Free MLB Picks For Today 10/3/2023
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Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/3/2023
Rangers at Rays—Jordan Montgomery to start for Texas. Montgomery in 32 starts carries an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander is striking out 21.4% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Glasnow to start for Tampa Bay. Glasnow has 21 starts with an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.08. The veteran righthander has an elite 33.4% K rate with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.2% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Montgomery past four starts allowed two earned runs total in 27 innings. Glasnow past four starts allowed fourteen earned runs in 20 1/3rd innings. Bullpen form over the past ten games Rangers an ERA of 2.80 and Rays at 5.67. Team record behind Glasnow 0-7 facing a team with a .540 to .620 win percentage. His strikeouts have dipped this season. Play Texas +134.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/3/2023
Blue Jays at Twins—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has 31 starts in 2023 delivering an ERA of 3.16 with WHIP of 1.18. The veteran deals an elite 31.1% strikeout rate with 7.2% walks. Grounders sit at 42.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in 32 starts has an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 29.2% with 6% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Gausman has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Lopez past three starts allowed eleven earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings. He has logged 194 innings this year, the highest in his career. Blue Jays 30-21 on the road against winning teams with a +8 unit return this season. Team record behind Gausman 18-7 on the road against a winning team past three seasons with a +11.2 unit return. Twins have dropped 18 straight playoff games. Twins 33-54 facing an AL starter who has an ERA of 3.70 or better with a -21 unit loss. Play Toronto -101.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/3/2023
Diamondbacks at Brewers—Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaddt in 19 appearances produces an ERA of 5.72 with WHIP of 1.41. The rookie righthander fans 22.3% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 32.3% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings. Corbin Burnes to start for Milwaukee. Burnes has 32 starts with an ERA of 3.39 and WHIP of 1.07. The veteran is striking out 25.5% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls delivered at 44.1% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. The teams met six times this season with the combination of Gallen and Kelly starting four of those games. Diamondbacks did beat Burnes back in April with Jameson starting. Pfaadt has been up and down. May, June and July were bad months. August, he had a few good starts. September started poorly then he allowed no runs in two of his final three starts. He has an ERA of 4.22 and WHIP of 1.24 since the All-Star Break. Burnes has allowed no earned runs in three of four starts. Both bullpens were in good form past ten games with ERA’s under 2.50. Diamondbacks are 12-3 to the under in their past fifteen games against a team with a .540-to-.620-win percentage. Pfaadt 13-3 to the under facing teams that average seven or more strikeouts per game. Brewers 44-27 to the under when favored at home by -150 or greater. Play Arizona and Milwaukee under 8.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/3/2023
Marlins at Phillies—Jesus Luzardo to start for Miami. Luzardo in 32 starts on the year puts up an ERA of 3.63 and WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander fans 28.1% with 7.4% walks. Grounders dealt at 40.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler had 32 starts with an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.08. The veteran righthander is striking out 26.9% with 5% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.2% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Marlins have played Philadelphia tough over the years with the Phillies holding a 27-24 record against them the past three seasons. Luzardo has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Eflin has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of five starts. Those other two starts he allowed eleven runs in 12 innings. Luzardo has not been as sharp on the road with an ERA of 4.48 and allowing 1.4 home runs per nine innings. Will lean on the Phillies bats, experience, and home field in the opener. Play Philadelphia -152.