints struggle with their run game as they average 3.6 yards per carry. Chicago holds opponents to 3.3 yards per run. Chicago in their past three games allowed 269 yards per game. Play Chicago +8.5.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Colts at Panthers—Indianapolis receiver Josh Downs is questionable, and their right tackle is out. On defense a linebacker and safety questionable with corner out. Carolina receiver DJ Clark is questionable. On defense a linebacker is out and questionable with their free safety doubtful. Indianapolis fell to 3-5 with their 38-27 home defeat to the New Orleans Saints. The Colts rushed for 164 yards on 24 carries. They allowed 161 yards rushing to the Saints with 350 passing on 29 attempts. Gardner Minshew completed 23 of 41 for 213 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 5.2 yards per pass attempt. Carolina improved to 1-6 with their 15-13 home victory to the Houston Texans. The Panthers rushed for 44 yards on 24 carries. They allowed 110 rushing yards to the Texans with 119 passing on 24 attempts. Bryce Young completed 22 of 31 for 235 yards with a touchdown. He averaged 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Indianapolis has the eighth ranked offense by averaging 362 yards per game. They run for 4.5 yards per carry. They do make big plays in their passing game. The Panthers are struggling to top the run by allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Past three games the Colts defense is allowing 38 points and 353 yards per game with their offenses gaining 394 yards. The Panthers pass in high volume and the Colts are allowing big plays in the passing game. Play Indianapolis and Carolina over 44.
New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Giants at Raiders—New York tight end Waller is out with their left and right tackle questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Las Vegas fullback Johnson and right tackle are out. On defense a linebacker is out and questionable. New York fell to 2-6 with their 13-10 home defeat to the New York Jets. The Giants rushed for 203 yards on 52 carries. They held the Jets to under three yards per carry with 193 passing on 36 attempts. Daniel Jones is expected to play following his neck injury. He has missed the past three games. Jones in the year completing 68.9% of his passes with 5.9 yards per pass attempt, a career low. Las Vegas fell to 3-5 with their 26-14 road defeat at Detroit. The Raiders rushed for 80 yards on 18 carries. They allowed 222 yards rushing to the Lions with 264 passing on 37 attempts. Las Vegas allowed six sacks and had a +2-turnover margin. Jimmy Garoppolo is benched. Rookie Aidan O’Connell is completing 65.4% of his passes with 6 yards per pass attempt. He has one touchdown and two interceptions. New York is 32nd and last in total offense by averaging 268 yards per game with 3.7 yards per run. They are near the bottom in passing efficiency by averaging 7.6 yards per completion and 5.1 yards per pass attempt. New York is allowing 4.8 yards per run. Past three games the Giants averaging 11 points per game. Play Las Vegas -1.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Cowboys at Eagles—Dallas has their left tackle questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Philadelphia starters on offense and defeat are healthy. Dallas improved to 5-2 with their 43-20 home victory to Los Angeles Rams. The Cowboys rushed for 92 yards on 24 carries. They allowed 102 yards rushing to the Cowboys with 285 passing yards on 34 attempts. Dak Prescott completed 25 of 31 for 304 yards with four touchdowns and one interception. He averaged 9.8 yards per pass attempt. Philadelphia improved to 7-1 with their 38-31 road win at Washington Commanders. The Eagles rushed for 59 yards on 22 carries. They allowed 84 yards rushing to the Commanders with 388 passing on 52 attempts. Jalen Hurts hit 29 of 38 for 319 yards and four touchdowns. He averaged 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Philadelphia in their two divisional games allowed an average of 31 points and 418 yards per game. At home they put up 33 points and 400 yards per game. Dallas has played one winning team on the road and allowed 42 points at San Francisco. Play Dallas and Philadelphia over 46.5.
Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Betting Pick Prediction 11/5/2023
Bills at Bengals—Buffalo starters on offense and defense are healthy. Running back Joe Mixon is questionable for Cincinnati. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Buffalo improved to 5-3 with their 24-18 home victory to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bills rushed for 115 yards. They allowed 78 yards on the ground to the Bucs with 224 passing on 42 attempts. Josh Allen completed 31 of 40 for 324 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He averaged 8.1 yards per pass attempt and had 41 rushing yards with a touchdown. Cincinnati is 4-3 after their 31-17 road win at San Francisco. The Bengals rushed for 134 yards. They limited the 49ers to 113 rushing yards with 347 passing on 31 attempts. Cincinnati had a +2-turnover margin. Joe Burrow hit 28 of 32 for 283 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged 8.8 yards per pass attempt and rushed for 43 yards. The Bengals defense are allowing 371 yards per game and 5 yards per run. They give up big plays in the passing game by allowing 11.5 yards per completion and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Bills have the fifth rated offense. Their 71.75 completion rate is the best in the NFL and are efficient in the passing game. The Bills are efficient in defending the pass. Play Buffalo +2.