Boise State Broncos (4-4) vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (7-1)
Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs 11/4/23 – As the NCAAF enters Week 10, the matchup between the Boise State Broncos and the Fresno State Bulldogs stands out for its implications on the season’s progression. With the Broncos balancing an even 4-4 against the Bulldogs’ impressive 7-1, the stage is set for an intriguing contest on Saturday, November 4, 2023. Fans and bettors alike, looking for NCAAF free tips and advice, will find this game particularly interesting as it unfolds at Bulldog Stadium, with both teams striving to assert their dominance in a pivotal showdown under the primetime lights.
Boise State comes into this matchup with a balanced record, but the figures may not fully reflect their on-field performance. Key player Ashton Jeanty, a running back with 921 rushing yards at an outstanding 5.9 yards per carry, has proven to be a relentless force in the backfield. With 11 rushing touchdowns to his name, Jeanty could be the difference-maker for the Broncos. Complementing him is Eric McAlister, a wide receiver with 788 receiving yards, averaging a staggering 20.2 yards per catch, which speaks to his explosive playmaking ability on the field.
On the other side, the Fresno State Bulldogs have been nothing short of formidable this season. Quarterback Mikey Keene, with a 68.1 completion percentage and 19 touchdowns, has been a linchpin for the Bulldog’s offense. His performance is bolstered by running back Malik Sherrod, whose average of 5.5 yards per carry demonstrates his efficacy in moving the chains. Erik Brooks, the team’s wide receiver, offers a reliable target with 565 receiving yards and a knack for finding the end zone, completing Fresno State’s multi-faceted offensive attack.
Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs 11/4/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET|
Taylen Green QB vs. Mikey Keene QB
Taylen Green of Boise State has seen a season of highs and lows, completing 82 out of 155 attempts with a 52.9 completion percentage. His passer rating of 119.4, alongside his ability to connect on long passes, evidences his potential for big plays. Despite his five interceptions, Green’s arm strength and mobility keep defenses guessing, although he’ll need to navigate Fresno State’s aggressive pass rush, which has racked up a substantial number of sacks this season.
Fresno State’s Mikey Keene presents a contrasting style, with a significantly higher completion percentage of 68.1 and a more efficient touchdown-to-interception ratio. His 146.6 passer rating reflects his consistent performance, and his decision-making under pressure will be critical against Boise State’s defensive schemes. Keene’s quick release and accuracy make him a formidable opponent in any defensive matchup.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Fresno State Bulldogs -145, Total Odds: 55
The betting odds lean in favor of the Fresno State Bulldogs at -145, with a modest point spread of -3 reflecting their stronger season record. The total sitting at 55 indicates expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair, aligning with both teams’ offensive capabilities.
Boise State Broncos Betting Trends
Boise State’s recent trend suggests a proclivity for high-scoring games, with the total going OVER in 5 of their last 6 games. Their head-to-head record against Fresno State is commendable, with 13 wins in their last 17 encounters, showing they have historically risen to the challenge against this opponent. However, their 3-6 record against the spread in recent matchups with Fresno State highlights potential concerns in covering the spread in this upcoming game.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends
The Bulldogs have been on a tear with a 16-1 record in their last 17 games, signifying a strong winning momentum. However, they’ve covered the spread in only 1 of their last 5 games, pointing to a trend of underestimation by oddsmakers or overvaluation by the betting public. Their past performances also show a tendency for lower-scoring games against Boise State, with the total going UNDER in 7 of their last 8 matchups.
Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs 11/4/23 Betting Picks
As for the final analysis, the Fresno State Bulldogs’ robust season performance and home-field advantage make them the favorites in this face-off. However, the Boise State Broncos’ ability to perform in high-pressure games, especially on the road against Fresno State, cannot be dismissed lightly. This game appears poised for a tight finish, potentially decided by a critical play or strategic coaching decision.
In considering the better pick, the Bulldogs’ offensive consistency and home-field record tip the scales in their favor. Yet, Boise State’s historical resilience and recent offensive outbursts suggest that taking the Broncos with the points might offer value. Prop bets centered around Ashton Jeanty and Eric McAlister could be attractive, given their impact potential. As for the over/under, bettors may want to tread carefully; both teams have shown they can put up points, but they’ve also had defensive stands that could keep scoring down. For those seeking premium sports picks, the match presents opportunities for strategic bets based on these insights.
Free Pick and Prediction: Fresno State Bulldogs 31, Boise State Broncos 28