Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) vs. Auburn Tigers (3-4)
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers 10/28/23 – Week 9 of the NCAAF season is set to see the Mississippi State Bulldogs face off against the Auburn Tigers at Jordan-Hare Stadium. As both teams navigate the heart of their schedule, their records tell a story of recent challenges and hard-fought battles. While the Bulldogs come into the contest slightly ahead in terms of win-loss ratio, both teams are eager to make a statement with a win. For those hunting for the best NCAAF free predictions, this match-up promises to be an intriguing one.
Mississippi State Bulldogs’ pursuit of dominance has relied on Jo’Quavious Marks and Lideatrick Griffin. Marks has been an efficient ground runner with 500 rushing yards off 97 attempts with an average of 5.2 yards per rush; on the other hand, Griffin has emerged as an invaluable target in passing game with 32 receptions totalling 494 yards, showing his ability to stretch out and move chains effectively.
On the flip side, Auburn Tigers has witnessed some promising plays from running back Jarquez Hunter and wide receiver Jay Fair. Hunter has been an instrumental component of Auburn’s rushing attack amassing 309 yards off 72 attempts with 5 touchdowns scored; Fair has shown consistency throughout his play by making key catches when it matters most.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers 10/28/23 Game Info
|When:||Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET|
Will Rogers QB vs. Payton Thorne QB
Mississippi State quarterback Will Rogers has proven himself an invaluable asset this season. Achieve a 61.4% completion rate out of 171 pass attempts, Rogers amassed 1,275 passing yards for an average completion rate of 7.4 yards per pass attempt and 10 touchdown passes (with 4 interceptions) while also throwing 4 interception. One potential issue surrounding Rogers may be his vulnerability to sacks (he has been taken down 14 times this season) which will play an essential role in deciding the outcome of games.
On Auburn’s end, Payton Thorne has been steering the ship with a similar completion percentage of 61.5% from 130 attempts. However, with only 845 passing yards and 5 touchdowns against 5 interceptions, Thorne’s performance has room for improvement. With a higher sack count at 17 for the season, Thorne’s ability to evade pressure and his pocket presence will be under scrutiny against Mississippi State’s defense.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Auburn Tigers -245, Total Odds: 43.5
Given the current odds, the Auburn Tigers are favorites at -245, with a total odds set at 43.5. The spread of -6.5 for Auburn suggests a belief in their ability to turn around their recent form and emerge victorious at home. For bettors, understanding the strengths and weaknesses of both teams will be paramount in making informed decisions.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends
Mississippi State’s recent performance against the spread is a concern, as they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Even with a total going OVER in 4 of their last 5 games, their head-to-head record against Auburn might be a cautionary tale for many, being 2-5 ATS and 7-13 SU in their last 20 meetings.
Auburn Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers’ recent form does not inspire much confidence either, with a 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Furthermore, while the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn’s last 6 games, it’s worth noting that the UNDER has been the outcome in 12 of Auburn’s last 18 games against Mississippi State, suggesting a possible defensive battle on the cards.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers 10/28/23 Betting Picks
While both teams have shown some vulnerability recently, the home advantage for Auburn might tip the scales in their favor. The defensive prowess of both sides suggests a game that might be low-scoring, making the UNDER an attractive option for many.
Considering the recent form, betting trends, and key player performances, Auburn might have the slight edge in this matchup. However, Mississippi State, with the right game plan, could defy the odds and pull off an upset. The recommended prop bets would be to focus on individual player performances, especially in the rushing department.
Handicapper best expert picks suggest Auburn Tigers to win, but with a closer margin than the spread suggests.
Free Pick and Prediction: Auburn Tigers 21, Mississippi State Bulldogs 17.