Free MLB Picks For Today 10/1/2023
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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Red Sox at Orioles—Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck has 20 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 5.31 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander is striking out 21.1% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls served at 52.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Lefthander is hitting .285 against him with 11 homers. Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in 29 starts has an ERA of 2.86 with WHIP of 1.05. The righty fans 24.5% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.3% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Bradish home splits have been good this year with an ERA of 2.20 and WHIP of 0.96. Past ten games Red Sox bullpen an ERA of 4.68. This is just a tune up for Bradish as he gets ready for the divisional series late next week. Give the bullpen edge and hitting form for the Orioles here as starter figure to see action here as they host an ALDS playoff game on Saturday. Play Baltimore.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Dodgers at Giants—Bobby Miller will start for Los Angeles. Miller in 21 starts carries an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.12. The rookie righthander fans 23.4% with 6.3% walks. Grounders served at 47.5% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Harrison to start for San Francisco. Harrison has six starts with an ERA of 4.85 and WHIP of 1.28. The rookie lefthander has a K rate of 24.4% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 29.1% with 2.43 home runs per nine innings. Miller has allowed two earned runs in each of his past two starts. Harrison, past four starts allowed seventeen runs in 20 innings. San Francisco in their past seven games hitting .159 and putting up 1.9 runs per game. Giants -17.8 units when an underdog of +125 to +175. Los Angeles +27 units past two seasons when favored by -125 to -175. Play Dodgers -170.
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Marlins at Pirates—Bryan Hoeing to start for Miami. Hoeing appeared in 32 games carrying an ERA of 5.17 with WHIP of 1.31. The second year righthander a strikeout mark of 17.6% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.2% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings. Andre Jackson to start for Pittsburgh. Jackson has eighteen appearances with an ERA of 5.34 and WHIP of 1.26. The righthander strikes out 22.5% with 8.6% walks. Grounders sit at 37.3% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. A home Jackson sports an ERA of 6.75 in 29 1/3rd innings. The Pirates’ bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 6.61 and Marlins are at 6.60. Past seven games Pirates are hitting .270. Miami has a playoff road game on Tuesday so don’t expect to see their best relievers here and much offensive intensity. Play Pittsburgh.
Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Athletics at Angels—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears in 31 starts on the season delivers an ERA of 4.49 with WHIP of 1.26. The second-year lefthander fans 21.9% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 29.2% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings. Reid Detmers to start for Los Angeles. Detmers has 28 starts carrying an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP of 1.35. The lefty strikes out 26.1% with 9.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Sears has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Detmers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Past seven games Oakland hitting .214. Athletics bullpen on the road this season sits at 5.62. Oakland 14-51 in Day games this season with a -28.5-unit loss. Play LA Angels -130.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Rays at Blue Jays—Jacob Lopez to start for Tampa Bay. Lopez appeared in three games allowing one earned run in seven innings. He struck out four with no walks. Allowed. The lefthander was a 26th round draft pick in 2018 out of the College of the Canyons. He spent 2023 in two levels of the minors putting up great numbers. Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.16 and WHIP of 1.18. The veteran has an elite K rate of 31.1% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. The Rays and Blue Jays begin the playoffs on Tuesday so don’t expect to see their best relievers here. Gausman is a listed starter but would expect a bullpen game from Toronto here with clinching a playoff berth. Blue Jays playing for second wildcard spot instead of third. Still don’t expect the Blue Jays to pitch their best relievers here. Play Tampa Bay and Toronto over the total.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Guardians at Tigers—Lucas Giolito to start for Cleveland. Giolito in 32 starts has an ERA Of 4.77 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander is striking out 26% with 9% walks. Ground balls served at 36.1% with 2.01 home runs per nine innings. Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez has 25 starts with an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander fans 23.2% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.4% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Giolito past five starts allowed 22 runs in 25 2/3rd innings. Rodriguez in his last start held the Athletics to no runs in seven innings. His past three starts against the Guardians, all in 2023, allowed one earned run in 21 2/3rd innings. Tigers bullpen over the past ten games an ERA of 3.09. The Guardians -15.9 units facing a losing team this year. Detroit is 40-34 against losing teams with a +8.2-unit return. Team record behind Giolito 4-15 as an underdog of +100 for a -10.2 unit loss. Play Detroit -123.
Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Astros at Diamondbacks—Cristian Javier to start for Houston. Javier in 30 starts deals an ERA of 4.67 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander is fanning 23.3% with 9% walks. Grounders served at 25.9% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona. Nelson has 28 appearances posting an ERA of 5.35 with WHIP of 1.43. The second year righty has a K rate of 15.4% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.8% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. Javier past four starts allowed twelve runs in 18 2/3rd innings. Nelson, past six starts allowed 21 earned runs with ten walks in 24 innings. Both bullpens are in good form. Past seven games Arizona batting .236. Astros +17 units return on the road this season. Astros win and Rangers lose, and Houston wins the AL West and gets a bye into the ALDS. Diamondbacks clinch a wildcard and will travel for a Tuesday Wildcard game. Don’t expect the Diamondbacks best relievers to play here to improve a wildcard seeding to the fifth seed instead of sixth. Play Houston -135.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Rangers at Mariners—Dane Dunning to start for Texas. Dunning in 34 appearances this season delivers an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP of 1.26. The righty strikes out 19.2% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.4% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. George Kirby will start for Seattle. Kirby had 30 starts with an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.06. The second year righthander is striking out 22.4% with 2.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Kirby in his last start held the Astros to no runs in six innings. Dunning will start on short rest. A win and the Rangers win the AL West and get a bye into the ALDS next Saturday. A loss and an Astros win, and the Rangers are a Wildcard team. They would then play Tuesday. Mariners’ past ten games have a bullpen ERA of 2.91. At home Kirby has an ERA of 2.89 with WHIP of 0.89. Past seven games Texas hitting .205. The Seattle loss on Saturday eliminated them from the playoffs. The Mariners lost six of nine. Dunning past three starts allowed four earned runs in 17 1/3rd innings. The Rangers’ bullpen past ten games an ERA of 2.89. The Mariners eliminated Saturday must be demoralizing as the Rays came back and defeated Toronto to give Seattle life. Play Texas.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Phillies at Mets—Nick Nelson to start for Philadelphia. Nelson makes his 2023 debut with the big club. He spent much of the season in Triple A with an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP of 1.48. He has 69 appearances in MLB with an ERA of 5.38 and WHIP of 1.58 striking out 109 batters in 103 2/3rd innings. Nick Butto to start for New York. Butto appeared in eight games delivering an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.36. The righty strikes out 22.1% with 13.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 44.9% with limited home run damage. Philadelphia will host a Wildcard game on Tuesday so don’t expect much offensive intensity here. Past ten games Phillies hitting .228. Past ten games Mets bullpen an ERA of 2.32. Play New York. -105.
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Padres at White Sox—Blake Snell to start for San Diego. Snell in 32 starts deploys an ERA of 2.25 and WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander an elite strikeout rate of 31.5% with 13.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.4% with limited home run damage. Jose Urena to start for Chicago. Urena has nine starts with an ERA of 7.45 and WHIP of 1.68. The righthander a strikeout mark of 14.4% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.6% with 3.03 home runs per nine innings. Past three starts Urena allowed fourteen runs in 16 1/3rd innings. Past ten games White Sox bullpen has an ERA of 7.36. San Diego 10-3 to the run line facing teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.70 or worse on the year. Chicago 2-12 to the run line facing an NL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Yankees at Royals—Michael King will start for New York. King appeared in eight games with an ERA of 2.50 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander has an elite 30.6% strikeout rate with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.7% with limited home run damage. Zack Greinke to start for Kansas City. Greinke has 29 appearances with an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran fans 16.6% with 3.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.8% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Greinke past three starts allowed two earned runs in 10 2/3rd innings. Royals’ bullpen past ten games an ERA of 5.84. Kansas City is 7-28 facing an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.20 or lower. Play New York -150.
Minnesota Twins vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Twins at Rockies—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has 25 starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.10. The third year righthander is striking out 24.7% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.8% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Chase Anderson to start for Colorado. Anderson in 19 appearances delivering an ERA of 5.42 with WHIP of 1.42. The veteran righty strikes out 17.2% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.2% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Anderson, past three starts allowed four earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. Ober experiences Colorado for the first time. Rockies +13.5 units as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Twins host a Wildcard game on Tuesday so expect their best relievers to sit here. Play Colorado +151.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Cubs at Brewers—Drey Smyly to start for Chicago. Smyly appeared in 40 games in 2023 deals an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP of 1.39. The lefthander has a strikeout mark of 22.7% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls served at 34.8% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Adrian Houser to start for Milwaukee. Houser has 22 appearances with an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander is striking out 19.7% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 46.7% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Houser contract expires this year. Smyly’s contract is guaranteed in 2024 with the option in 2025 for more motivation for Houser here. The demoralizing situation for Chicago getting eliminated Saturday after a horrible finish to the season. Don’t expect to see the Brewers best relievers here with a Wildcard playoff on Tuesday, but don’t see much intensity from the Cubs in this spot. Play Milwaukee -104.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Nationals at Braves—Jackson Rutledge to start for Washington. Rutledge has three starts in 2023 posting an ERA of 6.00 with WHIP of 1.53. The rookie righthander is striking out only 12.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 28.8% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. Dylan Dodd to start for Atlanta. Dodd in six starts has an ERA of 7.62 with WHIP of 1.94. The rookie lefthander fans 18% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls delivered at 34.9% with 2.86 home runs per nine innings. Past seven games Braves hitting .272 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. The Braves open the playoffs next Saturday so expect to see starters to see action here. Past ten games Nationals bullpen an ERA of 5.05. Play Washington and Atlanta over the total.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 10/1/2023
Reds at Cardinals—Hunter Greene to start for Cincinnati. Greene in 21 starts in 2023 dealing an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.39. The second year righthander has an elite strikeout rate of 30.9% with 10% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.2% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas has 34 starts putting up an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP of 1.33. The veteran fans 15.2% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.5% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Mikolas has another year left on his two-year contract. Greene in his last start allowed seven earned runs in three innings. Mikolas past start allowed one run in seven innings against the Brewers. Don’t expect much offensive intensity from the Reds team eliminated on Saturday night from the playoffs. The Red’s bullpen past ten games an ERA of 7.52. Play St Louis +108.