Arkansas Razorbacks (2-6) vs. Florida Gators (5-3)
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators 11/4/23 – As we approach week 10 of the college football season, an exciting matchup is on the horizon between the Arkansas Razorbacks and the Florida Gators. Taking into consideration the W-L standings and looking forward to the impending clash at Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, bettors and enthusiasts are scouring the internet for the most reliable NCAAF free picks.
Arkansas, despite its struggles this season, has a few silver linings. Rashod Dubinion, the Razorbacks’ primary running back, has shown promise with his determined runs. Furthermore, Andrew Armstrong, their wide receiver, has amassed 520 receiving yards, indicating his crucial role in Arkansas’s offensive strategy.
On the other hand, Florida, with a more favorable record this season, boasts the talents of Montrell Johnson Jr. and Ricky Pearsall. Johnson Jr.’s impressive 5.5 yards per rush attempt have shown his efficiency as a running back. Additionally, Pearsall, with a staggering 718 receiving yards, has proven to be a vital asset for the Gators’ offense.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators 11/4/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET|
|Where:||Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium|
KJ Jefferson QB vs. Graham Mertz QB
KJ Jefferson, the Arkansas Razorbacks’ starting quarterback, presents a mix of raw talent and areas needing refinement. With a total of 1547 passing yards, Jefferson has a commendable 65.3% completion rate, demonstrating his precision when targeting his receivers. His longest throw, a 65-yard bomb, is a testament to his ability to connect deep and change the tide of a game. However, his resilience is tested when under pressure, evident from the 31 sacks he has sustained and the 7 interceptions he’s thrown. These stats highlight areas Jefferson needs to improve on, particularly his pocket awareness and decision-making under duress.
In contrast, the Florida Gators’ Graham Mertz displays a stellar performance with the numbers to back it up. Boasting a remarkable 75.9% completion rate and a total of 2127 passing yards, Mertz’s stats are indicative of a quarterback in prime form. His 161.8 passer rating is among the elite, and his ability to make crucial plays without surrendering turnovers, as shown by his mere 2 interceptions, exemplifies his matured game sense. Although he has been sacked 23 times, it’s his calm demeanor and decision-making skills under pressure that set him apart. His playing style, which combines calculated risks with safe plays, is likely to pose challenges for the Arkansas defense.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Florida Gators -240, Total Odds: 50
Given the present betting odds, Florida Gators emerge as the clear favorites. Their dominant record and home advantage are crucial factors that bettors should consider. However, with football’s unpredictable nature, it’s always advisable to analyze all elements before placing a bet.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends
Arkansas’s recent trends are concerning for its supporters. Their inability to secure wins in their last 6 games and the trend of games going OVER the set total in 13 of their last 20 outings indicate defensive vulnerabilities. Their record against Florida, both ATS and SU, doesn’t inspire much confidence either. However, their road game ATS record is commendable and might offer some solace to their backers.
Florida Gators Betting Trends
Florida, while holding a more dominant position than Arkansas, has faced ATS struggles in their recent games. The trend of their games going OVER in 4 of their last 5 outings showcases their offensive capabilities. Their impeccable SU record in the last 5 home games and against Arkansas when playing at home signals their dominant position in this matchup.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators 11/4/23 Betting Picks
Analyzing the betting trends and the current form of both teams, Florida Gators appear to have a distinct advantage, especially with their home record. Their ATS trend, however, suggests some caution for bettors looking to back them to cover the spread.
Given Arkansas’s recent struggles, especially against Florida, it’s challenging to see them causing an upset. Nevertheless, considering the volatile nature of college football, bettors might find value in the Razorbacks covering the spread, thanks to their commendable road ATS record. When considering the total, given the trends, the OVER seems like a plausible choice. For those wanting a more refined betting approach, turning to premium sports picks might provide the needed edge.
Free Pick and Prediction: Florida Gators 28, Arkansas Razorbacks 20