Free MLB Picks For Today 9/18/2023
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Guardians at Royals—Cal Quantrill to start for Cleveland. Quantrill in sixteen starts deals an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.45. The righthander strikes out only 12.7% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 40.8% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer has 28 starts with an ERA of 5.51 and WHIP of 1.44. The righty fans 19.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 49.5% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.26 an indicator of a drop in ERA should form hold. Quantrill past three starts allowed three earned runs in 18 innings of work. Singer past four starts allowed 22 earned runs in 18 innings of work. Guardians in their past ten games hitting .271 and the Royals at .226. KC -22.4 units facing right handed starters. Play Cleveland -124.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Mets at Marlins—Jose Butto to start for New York. Butto appeared in six games in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.46 and WHIP of 1.46. The righthander is striking out 20.2% with 15.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.2% with limited home run damage. Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera in nineteen appearances an ERA of 4.52 and WHIP of 1.44. The righthander strikes out 28.4% with 16.1% walks. Grounders come in at 53.2% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Marlins just swept the Braves in a three-game series and put up 36 runs in those three games. Butto in his past two starts allowed three earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings. Cabrera past four starts allowed 11 earned runs in 14 innings of work. New York has won four of six. Butto’s form can keep the Mets in this game. Play New York +139.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Twins at Reds—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has sixteen starts to the season, dealing an ERA of 4.20 and WHIP of 1.13. The third year righthander has a K rate of 29.2% with 5% walks. Grounders dished at 31.6% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings. Connor Phillips to start for Cincinnati. Phillips in his two starts allowed eight earned runs with ten strikeouts but six walks in 8 2/3rd innings. A Seattle draft pick in 2020 out of McLennan Texas City College pitched in two levels of the minors with mixed results with the struggles coming in Triple A. Twins past seven games hitting .227. They lose -12 units against right handed starters. Reds have won five of seven. Ryan past four starts allowed six earned runs in 19 2/3rd innings. Past ten games Reds bullpen an ERA of 2.57. Play Cincinnati +127.
Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
White Sox at Nationals—Mike Clevinger to start for Chicago. Clevinger has 21 starts in 2023 producing an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.23. The veteran is fanning 21.1% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 29.9% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Joan Adon to start for Washington. Adon appeared in nine games with an ERA of 5.92 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander has a K rate of 19.2% with 9.3% walks. Grounders sit at 36.4% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. The White Sox have lost seven of nine. Nationals have lost five of six. Clevinger has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Adon in his past three starts allowed 11 earned runs in 14 innings. The Nationals are 21-39 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a -12.1-unit loss. Past seven games Washington hitting .214. Play Chicago -115.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Phillies at Braves—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 29 starts to the season delivers an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 1.07. The veteran fans 27.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 41.5% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Wright to start for Atlanta. Wright has six starts to the year with an ERA of 7.48 and WHIP of 1.89. The righthander strikes out 20.7% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.6% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. Wheeler faced the Braves in his last starts and was hammered for six earned runs in five innings. In Wright’s return to the rotation, he allowed six earned runs in three innings. The Braves bullpen in their past ten games an ERA of 8.51. Atlanta is 12-4 to the over when facing teams with .540-to-.620-win percentage and 42-29 to the over at home. Play Philadelphia and Atlanta over 9.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Brewers at Cardinals—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta has 28 starts to the year posting an ERA of 3.79 and WHIP of 1.10. The righthander has an elite 31.2% strikeout rate with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.2% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Adam Wainwright will start for St Louis. Wainwright has 20 starts on the year with an ERA of 7.95 and WHIP of 1.08. The nineteen year veteran strikes out only 11.3% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.3% with 1.91 home runs per nine innings. Peralta has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Wainwright past four starts allowed fifteen runs in 21 2/3rd innings. Brewers bullpen the past ten games an ERA of 2.29 and Cardinals at 6.97. St Louis -13 unit loss at home against winning teams and -11 units at home facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or better. Team record behind Wainwright at home at 1-9 with a -10.2 unit loss. St Louis past seven games hitting .208. Play Milwaukee -170.
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Red Sox at Rangers—Kutter Crawford will start for Boston. Crawford in 28 appearances posts an ERA of 4.26 and WHIP of 1.17. The second year righthander a strikeout mark of 24.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.2% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Jordan Montgomery will start for Texas. Montgomery has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.47 and WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander is striking out 21% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.9% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Red Sox have won eight of ten against the Rangers. Crawford has been inconsistent as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of five starts. Montgomery is inconsistent as well. Past three starts he has allowed eleven earned runs in 16 1/3rd innings. Red Sox bullpen has performed well on the road. Bullpen has been an issue for the Rangers season long. Play Boston +147.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Orioles at Astros—John Means to start for Baltimore. Means in his first start in 2023 allowed three earned runs with one strikeout in five innings at home to St Louis. He returns from nearly two years away due to elbow and back injuries. He has a lifetime ERA of 3.83 with WHIP of 1.08 striking out 309 batters in 361 1/3rd innings. Justin Verlander will start for Houston. Verlander has 24 starts this season dealing an ERA of 3.39 and WHIP of 1.16. The nineteen year veteran strikes out 21.2% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dealt at 35.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Means in his return to the rotation allowed three earned runs with two homers in five innings. Verlander in his past three starts allowed thirteen runs in 20 innings. Orioles bullpen in good form the past ten games. Baltimore 27-17 in their past 44 against winning teams with a +15 unit return. Astros 22-24 facing an American League team hitting .265 or lower with a -13.2 unit loss. Houston has lost four of six losing twice each to the Royals and Athletics. Play Baltimore +133.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Rockies at Padres—Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach appeared in seventeen games delivering an ERA of 4.64 and WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander a strikeout mark of 13.5% with 6% walks. Grounders served at 39.1% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Michael Wacha to start for San Diego. Wacha has 21 starts has an ERA of 3.43 and WHIP of 1.21. The eleven year righthander strikes out 21.95 with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 35% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Wacha in his past four starts allowed sixteen earned runs in 19 1/3rd innings. Blach has been hit for twelve earned runs in 16 innings. Rockies are 25-23 in their past 48 at San Diego with a +17 unit return. Padres at home a -16.1 unit loss. Play Colorado +210.
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Mariners at Athletics—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in fifteen starts in 2023 produces an ERA of 4.16 and WHIP of 1.15. The rookie righthander is striking out 24.1% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 40% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.45 and WHIP of 1.23. The second year lefthander fans 21.6% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 28.4% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings. Woo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five. Sears in his past three starts allowed three earned runs in sixteen innings. Past seven games Oakland hitting .213. The hit just .208 in division games with 28-18 to the under. Play Oakland and Seattle under 7.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 9/18/2023
Tigers at Dodgers—Eduardo Rodriguez to start for Detroit. Rodriguez has 23 starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander strikes out 23.9% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 40.4% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings. Lance Lynn to start for Los Angeles. Lynn has 29 starts with an ERA of 5.94 and WHIP of 1.40. The veteran had a strikeout rate of 23.8% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls served at 36.7% with 2.21 home runs per nine innings. Rodriguez in his past two starts allowed seven earned runs in 11 1/3rd innings. Lynn very inconsistent of late with three good starts two bad ones. Past three games Lynn has allowed seventeen earned runs in 16 innings. Both bullpens in good form past ten games. Los Angeles faced Rodriguez at Dodger Stadium last year putting up six runs in 5 2/3rd innings. Play Detroit and Los Angeles over 8.5.