New Mexico State Aggies (5-3) vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-5)
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 10/24/23 – In the forthcoming Week 9 of the NCAAF season, the New Mexico State Aggies, with a commendable record of 5-3, are poised to compete against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, who currently hold a 3-5 record. This anticipated encounter will take place at the Joe Aillet Stadium on October 24th. As both teams aim to improve their positions in the league standings, this match is expected to be a significant highlight in the NCAAF free picks.
The Aggies have exhibited consistent performance this season, underscored by their standout players such as Monte Watkins, the team’s esteemed running back, and wide receiver Jonathan Brady. Watkins’ remarkable average of 11.9 yards per rush attempt, coupled with Brady’s average of 16.9 yards per reception, reflects the prowess and depth of the Aggies’ offensive unit.
Conversely, the Bulldogs have navigated a rather challenging season. Nonetheless, they have prominent players like Tyre Shelton and Smoke Harris, who have been pivotal in their matches. Shelton, the team’s running back, maintains an average of 7 yards per rush attempt, while wide receiver Harris has accumulated an impressive 614 receiving yards this season.
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 10/24/23 Game Info
|When:||Tuesday, October 24, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET|
|Where:||Joe Aillet Stadium|
Diego Pavia QB vs. Jack Turner QB
Diego Pavia, the Aggies’ quarterback, has been in sublime form this season. Boasting a 61.9% completion rate with a total of 1801 passing yards, Pavia is showing his prowess in commanding the field. His 16 touchdown passes, alongside a longest pass of 80 yards, is a testament to his arm strength and accuracy. However, his 5 interceptions and 15 sacks show areas of concern. Tactically, Pavia tends to go deep, as indicated by his 9.5 yards per pass attempt, but this risk-reward style also means he faces more pressures from defenses.
On the Bulldogs’ end, Jack Turner has had a respectable season, although not as statistically impressive as Pavia. Turner has a completion percentage of 58 and has passed for 1011 yards. With 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, Turner needs to sharpen his decision-making skills. His longest pass stands at 85 yards, indicating his capability to send long balls. Strategically, Turner’s style is a bit conservative, focusing on short to mid-range passes, but he’ll need to handle the Aggies’ defense efficiently.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -165, Total Odds: 58.5
The Bulldogs are favored by 3 points, but with the Aggies’ recent form, the game could be closer than expected. With a total odds set at 58.5, this suggests a high-scoring game, in line with the recent performances of both teams.
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends
The Aggies have been consistent lately, covering the spread in their last 5 games. Also, the total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games, suggesting that their defense is as formidable as their offense. However, a concerning trend is their 0-6 SU record against the Bulldogs in their last encounters, indicating historical challenges when facing this particular opponent.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Betting Trends
The Bulldogs seem to favor high-scoring games at home, with the total going OVER in 11 of their last 12 home games. They have, however, been struggling in recent matches, especially in October, with a 0-5 SU record. Their past encounters with Independent FBS conference teams also highlight a struggling 2-5 ATS record.
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 10/24/23 Betting Picks
Considering the recent forms, statistics, and key player performances, this game is expected to be a close one. While the Bulldogs have a favorable record against the Aggies, recent form suggests the Aggies might just edge this one.
If one were to consider prop bets, the performance of the Aggies’ QB Diego Pavia would be a good one to watch. The over/under set at 58.5 leans towards an OVER, given the offensive capabilities of both teams. For those looking for daily sports premium picks, this game offers an excellent opportunity for both straight-up bets and props.
Free Pick and Prediction: New Mexico State Aggies 31, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 28.